Spurs Nuggets odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

San Antonio Spurs at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s San Antonio Spurs at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Antonio Spurs (18-57) visit the Denver Nuggets (52-23) on Tuesday night. Tip from Ball Arena is set for 9 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Spurs vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Nuggets lead 2-0

The Spurs had a 3-game winning streak snapped on Sunday with a 117-113 loss to the Golden State Warriors while covering as 10.5-point home underdogs. C Victor Wembanyama scored 32 points to lead 6 Spurs players in double figures. San Antonio shot 44.9% from the field in the loss.

Denver snapped a 2-game losing streak on Sunday with a 130-101 win over the Cleveland Cavaliers as a 4.5-point home favorite. C Nikola Jokic had his 23rd triple-double of the season with a game-high 26 points, 18 rebounds and 16 assists as 4 other Denver players scored in double figures. The team shot 57.5% from the field and 63.6% from beyond the arc in the win.

Spurs at Nuggets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:37 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Spurs +1000 (bet $100 to win $1,000) | Nuggets -2000 (bet $2,000 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Spurs +15.5 (-105) | Nuggets -15.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 223.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Spurs at Nuggets key injuries

Spurs

F Dominick Barlow (knee) out
F Keldon Johnson (foot) out
F Jeremy Sochan (ankle) out
G Devin Vassell (hand, head) out

Nuggets

F Aaron Gordon (foot) probable
C Nikola Jokic (hip, wrist) probable
G Jamal Murray (knee) questionable
F Zeke Nnaji (adductor) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Spurs at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 119, Spurs 108

Moneyline

PASS.

There is no value on the Nuggets (-2000), who are 30-8 at home this season, to beat a San Antonio (+1000) squad that is 8-29 on the road.

Against the spread

LEAN SPURS +15.5 (-105).

San Antonio is 7-3 against the spread (ATS) in its last 10 games and has covered in 4 straight. It is also 6-2 ATS in its last 8 road games and is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games as a double digit underdog.

Denver has failed to cover in 2 of its last 3 games, all at home and is 3-5 ATS in its last 8 overall.

The Spurs spread is worth a small wager.

Over/Under

BET OVER 223.5 (-110).

The Spurs have hit the Over in 5 of their last 8 games, including each of their last 3, while the Nuggets have hit the Over in 5 of their last 7 games.

San Antonio has scored 113 or more in each of its last 3 games and has allowed 113 or more in 6 of its last 9 games. Denver has scored 128 or more in 2 of its last 4 games and 113 or more in 6 of its last 9.

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San Antonio Spurs at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s San Antonio Spurs at Denver Nuggets and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Denver Nuggets (47-32) host the San Antonio Spurs (33-45) Tuesday at Ball Arena for a 9 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Spurs vs. Nuggets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

San Antonio is 6-1 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) in its last seven games including back-to-back blowout victories at home over the Portland Trail Blazers Friday (130-111) and Sunday (113-92).

Denver is 5-2 SU but just 3-4 ATS in its last seven games. The Nuggets went into L.A. Sunday and clobbered the Lakers 129-118 in their last game.

The Nuggets are 2-1 SU and 1-2 ATS versus the Spurs this season and the total is 2-1 Over/Under (O/U).

Spurs at Nuggets odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:42 p.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Spurs +300 (bet $100 to win $300) | Nuggets -400 (bet $400 to win $100)
Against the spread: Spurs +8.5 (-105) | Nuggets -8.5 (-120)
Over/Under: 233.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

Spurs at Nuggets key injuries

Spurs

C Jock Landale (foot) out
SF Doug McDermott (nose) out
PG Dejounte Murray (illness) out

Nuggets

PG Jamal Murray (knee) out
PF Michael Porter Jr. (back) out

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Spurs at Nuggets odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 121, Spurs 108

Money line

PASS even though Denver should cruise past a Murray-less Spurs but the -400 tag is way too expensive.

Murray is San Antonio’s leading scorer and assist man and third in adjusted on/off net rating, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Denver is sixth in offensive rating and San Antonio struggles against strong offenses. The Spurs are 6-20 SU versus teams in the top-10 of offensive efficiency with a minus-6.3 adjusted net rating (ranked 21st), per CTG.

The only sensible way to try and profit off this game is to lay the points with Denver or bet the total.

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Against the spread

LEAN NUGGETS -8.5 (-120) because all of Denver’s perceived edges are well accounted for in this price and we are getting the worst of the number.

The Nuggets opened as 6-point favorites but that number increased once the Spurs announced they’d be without Murray. Also, several situational trends point to this being a bad spot for Denver so this feels like a sharp line.

However, the Nuggets need this game since they are only 2 games in front of the seventh-place T-Wolves for the first play-in seed in the Western Conference.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 233.5 (-108) because San Antonio’s offense should struggle without Murray in the lineup and the Spurs are 10-18-1 O/U as road underdogs with a minus-2.7 total margin.

Both offenses also rank 20th or worse in free-throw attempt rate and both defenses rank 11th or better in defensive FT/FGA rate.

That said, my hesitancy here is most of the market is on the UNDER 233.5 (-108) and we are also getting the worst of this number since the total opened at 237.

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San Antonio Spurs at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s San Antonio Spurs at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Antonio Spurs (1-0) are in “Mile High City” Friday to play the Denver Nuggets (1-0) at Ball Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Spurs vs. Nuggets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

San Antonio crushed the Orlando Magic 123-97 Thursday. The Spurs outshot the Magic 50.0-40.7 percent from the field and had way better ball security. San Antonio threw 32 assists to 8 turnovers while Orlando had just 17 assists with 16 turnovers.

Denver rallied back from a 7-point first-half deficit to beat the Phoenix Suns 110-98 Thursday. Reigning NBA MVP Nikola Jokic put up 27 points on 13-of-22 shooting with 13 rebounds vs. the Suns.

The Nuggets have beaten the Spurs in five of their last six meetings, including two of three last season but are just 3-3 against the spread in those games.

Spurs at Nuggets odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:30 p.m. ET.

Money line: Spurs +290 (bet $100 to win $290) | Nuggets -380 (bet $380 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Spurs +7.5 (-108) | Nuggets -7.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 220.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Spurs at Nuggets key injuries

Spurs

Nothing affecting gambling odds.

Nuggets

PG Jamal Murray (knee) out

Spurs at Nuggets odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 121, Spurs 117

Money line

PASS with a slight “lean” toward the Spurs (+270) because I “like” San Antonio plus the points and generally sprinkle on the underdog’s money line when taking them to cover.

However, the Nuggets are 5-1 overall vs. the Spurs in their last six meetings and Jokic balled vs. San Antonio last season. In three Spurs-Nuggets meetings last year, Jokic averaged 28.7 points, 10.7 rebounds and 9.7 assists per game.

Since Jokic is by far the best player on the court and the Nuggets are playing in their home opener, I’ll just bet the Spurs to cover the spread.

Against the spread

BET the SPURS +7.5 (-108) for 1 unit because this is a “Pros vs. Joe’s” game in the betting market and I don’t trust Denver’s defense.

For instance, according to Pregame.com, more than three-fourths of the cash wagered is on San Antonio but nearly 60 percent of the bets placed are on the Nuggets at the time of publishing. It’s can profitable in sports betting to follow the money when it’s counter to the public.

Also, the Spurs have a lot of three-point shooters on the roster and the Nuggets have ranked 19th or worse in opponent 3-point volume in each of the past four seasons (according to CleaningTheGlass.com).

If Denver doesn’t run San Antonio off the 3-point line then the SPURS +7.5 (-110) is cashing and they can steal the game outright.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 220.5 (-110) for a half unit because I’m much more confident in San Antonio covering than the total in this contest.

But, the Over has cashed in four of the past five Spurs-Nuggets meetings. Plus there’s been sharp line movement towards the Over since the total has been bet up from the 219-point opener.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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San Antonio Spurs at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Friday’s San Antonio Spurs at Denver Nuggets NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The San Antonio Spurs (24-25) meet the Denver Nuggets (33-18) Friday for the second consecutive game at Ball Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Spurs-Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Denver cruised past San Antonio 106-96 as a 5-point home favorite Wednesday without second-leading scorer PG Jamal Murray.

Nuggets C Nikola Jokic was incredible, as usual, scoring 25 points on 11-for-18 shooting with 9 rebounds and 10 assists. It was Denver’s seventh straight win and its eighth out of the past 10 games (7-3 against the spread).

The Spurs have a losing record for the first time since Jan. 5 thanks to a four-game losing streak and 2-8 record in their last 10 (also 2-8 ATS).

San Antonio is in ninth-place in the West, 1 game ahead of the Golden State Warriors and 3 games ahead of the New Orleans Pelicans.

The Nuggets have beaten the Spurs in four of their last five meetings (3-2 ATS).

Spurs at Nuggets: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:54 p.m. ET.

Money line: Spurs +300 (bet $100 to win $300) | Nuggets -375 (bet $375 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Spurs +8.5 (-110) | Nuggets -8.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 219.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Spurs at Nuggets: Key injuries

Spurs

SG Lonnie Walker (wrist) questionable

Nuggets

PG Jamal Murray (knee) questionable

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Spurs at Nuggets: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Nuggets 116, Spurs 103

Money line (ML)

PASS even though Denver should boat race San Antonio because the Nuggets’ -375 is still too pricey considering all of the random outcomes we’ve seen this season in the Association.

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Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the NUGGETS -8.5 (-110) for a half unit only because we don’t know Murray’s game status and we’ve seen teams struggle this season beating, let alone covering against, the same opponent twice in a row.

I’m buying a lot of stock in Denver currently and gave out the Nuggets (+850) to win the Western Conference on this week’s Bet Slippin’ Podcast.

Denver adding PF Aaron Gordon at the trade deadline, the maturation of SF Michael Porter Jr. and the continuity developed between Jokic and Murray equals a legit title contender in my eyes.

Why I think the Nuggets can create enough margin to cover is that San Antonio doesn’t have anyone who can create their own shot outside of SF DeMar DeRozan, and Jokic has torn up the Spurs in his career.

Jokic is averaging 20.1 points per game on .615/.464/.814 shooting with a plus-13 net rating in his 18 career games vs. San Antonio.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS with a slight “LEAN” toward the Under 219.5 (-105) because I have no faith in San Antonio’s limited offense vs. an improving Denver defense.

Since the All-Star Game, the Nuggets are fourth in opponent’s points off of turnovers and third in both second-chance points allowed and paint points allowed per game.

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