Packers must overcome special teams gap to beat Cowboys in playoffs

The Cowboys special teams present a tremendous challenge for Rich Bisaccia and the Packers in Sunday’s NFC Wild Card Round.

The Green Bay Packers defense will face the tall task of trying to slow down the Dallas Cowboys’ high-scoring offense during Sunday’s NFC Wild Card Round showdown. But another area where the Cowboys have the advantage, at least on paper, is special teams.

In Rick Gosselin’s annual special teams rankings for 2023, the Packers dropped seven spots to 29th place, while the Cowboys were ranked as the 12th best.

Cowboys return man KaVontae Turpin has speed, and he has been dynamic with the ball in his hands, specifically on kickoffs, where he’s averaged 29.2 yards per return during the regular season–the second-best rate in football. Turpin also handles punt returns as well.

“He’s a tremendous challenge,” said Rich Bisaccia of Turpin. “He’s got great speed. He’s got great vision, can make you miss, and he can score. He can go the distance. He’s really fast anyway, but he’s extremely fast in that particular stadium. How we deal with him in the punt game and how we deal with him in the kickoff game remains to be seen, but he’s a problem.”

The Packers’ coverage units have probably been the most consistent aspects of the special teams unit this season, with Bisaccia calling their performances in those phases “solid,” but Turpin will present them with a challenge.

Brandon Aubrey was one of the most reliable kickers this season, making 94.7 percent of his field goal attempts. This includes going 10-for-10 from 50-plus yards. He’s basically been automatic at home.

And if you’re hoping that now two-time All-Pro Keisean Nixon will have the opportunity to provide the Packers with a spark, odds are he won’t have the opportunity to do so with Aubrey booting the ball through the end zone. Only 7.3 percent of Aubrey’s kickoffs were returned in 2023–a league low.

“Well, he hasn’t in that stadium,” said Bisaccia about Aubrey giving up kick return attempts in Dallas. “Unless you’re determined to return it. He’s had a couple miss hits. I think Washington had three returns against him last week, although it was outdoors. But he’s having a tremendous year. Not only on kickoffs but what he’s doing on field goals as well. He might have missed a couple PATs in there somewhere, but he’s had a tremendous year.”

On top of all of that, the Cowboys have four blocked kicks this season. If the Packers are going to have the opportunity to make a splash on special teams, it may have to come on punt returns, where nearly 55 percent of Bryan Anger’s punt attempts are returned with that coverage unit allowing 10.4 yards per return, which is slightly below league average.

“They got a good punt rush team and playing with big people inside,” added Bisaccia. “They were a challenge last year playing against them up here. We expect the same challenge going into their place.”

The Packers special teams unit has been plagued by penalties this season, with Green Bay leading the NFL in most penalties accepted in that phase of the game. With a Cowboys offense averaging almost 30 points per game, they don’t need any extra help from self-inflicted penalties by the Packers special teams unit.

Anders Carlson has also gone through the rookie roller coaster, missing either an extra point or a field goal in eight of his last 10 games–a far cry from the steady presence that the Cowboys have in Aubrey.

Everything is magnified once you get to the NFL playoffs. And as Packers fans have learned over the years, that includes special teams miscues. If the Packers are going to pull off the upset, they’ll have to be buttoned up on special teams.

Missed field goals, penalties, losing the field position battle, or whatever other issue could present itself may prove to be too much to overcome when coupled with the challenge that the Cowboys’ offensive and defensive units bring to the table as well.

Packers vs. Cowboys playoff preview: Who has the edge on special teams?

Special teams can make or break a playoff game, as the Packers know all too well. Who has the advantage on special teams in Packers vs. Cowboys?

The Green Bay Packers (9-8) are going on the road to play the Dallas Cowboys (12-5) in the NFC Wild Card Round on Sunday at AT&T Stadium. At most sportsbooks, the seventh-seeded Packers are touchdown underdogs.

Football is a complicated game, but finding the reasons for winning individual matchups between teams each week is often a straightforward exercise. What wins games? Excellent quarterback play, winning the line of scrimmage, taking care of the football and taking it away, controlling the important situations and overcoming or taking advantage of the injury situation.

We’ve already looked at the quarterback battle, the line of scrimmage and turnovers/situational matchups. And the Cowboys are the healthier team, a fact that will become obvious when Friday’s final injury report arrives. So, let’s look at one final area of importance: special teams.

Here are some relevant numbers:

Packers Cowboys
FG% 81.8 (24th) 94.7 (2nd)
PAT% 87.2 (30th) 94.2 (21st)
ST penalties 19 (32nd) 17 (29th)
Kick return average 25.3 (5th) 21.8 (21st)
Punt return average 7.3 (29th) 5.4 (32nd)
Kickoff coverage 23.8 (20th) 24.8 (24th)
Punt coverage 11.7 (26th) 10.3 (21st)
Punting average 46.2 (24th) 51.4 (1st)
Net punting average 39.4 (28th) 45.3 (1st)
Punts inside 20% 31.6 (25th) 38.6 (13th)
Kickoff touchback% 43.0 (32nd) 90.8 (1st)
Blocked kicks 1 (12th) 3 (1st)
Giveaways 2 (20th) 0 (1st)
Starting field position 29.8 (8th) 28.9 (14th)
Opp. starting field position 27.7 (9th) 27.3 (7th)
Special teams TDs allowed 1 (23rd) 0 (1st)
PFF ST grade 67.9 (26th) 83.1 (13th)
ST DVOA -3.2 (31st) 1.6 (10th)
Gosselin rank 29th 12th

The Packers know all too well how important special teams can be to the final outcome of a postseason game. In games with razor thin margins, one mistake on special teams can swing a game.

On Sunday, the Packers will have to overcome another poor season overall on special teams and avoid making a game-changing mistake in the third phase to win a game as the road underdog in Dallas.

The Cowboys will go into the showdown Sunday enjoying massive advantages in terms of kicking and punting. Both teams were heavily penalized on special teams and neither was particularly dominant in the return game during the 2023 season, although both teams have an explosive returner.

Cowboys rookie kicker Brandon Aubrey produced what could be an All-Pro season. Packers rookie kicker Anders Carlson endured ups and downs and missed an NFL-high five extra points. It’s worth noting, however, that Aubrey missed a pair of field goals under 40 yards — his first two misses of the season — in the finale against the Commanders. He also missed three extra points. Carlson missed a 41-yard field goal vs. the Bears, and he had missed extra points indoors against the Vikings and Lions over the final eight games. Kicking could be an adventure for at least one team on Sunday.

Aubrey has a big leg and produces touchbacks at a league-high rate, likely limiting the kickoff return potential of Keisean Nixon, the Packers’ best special teams weapon.

Also, Aubrey was a perfect 10-for-10 on field goals of 50 or more yards, including a 60-yarder. He drastically expands the Cowboys’ realistic scoring area. Carlson was 3-for-5 on kicks over 50 with a long of 53.

Cowboys punter Bryan Anger was a Pro Bowler after leading the NFL in yards per punt and net punting average. He is a premier field-flipping punter. Daniel Whelan finished 20th or lower in punting average, net punting average and percentage of punts inside the 20.

The Packers muffed five punts, and both Nixon and Samori Toure lost fumbles returning punts. The Cowboys had zero muffs and zero turnovers in the return game.

KaVonte Turpin, a Pro Bowl returner for the Cowboys last year, averaged 29.2 yards per kickoff return in 2023. He managed only 79 punt return yards this season, but he was arguably the most dangerous punt return in football last season. Can Carlson consistently provide touchbacks on kicks, and can Daniel Whelan keep his coverage teams out of harm’s way? Turpin, like Nixon, has game-breaking potential.

The Packers must also protect against blocks. The Cowboys special teams blocked two punts (NFL high) and a kick.

Both teams missed 12 tackles on special teams during the regular season.

The Cowboys have Pro Bowlers at punter and kicker, and their top returner was a Pro Bowler last year. Special teams coordinator John Fassel is one of the best in the NFL. The Packers finished 29th in Rick Gosselin’s annual special teams rankings after another disappointing year in the third phase. A big edge on special teams goes to Dallas entering Sunday.

Rams unsurprisingly finish last in 2023 special teams rankings

The Rams had the worst special teams unit in the NFL this season after ranking 29th a year ago

It’s pretty safe to say that the Rams’ offense and defense have both exceeded pre-season expectations this year. The offense scored the eighth-most points in the NFL, and while the defense ranked 19th, that’s actually not terrible considering the lack of proven talent on that side of the ball.

The special teams unit, however, has been atrocious. Based on DVOA, it’s one of the worst in NFL history, missing an NFL-high 11 field goals, as well as five extra-point attempts. Ethan Evans averaged only 38.4 net yards per punt because of the Rams’ awful coverage, and he also had one punt blocked.

No matter which area of special teams you look at, the Rams were one of the worst. That’s what makes it so unsurprising that they finished 32nd in Rick Gosselin’s annual special teams rankings after coming in 29th last year.

The Rams accumulated a league-worst 493 points in Gosselin’s rankings, which is based on where teams rank in 22 different categories, from kickoff returns to penalties. For example, if a team ranks last in a category, it gets 32 points. The fewer points, the better. The next-closest team was the Dolphins with 479 points, while the Texans finished first for the second straight season (236 points).

The Rams finished last in kickoff returns (16.1 yards), punt coverage (15.5 yards), points allowed (14) and opponent blocked kicks (3). In all, it was a complete mess in Chase Blackburn’s first season as the special teams coordinator.

There has been no consistency at kicker between Brett Maher and Lucas Havrisik, the Rams have gotten nothing out of their return specialists and the coverage on both kickoffs and punts has been terrible.

Don’t be surprised if sweeping changes are made to the special teams group in the offseason.

Packers fall 7 spots, rank 29th in Gosselin’s special teams rankings for 2023

The Green Bay Packers are back near the bottom of Rick Gosselin’s annual special teams rankings. Rich Bisaccia’s group ranked 29th out of 32 teams in 2023.

The Green Bay Packers are back near the bottom of Rick Gosselin’s annual special teams rankings.

After jumping from No. 32 (last) to No. 22 in Rich Bisaccia’s first season as special teams coordinator in 2022, the Packers fell back seven spots and finished 29th in Gosselin’s rankings for 2023.

Bisaccia’s special teams ranked above only the Washington Commanders, Miami Dolphins and Los Angeles Rams this season.

It’s nothing short of a disappointing finish for a perpetually dysfunctional special teams group now led by one of the NFL’s highest paid coordinators. The Packers had several veterans on special teams — including several hand-picked by Bisaccia — and still struggled.

Overall, the Packers committed an NFL-high 19 accepted penalties on special teams. The league average was 11.

Rookie kicker Anders Carlson ranked 24th in the NFL in field goal percentage and missed an NFL-high five extra points. Punter Daniel Whelan ranked 24th punting average, 29th in net punting and 26th in percentage of punts inside the 20-yard line.

The Packers covered kickoffs fine and got more production out of kick returner Keisean Nixon, but Nixon and Samori Toure both lost fumbles on punt returns. Bisaccia’s group also gave up a punt return for a touchdown in Week 3. Far too often, Nixon took the ball out of the end zone on kickoffs and was stopped short of the 25-yard line, which inflated his return yardage but hurt field position.

The Packers also ranked 29th in punt return average and 26th in opponent punt return average.

Green Bay did rank in the top 10 in average starting field position.

The Dallas Cowboys, who will host the Packers in the NFC Wild Card Round on Sunday, ranked 12th.

Packers in Gosselin’s special teams rankings

2023: 29th
2022: 22nd
2021: 32nd
2020: 29th
2019: 26th
2018: 32nd
2017: 16th
2016: 29th
2015: 17th
2014: 32nd
2013: 20th
2012: 12th

Where Marvin Mims stacked up against NFL’s returners in 2023

Among players with double digit-returns, Broncos rookie Marvin Mims ranked 1st with 16.4 YPR on punts and 4th with 26.5 YPR on kickoffs.

Denver Broncos wide receiver Marvin Mims had a limited role on offense as a rookie, but he made a big impact on special teams.

Mims was elected to the Pro Bowl by players, coaches and fans after he returned 19 punts for 312 yards and 15 kickoffs for 397 yards and one touchdown in his first season as a pro. Mims is now set to handle return duties for the AFC at the Pro Bowl next month.

“How cool for Marvin in his rookie year to be able to come in and be selected as a starter?” Broncos safety Justin Simmons said last week. “Well-deserved for him.”

Among players with double-digit returns, Mims ranked fourth in the NFL averaging 26.5 yards per kickoff return (first in the AFC). He averaged 16.4 yards per punt return, best in the league among qualified returners.

The three players above Mims on kickoffs were KaVontae Turpin (29.2 YPR), Velus Jones Jr. (27.2 YPR) and Raheem Blackshear (26.9 YPR). Here’s a quick look at where Mims stacked up among kickoff and punt returners in 2023.

Comparing Wil Lutz’s stats to Brandon McManus’ stats in 2023

Wil Lutz converted 88.2% of his field goals in 2023, better than Brandon McManus (81.1%). Lutz did miss two PATs (McManus was perfect).

Denver Broncos head coach Sean Payton made a somewhat surprising move last May when he released veteran kicker Brandon McManus.

McManus ranked second on the club’s all-time scoring list and he was the last remaining member from the Super Bowl 50 squad before being cut. The kicker was coming off a down year, however, and releasing him saved the Broncos $3.75 million in 2023 salary cap space.

McManus signed with the Jacksonville Jaguars a few days later.

Denver then had a kicker competition between Brett Maher and Elliott Fry last summer, but neither of them ended up winning the job. Before the start of the season, Payton traded a seventh-round draft pick to the New Orleans Saints in exchange for Wil Lutz, his former kicker.

The switch from McManus to Lutz saved the Broncos $2.05 million in 2023 cap space, so it made sense financially. In hindsight, it also made sense from a football perspective.

Lutz converted 88.2% of his field goals this season, better than the 81.1% conversion rate that McManus posted. Here’s a quick look at a few more of their stats.

WATCH: Chiefs pull off tricky fake punt, convert on fourth down vs. Chargers

The #Chiefs used a fake punt to convert on a fourth down against the #Chargers in Week 18.

The Kansas City Chiefs resorted to trickery to keep a drive alive against the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 18.

Midway through the second quarter, the Chiefs’ offense stalled out on what seemed to be a promising sequence, and Andy Reid elected to send his punt unit out on fourth down.

Everything seemed normal until the ball was snapped and veteran running back La’Mical Perine took a carry for nine yards to get Kansas City back to first down.

Check out a video of the tricky conversion here:

While the Chiefs weren’t able to end this drive with a touchdown, they managed to march the ball near the goal line to set up kicker Harrison Butker with an easy field goal attempt.

Butker would nail his three-point try to give Kansas City a 10-point lead with a little over four minutes remaining before halftime.

Fans can expect Andy Reid to continue looking for unique ways to keep his offense on the field as the Chiefs rest their starters ahead of the AFC playoffs.

Anonymous NFL players rank Saints’ Darren Rizzi as a top-5 special teams coordinator

An NFL Players Association of anonymous players ranked New Orleans Saints assistant Darren Rizzi as a top-5 special teams coordinator:

An anonymous poll from the NFL Players Association surveyed more than 1,700 players, asking them to rate their offensive, defensive, and special teams coordinators on a scale from 1 to 10 — and the NFLPA has already released the top-five at each spot, with the full rankings to come in the offseason.

Just one New Orleans Saints coordinator made the cut for the top-five: Darren Rizzi, their special teams coordinator. A longtime assistant with the Miami Dolphins before he came to New Orleans, Rizzi is respected for his ability to connect to his players and put them in position to win. Rizzi interviewed for the Saints head coach job when it became available in the wake of Sean Payton’s departure from the team, and he added the title of assistant head coach in 2022 under Dennis Allen.

So what were the exact items on this questionnaire? NFLPA president JC Tretter told NFL Network’s Tom Pelissero that these were qualitative ratings with “all encompassing” criteria. Pelissero quoted Tretter as saying “Guys in the Top 5 list pretty clearly appeal to almost everybody in their locker room.”

Another former Saints assistant was also recognized by his players as a great coach: Detroit Lions defensive coordinator Aaron Glenn, who came up on the New Orleans staff working with the secondary under Allen and Payton. He’s repeatedly received interviews for head coach openings around the league and he might be in line to run his own team in the near future.

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Wil Lutz is one field goal away from tying Jason Elam’s franchise record

With one more field goal, Broncos kicker Wil Lutz will tie a single-season franchise record held by Jason Elam (31).

Denver Broncos coach Sean Payton made a surprising move this spring when he released veteran kicker Brandon McManus and replaced him with Wil Lutz.

In hindsight, it looks like Payton made the right decision.

Lutz has converted 88.2% of his field goal attempts this season, better than McManus (80.0%) with the Jacksonville Jaguars. Lutz also has a cheaper contract — switching from McManus to Lutz saved Denver $2.05 million.

“I think he’s doing well,” Broncos coach Sean Payton said of Lutz on Dec. 1. “He’s made some big kicks for us, and he’s been in some big spots … I think he’s doing a good job and I’m glad we have him.”

After a shaky start in Week 1, Payton said Lutz would bounce back, and the coach was right.

The 29-year-old kicker is just one field goal away from tying Jason Elam’s franchise record of 31 field goals in a single season (Brandon McManus and Matt Prater both converted 30 field goals in a single season).

Elam made 31 field goals in two different seasons (1995 and 2001) and to be fair to history, Elam did that during the 16-game era. Still, even with an extra game, Lutz’s numbers are impressive. Two field goals on Sunday would break Elam’s record.

Lutz has also had 88.5% of his kickoffs go for touchbacks this season, seventh-most in the NFL. McManus (75.6%) ranks 23rd.

McManus was one of the best kickers in franchise history and a key member of Denver’s Super Bowl 50 team, but Payton made the right move to switch to Lutz this offseason.

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Chiefs kicker Harrison Butker wins AFC Special Teams Player of the Week honors

#Chiefs kicker Harrison Butker earned Special Teams Player of the Week honors after his six field goal performance against the Bengals.

The Kansas City Chiefs relied on kicker Harrison Butker to score the majority of their points in Week 17 against the Cincinnati Bengals, and his stellar six-for-six showing against the team’s bitter AFC rival earned him Special Teams Player of the Week honors.

Butker accounted for 19 of Kansas City’s 25 points in an effort that helped secure the Chiefs their tenth win of the 2023 season. The veteran kicker started his season with an impressive streak of 23 consecutive three-point attempts made before faltering against the New England Patriots and Las Vegas Raiders in Weeks 15 and 16 respectively, when he missed one attempt in each game.

His bounce-back showing against Cincinnati should have Butker back on track ahead of the playoffs and could be a good indicator that the Chiefs’ golden leg is back to his old ways.

Expect Butker to get another workout against the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 18 if Andy Reid elects to rest Kansas City’s starters,