San Antonio Spurs at Charlotte Hornets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s San Antonio Spurs at Charlotte Hornets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Antonio Spurs (24-39) head to the Spectrum Center Saturday to play the Charlotte Hornets (31-33) at 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Spurs vs. Hornets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

San Antonio lost its third consecutive game Thursday to the Sacramento Kings, 115-112, at home as 6.5-point favorites. Since the All-Star break, the Spurs are 1-3 straight up (SU) and 2-2 against the spread (ATS).

Charlotte is 2-2 SU and ATS following the All-Star Game, most recently beating the Cavaliers, 119-98, Wednesday in Cleveland as 4-point road underdogs.

The Hornets blasted the Spurs, 131-115, in San Antonio, Dec. 15, as 2-point road underdogs, and the Over easily cashed on the 224-point total.

Spurs at Hornets odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:45 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Spurs +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Hornets -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Spurs +3.5 (-105) | Hornets -3.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 236.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Spurs at Hornets key injuries

Spurs

  • None

Hornets

  • SF Gordon Hayward (ankle) out

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Spurs at Hornets odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Hornets 114, Spurs 111

Money line

PASS.

Since I only “lean” to San Antonio’s spread, I’m not going to sprinkle on the Spurs (+140).

Furthermore, San Antonio has a knack for losing tight games and has the second-worst win differential based on adjusted net rating at minus-6.2, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Essentially the Spurs have six fewer wins than they should, and a big reason for that is San Antonio’s third-worst “clutch” time net rating. “Clutch” is defined by games within a 5-point margin inside of five minutes to play.

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Against the spread

“LEAN” to the SPURS +3.5 (-105) for a half-unit, at most, since a vast majority of the market is betting the Hornets -3.5 (-120), according to VegasInsider.com, and it’s a slightly better spot for San Antonio.

For instance, the Spurs are 15-11 ATS as road underdogs (plus-4.3 ATS margin), 10-6-1 ATS on the road versus teams with a losing record and 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games versus losing teams. While the Hornets are 6-7 ATS as home favorites and 5-7 ATS at home versus losing teams.

But, since most of the action is on Charlotte and San Antonio has a couple of contributors listed as “questionable” on its injury report, I’d wait closer to tip-off before placing a LITE WAGER on the SPURS +3.5 (-105).

Over/Under

The UNDER 236.5 (-110) is my favorite play in the Spurs-Hornets game because there are several Under-friendly trends, the Under has been hit by a sharp line move, and both teams are in the bottom-four of offensive FT/FGA rate.

This total opened at 241.5 and has been steamed all the way down to the current number. This has to be sharp money since I doubt a lot of casual NBA bettors are betting the Under in a Spurs-Hornets game.

Also, the Spurs are 9-16-1 O/U as road underdogs and 7-10 O/U with a rest disadvantage. Whereas the Hornets are 7-9-1 O/U as home favorites, 5-7 ATS when playing with a rest advantage and 1-4 O/U in their last five games.

However, I hesitate to put a full unit on the UNDER 236.5 (-110) since we are getting the worst of the number.

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San Antonio Spurs at Charlotte Hornets odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s San Antonio Spurs at Charlotte Hornets NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The San Antonio Spurs (15-11) stop by Spectrum Center Sunday for a 7 p.m. ET tip-off against the Charlotte Hornets (13-14). Below, we analyze the Spurs-Hornets NBA odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

San Antonio is off to a solid start to February, winning four of six games but covering the spread in just three of those, the Spurs are having success at the foul line on both ends and rank ninth in FTA rate on both ends of the court.

The Hornets’ offense has been terrific since rookie PG LaMelo Ball was added to the starting lineup Feb. 1. Charlotte is 10th in offensive rating, fourth in offensive rebounding rate and sixth in fast-break points per game this month.

The Spurs won last season’s series 2-0 but covered the spread in only one of those games.

Spurs at Hornets: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:10 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Spurs -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Hornets +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Spurs -1.5 (-115) | Hornets +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 228.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Spurs at Hornets: Key injuries

Spurs

  • PF LaMarcus Aldridge (hip) out

Hornets

  • PF PJ Washington (health and safety protocols) doubtful
  • SG Cody Martin (health and safety protocols) out
  • SG Caleb Martin (health and safety protocols) out

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Spurs at Hornets: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Spurs 119, Hornets 111

Money line (ML)

San Antonio has one of the most underrated defenses in the Association with a lineup of elite defenders in the backcourt and frontcourt. The absence of Aldridge forces C Jakob Poeltl into the starting lineup and Poeltl is top-20 in rebounding rate, blocks per game and defensive rating.

Also, the Hornets have the worst defensive rebounding percentage in the NBA and Washington being doubtful to play forces Charlotte to use a three-guard starting lineup.

It’s hard to ignore the promise Ball has shown early in his rookie season but Spurs PG Dejounte Murray and his backup PG Patty Mills get after it defensively. With Poeltl behind them and Charlotte’s rebounding already being an issue, Murray and Mills can be more aggressive with the ballhandlers.

Since this is close to a pick ’em, each team’s star is going to be counted on to close the game out and I have more faith in Spurs SF DeMar DeRozan than Hornets SF Gordon Hayward. DeRozan has significantly outplayed Hayward in their 16 career meetings with his teams going 10-6 and DeRozan outscoring Hayward in their previous seven matchups.

TAKE SPURS (-130) for 1 unit.

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Against the spread (ATS)

PASS ON THE SPREAD unless the money line drops to -140 because I’d rather lay the points than eat the chalk.

Over/Under (O/U)

lean OVER 228.5 (-110) for a tiny wager only in part because my read is San Antonio’s offense should cut right through Charlotte’s defense and the market is barreling into the Over.

Usually, I’d like to fade the market but we are somewhat aligned on this one and I’d rather follow the money than fade it here.

Again, though, it’s only a lean.

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