Spurs Grizzlies odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Antonio Spurs (13-27) and Memphis Grizzlies (26-13) meet Monday at FedExForum. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Spurs vs. Grizzlies odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Spurs covered the spread as 15-point home underdogs in a 121-116 loss vs. the Boston Celtics Saturday. Eight San Antonio players scored in double figures as the Spurs dropped to 1-4 in their last 5 games. San Antonio is 5-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last 6 games.

The Grizzlies failed to cover as 5.5-point home favorites in a 123-118 win vs. the Utah Jazz Sunday. G Desmond Bane finished with 24 points and 9 assists, both game-highs, in the absence of G Ja Morant (thigh soreness). Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.

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Spurs at Grizzlies odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:41 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Spurs +450 (bet $100 to win $450) | Grizzlies -600 (bet $600 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Spurs +11.5 (-110) | Grizzlies -11.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 237.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Spurs at Grizzlies key injuries

Spurs

F Keldon Johnson (hamstring) questionable
C Jakob Poeltl (Achilles) probable

Grizzlies

Not yet submitted

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Spurs at Grizzlies picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 120, Spurs 107

Moneyline

PASS.

The Grizzlies had to go to overtime to escape San Antonio with a 124-122 win in their last meeting Nov. 9. The Grizzlies (-600) should win Monday, but there is no need to risk 6 times your potential profit on the ML in this divisional matchup. Bet the spread or total instead.

Against the spread

BET GRIZZLIES -11.5 (-110).

Even if Morant sits out again with thigh soreness, the Grizzlies should be able to win by margin Monday vs. a bottom-3 team in the Spurs. F Keldon Johnson could potentially return for San Antonio, but shouldn’t be too effective coming off a hamstring injury. The Grizzlies are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 head-to-head meetings and should have a better showing at home than their overtime win at San Antonio Nov. 9. Lay the points.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 237.5 (-108).

This is too many points for this divisional matchup. These teams tend to play low-scoring games against each other and the Under is 5-1 in their last 6 meetings. Look for the Spurs’ bottom-10 offense to regress toward the mean after putting up an average of 117 points over their last 3 games.

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San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Memphis Grizzlies (42-20) host the San Antonio Spurs (24-37) Monday at FedExForum for an 8 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Spurs vs. Grizzlies odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

San Antonio is 1-1 straight up (SU) and 2-0 against the spread (ATS) since the All-Star break, including a 133-129 loss to the Heat Saturday in Miami as a 13-point road underdog. On the road, the Spurs are 13-19 SU but 18-13-1 ATS.

Memphis split its first two games following the All-Star Game, also going 1-1 ATS. The Grizzlies recently won at the Chicago Bulls 116-110 Saturday, covering as 2.5-point favorites. The Grizzlies are 20-10 SU and 18-12 ATS at home.

The Grizzlies have won five consecutive meetings with the Spurs (4-1 ATS), including the first two of this season’s head-to-head series (2-0 ATS).

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA February 28 breakdown

Spurs at Grizzlies odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:32 p.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Spurs +300 (bet $100 to win $300) | Grizzlies -400 (bet $400 to win $100)
Against the spread: Spurs +7.5 (-102) | Grizzlies -7.5 (-122)
Over/Under (O/U): 237.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Spurs at Grizzlies key injuries

Spurs

SF Doug McDermott (knee) questionable

Grizzlies

SF Dillon Brooks (ankle) out
PF Brandon Clarke (eye) questionable

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Spurs at Grizzlies odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 114, Spurs 110

Money line

PASS even though I like San Antonio plus the points here.

Because the Grizzlies (-400) have dominated the Spurs (+300) in recent seasons, I won’t be “sprinkling” on the underdogs’ ML.

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Against the spread

BET SPURS +7.5 (-102) because they can minimize some of the things the Grizzlies do well and there’s slight reverse-line movement (RLM) heading in San Antonio’s direction.

Memphis likes to force turnovers, leading to easy buckets and getting out in transition. But San Antonio is first in offensive-turnover rate, sixth in points off of turnovers allowed and ninth in fast-break points per game (PPG) allowed.

Also, a majority of the action is on the Grizzlies, but the sportsbooks are making Memphis cheaper. Anytime you see this kind of RLM, it should raise red flags. Ask yourself, why would the “House” make the more popular side cheaper?

Finally, San Antonio has been profitable on the road versus quality competition. According to CleaningTheGlass.com, the Spurs have a plus-4.5 ATS margin when visiting teams in the top 10 of adjusted net rating.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 237.5 (-110) for a small wager as a fade against a majority of the market, which is barreling into the Over and all the Over-friendly trends in this game.

The bottom line is it feels like very few people will be on the Under here, and taking the road less traveled in sports betting is typically where you find value.

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San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Antonio Spurs (14-19) meet the Memphis Grizzlies (22-14) Friday for an 8 p.m. ET tip-off at the FedExForum. Below, we look at the Spurs vs. Grizzlies odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

San Antonio had its three-game winning streak snapped Monday in a 110-104 loss to the Utah Jazz, but the Spurs covered as 7-point home underdogs.

In the last 14 days, San Antonio is 4-2 straight-up (SU), 5-1 ATS, and 4-2 O/U with the second-best adjusted net rating at plus-13.2 points per 100 possessions, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Memphis squeaked past the Los Angeles Lakers 104-99 Wednesday as 6-point home favorites to win its third consecutive game.

The Grizzlies are 4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS, and 4-3 O/U over the past two weeks with the 12th-ranked adjusted net rating at plus-3.2 points per 100 possessions (CTG).

Memphis beat San Antonio in all three meetings last season, covering in two of those victories, and the total was 2-1 O/U in those contests.

Spurs at Grizzlies odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:50 p.m. ET.

Money line: Spurs +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Grizzlies -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Spurs +5.5 (-110) | Grizzlies -5.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 226.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Spurs at Grizzlies key injuries

Spurs

PG Dejounte Murray (health and safety protocols) out
SG Lonnie Walker IV (knee) questionable

Grizzlies

SG Dillon Brooks (health and safety protocols) out
SG De’Anthony Melton (health and safety protocols) out
SG John Konchar (health and safety protocols) out

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Spurs at Grizzlies odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Spurs 113, Grizzlies 109

Money line

“SPRINKLE” a small wager on the SPURS (+180) because they are better than their record indicates and I like the value of San Antonio’s spread.

For instance, San Antonio has the second-worst win differential at minus-4.0 according to adjusted net rating, which essentially means the Spurs should have four more wins than they currently do.

Furthermore, San Antonio can neutralize Memphis’s fastbreak offense. The Spurs have the third-best defensive efficiency vs. transition offense and allow the third-fewest fastbreak points per game.

Also, don’t sleep on the absences of Brooks and Melton for the Grizzlies. Brooks grades in the 90th percentile of wings in on/off adjusted net rating at plus-10.3 points per 100 possessions and Melton grades in the 72nd percentile of combo guards at plus-4.6 points per 100 possessions (CTG).

That said, San Antonio plus the points is the much sharper play so it’s only a “LEAN” towards the SPURS (+180) with the plan of putting a full unit on their spread.

Against the spread

Definitely BET the SPURS +5.5 (-110) heavier than or instead of the money line since this is a better spot for San Antonio who has covered four straight games entering Friday.

On top of that, the Spurs are 7-1 ATS when getting spotted 5-7 points and 9-4 ATS as a road underdog with a plus-7.7 spread differential. Whereas, Memphis is 6-8 ATS as a home favorite.

For what it’s worth, the SPURS +5.5 (-110) is my favorite play in this game.

Over/Under

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 226.5 (-110) for a small wager, if at all, because the Spurs are 5-10-1 O/U on the road with a minus-5.8 margin on the total and the Grizzlies have the best defensive rating this month.

That said, I can only “lean” to the Under because San Antonio has gone Over the total in its last eight vs. teams with a winning record and the Over has cashed in five of the last six Spurs-Grizzlies meetings.

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Play-in tournament: San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA picks, tips and predictions.

The San Antonio Spurs (33-39) and Memphis Grizzlies (38-34) face each other in a Western Conference play-in game Wednesday at FedEx Forum in Memphis. Tip-off is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Spurs vs. Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

The Spurs really struggled down the stretch, losing four straight games to close out the regular season, going just 1-2-1 ATS. While they were a bit erratic against the spread, total bettors loved them at the window, as the Over went 4-1 in the final five outings.

The Grizzlies fell on the road against the Golden State Warriors in their season finale, 113-101, but they had won five consecutive games including four at home. As far as the total is concerned, they were the opposite of the Spurs, as the Under was 3-0 in their final three and 6-1 across the past seven.

Spurs at Grizzlies: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:10 a.m. ET.

Money line: Spurs +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Grizzlies -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Spurs +4 (-110) | Grizzlies -4 (-110)
Over/Under: 222.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Spurs at Grizzlies: Key injuries

Spurs

PF Trey Lyles (ankle) out
PF Luka Samanic (hand) out
PG Derrick White (ankle) out

Grizzlies

PG Grayson Allen (abdominal) out
SF Sean McDermott (foot) out

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Spurs at Grizzlies: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Grizzlies 126, Spurs 109

Money line (ML)

The GRIZZLIES (-175) are moderately expensive if you want to just bet a winner straight up without having to deal with the points. That’s some people’s preference, but for me, I’d rather just bet the home side and lay the points. I don’t believe this one will be terribly close.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The GRIZZLIES -4 (-110) swept the most recent two-game set against the Spurs +4 (-110) Jan. 30-Feb. 1, winning by a combined 131.0 PPG to 107 PPG. They cashed in each game in San Antonio as an underdog. Look for Memphis to roll on its home floor here, as they have been hot lately, and San Antonio, not so much.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 222.5 (-110) is the play here, even though the Grizz have hit the Under in six of their past seven. The Over is on a roll for the Spurs lately, and the Over connected in each of the three regular-season meetings in this series.

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San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s San Antonio Spurs at Mephis Grizzlies NBA betting odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The San Antonio Spurs and Memphis Grizzles begin their 2020-21 regular-season campaigns Wednesday with an 8 p.m. ET tip-off at FedEx Forum. Below, we analyze the Spurs-Grizzlies NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Spurs at Grizzlies: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1 p.m. ET.

Money line: Spurs +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Grizzlies -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Spurs +2.5 (-110) | Grizzlies -2.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 231.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Spurs at Grizzlies: Key Injuries

Spurs

G Quinndary Weatherspoon (knee) out
G Derrick White (toe) out

Grizzlies

PF Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee) out
SG Justise Winslow (hip) out

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Spurs at Grizzlies: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Grizzlies 118, Spurs 115

Money line (ML)

The Grizzlies are coming off a 34-39 season which came up just short in a playoff bid in the August bubble upon the restart. Injuries took a toll as the Grizz finished the season 2-7 after returning to play.

While Jackson will remain out to start 2020-21, Rookie of the Year PG Ja Morant will lead the way to a GRIZZLIES (-145) victory over a Spurs team that went 32-39 a year ago. SG DeMar DeRozan and PF LaMarcus Aldridge lead the way for Gregg Popovich’s bunch, but the absence of White to begin the season will be felt against a deep and well-rounded Memphis side.

Memphis is a +15000 long shot to win the 2020-21 NBA championship, according to BetMGM, while San Antonio is +25000. These NBA futures odds give us a good read on early-season handicaps. Side with the house and bet the Grizzlies.

Against the spread (ATS)

MEMPHIS -2.5 (-110) offers a little better value to win by at least 3 points Wednesday and should be backed at a very manageable number. The Grizzlies’ head-to-head victories last season came by 4 and 13 points.

Over/Under (O/U)

Bet the OVER 231.5 (-110) lightly. Both teams allowed over 113 points per game last season with a negative 1.1 point differential. Two of last season’s four meetings played to a total of more than 250 points.

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