St. John’s at Villanova odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s St. John’s at Villanova odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The St. John’s Red Storm (11-1, 1-0 Big East) and Villanova Wildcats (6-5, 0-0) clash in a Wednesday at Finneran Pavilion. The opening tip will be at 6:30 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the St. John’s vs. Villanova odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

St. John’s is 3-0 straight-up and 2-1 against the spread (ATS) since Dec. 7. The team’s only loss this season was a 71-60 defeat at Iowa State Dec. 4, but KenPom ranks SJU’s slate so far as 337th in the nation. Still, the Red Storm played ‘Nova tough twice in 3 meetings last season, and they are coming off an impressive 93-79 win against Florida State Saturday where they covered as a 6.5-point favorite.

The Wildcats lost 4 straight games from Nov. 18-27, but they have rallied to win 4 in a row since. The recent victories have come against an easier slate, but Villanova has mostly cleaned up some defensive issues encountered during its losing skid. The ‘Cats held foes to a 39.0% mark from the floor over their last 2 games.

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St. John’s at Villanova odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: St. John’s +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Villanova -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): St. John’s +4.5 (-105) | Villanova -4.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 146.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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St. John’s at Villanova picks and predictions

Prediction

St. John’s 78, Villanova 77

Moneyline

This match-up represents stark style-of-play differences, with Villanova playing the part of the tortoise and St. John’s playing the part of the hare. The Red Storm’s schedule may be suspect, but its defense and rebounding are not. If SJU can keep the Wildcats from going off in the 3-point department (‘Nova hit 27 over its last 2 games), it has a real chance to be in this game at the end.

Villanova has underperformed expectations (0-2 ATS) against fast foes Saint Joseph’s and Portland State. Peg St. John’s as a near-40% winner in this one. RED STORM (+170) is worth some partial-unit action.

Against the spread

The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 series meetings.

Villanova plays No. 2 UConn next and could be looking past SJU a bit. The Red Storm are a value play at +5 or better. PASS, but keep an eye on the line.

Over/Under

PASS.  The game flow here needs a wide berth due to Villanova’s 3-point shooting and the clash in pace. Its O/U results in comparable games bear that out.

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Big East Tournament: St. John’s vs. Villanova odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s St. John’s vs. Villanova odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

St. John’s Red Storm will take on the Villanova Wildcats in the second round of the Big East Tournament at Madison Square Garden in New York. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the St. John’s vs. Villanova odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

St. John’s enters the Big East quarterfinals after beating DePaul 92-73 last night. The seventh-seeded Red Storm won the game behind a game-high 26 points from F Julian Champagnie.

St. John’s lost both games against Villanova this season — 75-69 at home and 73-62 on the road. The Red Storm covered both matches, as 6.5-point and then 13.5 point underdogs.

The Wildcats are ranked No. 8 in the nation and are the No. 2 seed in the Big East Tournament. They’re 11-6 this season away from home and have won 7 of their last 8 games.

Nova was 15-14-1 against the spread (ATS) this season.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

St. John’s vs. Villanova odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: St. John’s +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Villanova -340 (bet $340 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): St. John’s +6.5 (-116) | Villanova -6.5 (-117)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 148.5 (O: -117 | U: -116)

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St. John’s vs. Villanova odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Villanova 77, St. John’s 74

Money line

PASS.

I don’t hate St. John’s at +220. If there is a team to make a run, it should be one with the second-leading scorer in the conference on a team that plays at the fastest pace in the conference.

Nonetheless, I’ll play the safer side and take the points.

Against the spread

BET on ST. JOHN’S +6.5 (-116).

St. John’s and Villanova are both around the middle of the pack when it comes to covering conference games, but one area where the Wildcats have not covered well this season is when they have a rest advantage.

They’re just 2-7 ATS in games where they’re the more rested side. Much of this game will be on who controls the pace, with St. John’s third in the nation in possessions per game and Villanova 331 out of 358 teams.

In one battle against Nova, St. John’s shot 32% from the field, and in the other, it was just 19% from three and 47% from the free-throw line.

As long as the Red Storm put together a moderately efficient game, they should be able to stay close with Villanova. They’ve had more shots and more offensive rebounds in both the previous matchups, so the success on the glass is there.

If there’s any game to finally put it all together, it’s when your season is on the line, and that desperation should boost St. John’s ability to cover here.

Over/Under

LEAN to the OVER 148.5 (-117).

Both of the two teams’ previous matchups went under the projected total by 8 or fewer points with one of the battles under by half a point.

With how St. John’s may look to extend the game if down late against the best free-throwing shooting team in the nation (Villanova shoots 82.5% from the line), I expect there to be an abundance of points scored.

Previously mentioned pace will be a huge factor, and as St. John’s pushed the pace on DePaul, it should try to do it against Villanova.

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St. John’s at Villanova odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s St. John’s at Villanova odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The St. John’s Red Storm (11-7, 3-4 Big East) travel to meet the No. 12 Villanova Wildcats (15-5, 8-2) Saturday at Finneran Pavilion. Tip-off is scheduled for 4:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the St. John’s vs. Villanova odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

The Red Storm posted an 84-63 win at Seton Hall last time out as a seven-point underdog as the Under hit. St. John’s has hit the Under in four straight outings.

The Wildcats pounded DePaul by a 67-43 score as a 17.5-point favorite as the Under hit. They’re 2-0 SU while averaging 76.0 PPG across the past two. Villanova has alternated Under and Over results in each of the past 11 outings.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

St. John’s at Villanova odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: St. John’s +650 (bet $100 to win $650) | Villanova -1100 (bet $1,000 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): St. John’s +13.5 (-115) | Villanova -13.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 139.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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St. John’s at Villanova odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Villanova 75, St. John’s 63

Money line

Villanova (-1100) will cost you 11 times your potential return, which is just too expensive even if you toss the Wildcats into a multiple-team parlay.

PASS.

Against the spread

ST. JOHN’S +13.5 (-115) is a strong play with the one-two punch of Posh Alexander and Julian Champagnie. They’re an outstanding duo, and can help the Red Storm at least hang around by less than 12 points. The Johnnies have been double-digit ‘dogs just once, covering at UConn Jan. 12 in an overtime loss.

While Villanova -13.5 (-107) is 7-2 ATS across the past nine, those two non-covers have come in the past three games as a double-digit favorite.

Over/Under

The UNDER 139.5 (-107) is the lean, but it’s only worth a small-unit play. The Under has cashed in four straight outings for St. John’s and six in a row against teams with a winning overall record. The Under is also 25-11-1 in the previous 37 as a road underdog.

For Villanova, the Under has hit in seven in a row against winning teams, while going 5-1 in the past six games at home.

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St. John’s at Villanova odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Tuesday’s St. John’s Red Storm at Villanova Wildcats odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The St. John’s Red Storm (14-9, 8-8 Big East) visit the No. 6 Villanova Wildcats (14-3, 9-2) Tuesday in a Big East showdown at Finneran Pavilion. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the St. John’s-Villanova odds and lines, with NCAA college basketball picks and predictions.

Ratings courtesy of Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

St. John’s at Villanova: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:55 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: St. John’s +525 (bet $100 to win $525) | Villanova -750 (bet $750 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: St. John’s +11.5 (-110) | Villanova -11.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 152.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

St. John’s at Villanova: Three things to know

  1. The Johnnies dropped a pivotal game for their NCAA Tournament chances by losing 88-83 to DePaul as 11-point home favorites. St. John’s, who was making an NCAA tourney push, has now lost two of its last three following a six-game winning streak, which included a win over then-No. 3 Villanova.
  2. The Wildcats bounced back with a 68-60 win over UConn as 8-point home favorites after getting blown out 86-70 at then-No.17 Creighton Feb. 13. Villanova is 3-2 overall in its previous five games and just 1-3-1 ATS.
  3. St. John’s legitimately dominated Villanova Feb. 3 waxing them 70-59 as 9-point home underdogs. The Red Storm’s defense held the Wildcats to a season-low in points and field-goal shooting and forced a season-high 15 turnovers.

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St. John’s at Villanova: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

St. John’s 81, Villanova 76

Money line (ML)

Slight lean on ST. JOHN’S (+525) since it rolled Villanova the first time around and is 3-3 overall in the past six meetings. However, I’d only put a tiny wager if anything on the Johnnies to steal this win as the cover is the preferred betting option.

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Against the spread (ATS)

BET ST. JOHN’S +11.5 (-110) much heavier or instead of the Johnnies’ money line. The St. John’s-Villanova market seems to be robotically backing the favorite since the Wildcats are a national powerhouse that regularly dominates the Big East.

But, the Red Storm play an aggressive, high ball-pressure style of defense that sped Villanova’s offense up and forced turnovers. Probable Big East Freshman of the Year, St. John’s PG Posh Alexander, leads the conference in steals per game and wreaked havoc in Villanova’s backcourt last game.

Also, the Johnnies have the best player on the floor in conference leading-scorer and a favorite for Big East Player of the Year, wing Julian Champagnie.

He didn’t score the ball as well as he hoped in the last St. John’s-Villanova game, but Champagnie was a difference-maker in the contest and led the Red Storm with 13 rebounds with a game-high three blocks.

With the Johnnies’ tournament hopes on the line, expect a gutsy performance out of the Red Storm today. TAKE ST. JOHN’S +11.5 (-110) for 1.25 units.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS with a lean on Over 152.5 (-110) because my expectation is that Villanova executes far better offensively than in its first game vs. St. John’s. On the other hand, the market is betting Over yet the total has been brought down from the 155.5-point opener, according to Pregame.com. This tells me the House wants bettors to back the Over. STAY AWAY.

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