San Antonio Spurs at Philadelphia 76ers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s San Antonio Spurs at Philadelphia 76ers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia 76ers (0-2) welcome the San Antonio Spurs (1-1) to Wells Fargo Center Saturday. Tip-off is set for 6 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Spurs vs. 76ers odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The 76ers come into this game having dropped their first home game of the season 90-88 to the Milwaukee Bucks as 4.5-point favorites Thursday. They also lost their season opener 99-90 at the Boston Celtics Tuesday.

Philadelphia is led by C Joel Embiid and G James Harden, who are averaging 20.5 and 33 points per game, respectively. Third-year G Tyrese Maxey sits 3rd on the team with 18 points per game.

The Spurs have far lower expectations to start the season but are coming off a 137-134 win at the Indiana Pacers Sunday. San Antonio jumped out to a 70-55 lead at the half and covered the spread as a 2-point underdog.

The Spurs have 5 players averaging double figures, but it is former Kentucky Wildcats F Keldon Johnson leading the way with 21.5 points per game.

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Spurs at 76ers odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Spurs +650 (bet $100 to win $650) | 76ers -1100 (bet $1,100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Spurs +12.5 (-105) | 76ers -12.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 224.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Spurs at 76ers key injuries

Spurs

  • Not officially submitted

76ers

  • Not officially submitted

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Spurs at 76ers picks and predictions

Prediction

76ers 115, Spurs 108

Moneyline

PASS.

I actually don’t hate a tiny sprinkle on the Spurs (+650) here as they have a plethora of young, defensive-minded players that should be able to stay in front of Harden and Maxey.

Nonetheless, I don’t see them having the size to handle Embiid well, and on the road, I would far rather take the points.

Against the spread

BET SPURS +12.5 (-105).

San Antonio is a well-coached team and may not have the most talent but should stay competitive in most games. It is deep and has a plethora of options offensively.

The 76ers were just 17-20 ATS as home favorites last season and are already 0-1 ATS at home this season in that spot. The 76ers rely on isolation-heavy basketball with Embiid and Harden which often slows the game and should result in less scoring.

The Spurs were 19-13-1 ATS as road underdogs last season and have a similar roster and coaching staff this season.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 224.5 (-110).

Philadelphia was 15-21-1 O/U as a home favorite last season, and it is truly the pace at which the 76ers ideally play that limits the scoring upside — something the Spurs didn’t face with the young Pacers Friday.

While the season is young, the 76ers are 27th in pace. With Embiid playing a factor yet not being huge in the transition game, Philly should want to limit the speed of play.

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San Antonio Spurs at Philadelphia 76ers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s San Antonio Spurs at Philadelphia 76ers and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Antonio Spurs (15-22) travel to the City of Brotherly Love Friday for a 7 p.m. ET game against the Philadelphia 76ers (21-16) at the Wells Fargo Center. Below, we look at the Spurs vs. 76ers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

San Antonio snapped its four-game losing skid Wednesday with a 99-97 upset versus the Boston Celtics as 7.5-point road underdogs. It was Spurs PG Dejounte Murray‘s first game back after missing the previous four games with COVID.

Over the past two weeks, San Antonio is 3-4 straight-up (SU), 4-3 ATS and 3-3 O/U with the 14th-ranked adjusted net rating at plus-1.5 points per 100 possessions, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Philly has won five consecutive games entering Friday with the latest being a 116-106 victory at the Orlando Magic, covering as 8.5-point road favorites.

In the last 14 days, the Sixers are 5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS and 4-2 O/U with the second-best adjusted net rating at plus-10.1 points per 100 possessions, per CTG.

The Sixers have won five consecutive meetings with the Spurs but have only covered in two of those wins and the total is 4-2 O/U in those contests.

Spurs at 76ers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Spurs +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | 76ers -290 (bet $290 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Spurs +6.5 (-107) | 76ers -6.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 218.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Spurs at 76ers key injuries

Spurs

  • PF Keldon Johnson (health and safety protocols) out
  • PF Thaddeus Young (health and safety protocols) out
  • PG Derrick White (health and safety protocols) out
  • SG Doug McDermott (health and safety protocols) out
  • SF Devin Vassell (health and safety protocols) out
  • SG Lonnie Walker IV (reconditioning) questionable

76ers

  • PG Shake Milton (back) out
  • PG Tyrese Maxey (health and safety protocols) out
  • SG Danny Green (calf) questionable

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Spurs at 76ers odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

76ers 111, Spurs 107

Money line

PASS with a “lean” to the Spurs (+225) because I like their spread, and generally I’ll sprinkle on an underdog’s money line when betting them to cover the spread.

However, San Antonio is just missing too many key contributors despite how fat the Spurs (+225) payout is.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the SPURS +6.5 (-107) because it’s a better spot for them, and San Antonio has a strength-on-weakness edge over Philly in fastbreak basketball.

For instance, the Spurs are 7-3 ATS when being spotted 5-7 points, and the Sixers are 0-3 when laying that many points.

Also, San Antonio is 10-6 ATS as a road underdog with a plus-5.3 ATS margin while Philly is 3-6 ATS as a home favorite.

Furthermore, the Spurs play at the fourth-highest pace in the NBA and have the ninth-best offensive efficiency in transition. Plus San Antonio scores the sixth-most fastbreak points per game.

But, the Sixers have the third-worst defensive efficiency in transition and have the second-worst fastbreak points allowed per game.

That said, I can only “LEAN” to the SPURS +6.5 (-107) because of their injury woes.

Over/Under

PASS since my prediction aligns too closely to Tipico’s projection. So there’s no value for me in betting this total.

For what it’s worth, the Spurs are 7-12-1 O/U on the road and the Sixers are 5-10 O/U at home. If I were to bet either side of the total, I’d take the Under.

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San Antonio Spurs at Philadelphia 76ers odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s San Antonio Spurs at Philadelphia 76ers NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The San Antonio Spurs (19-15) travel in-state Sunday to play the Dallas Mavericks (26-12) at the Wells Fargo Center. The tip-off is set for 6:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Spurs-76ers odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Spurs at 76ers: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Spurs +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | 76ers -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Spurs +4 (-110) | 76ers -4 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 223.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Spurs at 76ers: Key injuries

Spurs

  • LaMarcus Aldridge (trade block) out
  • SF DeMar DeRozan (personal) out

76ers

  • PG Ben Simmons (health and safety protocols) probable
  • C Joel Embiid (knee) out

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Spurs at 76ers: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

76ers 113, Spurs 104

Money line (ML)

PASS with a lean on 76ers (-175) because I’d entertain putting Philadelphia’s money line in a parlay, but it’s -130 or greater that prices me out of betting an NBA regular-season favorite.

However, Simmons has enough talent and help around him in Philly to shoulder the burden while Embiid is out with injury, and I’m expecting a statement tonight from the Sixers.

Furthermore, aside from wanting to prove Philly doesn’t need Embiid to win games, there could be additional motivation for Simmons in this game to dominate.

Simmons’ teammate on the Australian national squad—guard Patty Mills—plays for San Antonio, and you know he wants bragging rights over his buddy. In fact, the Sixers are 5-1 against the Spurs when Simmons plays.

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Against the spread (ATS)

BET 76ERS -4 (-110) for 1.25 units.

San Antonio wing DeRozan is the team’s leading scorer, assist man with the most win shares and highest usage rate, so with DeRozan out of the lineup, there’s a mystery on how the Spurs score.

Usually, a team can make up for a lack of scoring by increasing their 3-point attempts and aggressiveness of attacking the basket.

But, San Antonio is 22nd in FTA/FG rate as a team, and DeRozan is in the 98th percentile of wings in on-off rating for team free-throw attempt rate, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

Over/Under (O/U)

GIMME UNDER 223.5 (-110) for a half-unit only because we are a little late to the party, and the market has already bet this total down from the 222.5-point opener.

The case for the under is pretty simple though. The Sixers will be missing Embiid more on offense than defense. Philly backup big Dwight Howard is still an elite defensive big plus San Antonio has two good defensive bigs in its lineup with Rudy Gay and Jakob Poeltl.

Lastly, the Spurs built their whole offensive scheme around the two former All-Stars (DeRozan and Aldridge) who aren’t going to play and like to operate in the mid-range.

For instance, according to CleaningTheGlass.com, San Antonio attempts the 4th-highest rate of mid-range shots, but Philly has the 4th-best defensive midrange field goal percentage.

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