Sevilla battles AS Roma in the Europa League final Wednesday. Kickoff from Puskás Aréna in Budapest, Hungary, is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Sevilla vs. AS Roma odds, and make our best Europa League bets, picks and predictions.
With 1 league match remaining, Sevilla sits 11th on the La Liga table. Sevilla has averaged 1.24 goals per game and has allowed 1.41 goals per game in league play. It is led by F Youssef En-Nesyri, who leads the team with 18 goals. Sevilla took down Juventus a combined 3-2 in the semifinals and Manchester United a combined 5-2 in the quarterfinals.
Roma sits 6th on the Serie A (top French league) table. It is led by F Paulo Dybala, who has scored 11 goals in 24 matches. Roma’s strength is defense, allowing just a goal per game. Roma took down Leverkusen a combined 1-0 in the semifinals and Feyenoord a combined 4-2 in the quarterfinals to reach this point.
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Sevilla vs. AS Roma odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 10:15 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Sevilla +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | AS Roma +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Draw +190
- Over/Under: 1.5 (O: -190 | U: +135)
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Sevilla vs. AS Roma picks and predictions
Prediction
AS Roma 1, Sevilla 0
Moneyline (ML)
LEAN AS ROMA (+180).
Roma has been rolling through the Europa League. It has had more expected goals in all but 2 games (14 in total). It had doubled its opponents’ expected goals in 9 of those, mainly due to its defensive strength. Roma has also shown greater strength in league play.
Sevilla, on the other hand, has played in 8 Europa League matches, and it has had fewer expected goals than its opponent in all but 1. The consistent strength hasn’t been there.
Take AS ROMA (+180).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER 1.5 (+135).
Sevilla has scored 13 goals in its 8 Europa League games, but it has had more than one expected goal in only 3 of those.
This bet is really on Roma’s defense and its struggling offense. It has gone Under this total in 4 of its last 5 Europa League matches. It has allowed a goal in just 3 of its last 8 as well.
With the unfamiliarity between opponents and Roma’s style of play, take the UNDER 1.5 (+135).
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