Tag: Serie A betting odds lines picks predictions best bets against the spread over/under total moneyline

Napoli vs. AC Milan odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Napoli vs. AC Milan odds and lines, with expert Serie A picks, predictions and best bets.

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Napoli (5 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses) welcome AC Milan (7-0-2) to Stadio Diego Armando Maradona Sunday. Kickoff is set for 3:45 p.m. ET. Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Napoli vs. AC Milan odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.

Napoli beat Union Berlin 1-0 in a midweek Champions League match. The home side took down Hellas Verona 3-1 on the road in its last Serie A battle. It is 2-0-2 at home this season and has scored 20 goals and allowed 10 throughout all 9 league matches. F Victor Osimhen has been the most potent attacker, scoring 6 goals in 8 matches. It has had double its opponent’s expected goals in 3 of 4 home matches.

AC Milan is 4-0-1 on the road in league play this season and also had a midweek Champions League match, losing 3-0 to PSG on the road. Its last league match was a 1-0 home loss to Juventus. Milan had 3 straight wins to start the season but is 4-0-2 over its last 6. 37-year-old F Olivier Giroud and newcomer F Christian Pulisic are tied for a team-high 4 goals.

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Napoli vs. AC Milan odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:49 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Napoli +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | AC Milan +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Draw +240
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -110 | U: -125)

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Napoli vs. AC Milan picks and predictions

Prediction

AC Milan 2, Napoli 1

Moneyline (ML)

LEAN AC MILAN (+220).

Napoli’s play at home hasn’t been impressive.

Coming into the weekend, they had beaten No. 14 Sassuolo and No. 18 Udinese, losing to No. 9 Lazio and No. 5 Fiorentina. Their struggles against teams higher on the table at home is crucial here as Milan sits with the 2nd-most point through 9 matches. Against top-10 teams at home, Napoli have been outscored 5 to 2.

Milan is 4-0-1 on the road and has lost to just Inter, the top team in the league. It has a road win over No. 8 Roma. Milan has the better resume in this situation, and at this value, back AC MILAN (+220).

Over/Under (O/U)

BET OVER 2.5 (-110).

Both teams have potent offenses. Napoli have scored 20 goals through 9 matches and have scored in each home game. Even against Real Madrid in a Champions League group stage home match, they tallied 2 goals.

They have scored 8 goals in 4 home matches. In both games against a team in the top 10 of the table, they have gone Over this total. Milan has gone Over in 3 of 5 road league matches as well, scoring in all 5.

Expect goals and take OVER 2.5 (-110).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Napoli vs. Inter odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Napoli vs. Inter odds and lines, with expert soccer picks, predictions and best bets.

Napoli (26 wins, 4 losses, 5 draws) welcomes Inter (21-11-3) to Stadio Diego Armando Maradona Sunday. Kickoff is set for noon ET. Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Napoli vs. Inter odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.

Napoli has won just 2 of its last 5 games, losing its most recent Serie A battle to Monza 2-0. It is a strong 12-2-3 at home this season, having scored 2 goals per game and having allowed 0.71 goals per game in league matches. It is led by F Victor Osimhen, who has scored 23 goals in 29 games played.

Inter has won 8 straight games throughout all competitions. It beat AC Milan twice by a combined 3-0 to advance to the UEFA Champions League final. It sits 3rd in Serie A competition, having won 8 of 17 goals matches. It is led offensively by F Lautaro Martinez, who has scored 20 goals in 35 matches.

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Napoli vs. Inter odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:07 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Napoli +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Inter +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Draw +220
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -110 | U: -130)

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Napoli vs. Inter picks and predictions

Prediction

Napoli 1, Inter 1

Moneyline (ML)

SPRINKLE DRAW (+220).

While Inter may have its eyes focused on the Champions League, it has played well in Serie A competition lately. It has won 4 straight road matches, but it will face the league’s top team on Sunday.

Napoli, on the other hand, has struggled of late, drawing 4 of its last 7 matches throughout all competitions, which helps aid the prediction here. Even within Napoli’s last 5 competitions which weren’t draws, it was within 0.2 expected goals of its opponent.

Considering the home side’s lack of dominating competition, take the DRAW (+220).

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (-130).

Napoli has gone Under in 6 straight Serie A matches. It has not scored multiple goals in a league game since April 7. It has scored just 4 matches in its last 6 league games. It also has a terrific defense, allowing just 4 goals in its last 6 Serie A competitions. Those heavily suggest the Under as the better side.

Inter has gone Under in 5 of its last 9 league competitions. It has held its opponent to under an expected goal in 5 of its last 6 competitions as well.

Both teams have a competent defense. Considering that, back the UNDER 2.5 (-130).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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AC Milan vs. Lazio odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s AC Milan vs. Lazio odds and lines, with Serie A expert picks, predictions and best bets.

AC Milan (16 wins, 7 losses, 10 draws) welcomes Lazio (19-7-7) to San Siro Saturday. Kickoff is set for 9 a.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the AC Milan vs. Lazio odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.

AC Milan is 1 of the 4 teams left in the UEFA Champions League and sits 6th in Serie A competition. It averages 1.61 goals per game while it allows 1.18. It is 10-2-4 at home this season and is led by F Rafael Leao, who has 12 goals in 31 matches. Milan is 2-0-4 over its last 6 matches.

Lazio sits 2nd in the league and is 9-3-4 on the road this season. It is averaging 1.58 goals per game while allowing just .73. Lazio has allowed the 2nd-fewest goals in Serie A play. It is led in the attack by F Ciro Immobile, who has 10 goals in 26 matches. Lazio has won 5 of its last 7 matches.

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AC Milan vs. Lazio odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 6:55 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: AC Milan +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Lazio +290 (bet $290 to win $100) | Draw +230
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +120 | U: -165)

World class soccer coverage all in one place: Get ESPN+

AC Milan vs. Lazio picks and predictions

Prediction

AC Milan 1, Lazio 1

Moneyline (ML)

SPRINKLE DRAW (+230).

With how Milan has been playing as of late and the location of this game, the Draw (+230) makes the most sense.

Milan has drawn 2 straight games and is 1-0-2 in its last 3 home games as well. It has been within .4 expected goals of its opponent in its last 3 games as well, so it has played to the level of its competition.

Lazio has won 5 of its last 7 but hasn’t played too well on the road this season and has had as many or fewer expected goals as its opponent in 2 of its last 3.

Ultimately, expect a close battle and, for a small unit, play the DRAW (+230).

Over/Under (O/U)

LEAN UNDER 2.5 (-165).

There’s really no other way to play this with how these teams are playing as of late. Milan has gone Under this total in 5 straight games and has scored more than 1 goal in just 1 of those battles. It hasn’t had more than 2 expected goals since April 2.

Lazio has gone Under in 3 of its last 14 games and has had 8 clean sheets in those matches. It has one of the best defenses in the league and has allowed 1 or fewer expected goals in 8 of its last 11 and in 3 of its last 4.

The defenses should dominant, and with that in mind, for a unit given the value, take the UNDER 2.5 (-165).

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Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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Inter vs. Lazio odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Inter vs. Lazio odds and lines, with Serie A expert picks, predictions and best bets.

Inter (17 wins, 11 losses, 3 draws) welcomes Lazio (18-6-7) to Siro Sunday. Kickoff for this Serie A match is set for 6:30 a.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Inter vs. Lazio odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.

Inter has been solid at home this season, posting an 11-5-0 record, having yet to draw at home. It has scored 1.65 goals per game and has allowed 1.10. Inter is led offensively by Argentinian star F Lautaro Martinez, who has 15 goals in 24 starts. Inter sits 7th and has struggled in league play lately, having recorded a 1-4-1 record in its last 6.

Lazio, which sits 2nd in the league, is 9-2-4 on the road this season. It has thrived on the back of an elite defense, allowing just .68 goals per game while scoring 1.58. Italian star F Ciro Immobile has been the key goalscoring option with 10 goals in 20 starts. Lazio has won 7 of its last 9 league matches.

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Inter vs. Lazio odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:23 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Inter -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Lazio +360 (bet $100 to win $360) | Draw +250
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +105 | U: -145)

World class soccer coverage all in one place: Get ESPN+

Inter vs. Lazio picks and predictions

Prediction

Inter 1, Lazio 1

Moneyline (ML)

SPRINKLE DRAW (+250).

While Inter hasn’t drawn at home, Lazio has played high-level soccer as late, and that should result in a close battle.

Lazio has won 4 of its last 5 road matches and has had a clean sheet in all 5 games. Inter has lost 3 straight home games as well, having lost each of those 1-0 yet having more expected goals in all 3 as well.

Combine those two, and both the DRAW(+260) and the double chance TIE OR LAZIO (+100) have value here.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (-135).

Inter has gone Under in 4 of its last 5 games. It has failed to score in 3 of its last 5 games and has averaged .83 goals per game over its last 6. While it has had over 2 expected goals in 3 of its last 4, converting hasn’t been a strength for Inter.

On the other hand, Lazio’s defense is among the best in Serie A, and it has had a clean sheet in 7 of its last 9 games. It has gone Under in 10 of its last 12. At this value, take the UNDER 2.5 (-135).

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Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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AS Roma vs. AC Milan odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s AS Roma vs. AC Milan odds and lines, with expert Serie A picks, predictions and best bets.

AS Roma (17 wins, 9 losses, 5 draws) welcomes AC Milan (16-7-8) to Stadio Olimpico Saturday. Kickoff for this Serie A match is set for noon ET. Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the AS Roma vs. AC Milan odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.

Roma has been strong at Stadio Olimpico, going 10-1-4 at home this season. It averages 1.39 goals per game and allows .94 per game in league play. Roma is led in the attack by Argentinian star F Paulo Dybala with 11 goals in 20 starts. Roma, which sits 5th in Serie A, has averaged 2 goals per game over its last 4 league games and has won 2 in a row at home.

Milan is a mere 6-5-5 on the road this season and sits 4th on the table. It has scored 1.65 goals per game (51 on the season) and has allowed 1.19 per game (37). It is led in the attack by F Rafael Leao, who has 12 goals in 23 starts. Milan has a rough 3-game losing streak in league play in late January, but it is 2-0-2 in its last 4.

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AS Roma vs. AC Milan odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 6:56 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: AS Roma +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | AC Milan +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Draw +200
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +135 | U: -190)

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AS Roma vs. AC Milan picks and predictions

Prediction

AS Roma 2, AC Milan 1

Moneyline (ML)

LEAN AS ROMA (+175).

Simply put, Roma has been better at home than Milan has been on the road, and at this value, backing Roma makes sense.

Roma has won 7 of its last 8 at home, and in all 7 wins, it has not allowed a goal. It has outscored its opponents in its last 8 home games a total of 16-4.

Milan, on the other hand, has lost 4 of its last 7 road matches and has been outscored 8-11. Put it all together and take AS ROMA (+175) to come out on top at home.

Over/Under (O/U)

LEAN OVER 2.5 (+135).

While the juice is on the Under for a reason, Milan has gone Over in 3 of its last 4 road matches and has scored in each of its last 5 road matches, allowing 2 or more goals in 2 of the last 4. It has only been held scoreless in 4 road matches this season, having played 16.

Even Roma’s numbers suggest the Over. It has gone Over in 3 straight home matches, scoring 3 goals per game over its last 3. Its offense has started to click as of late, and Milan doesn’t have the defense there to slow Roma down.

Both teams’ offenses have been performing well lately. With that in mind, back the OVER 2.5 (+135).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Inter vs. Juventus odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Inter vs. Juventus odds and lines, with expert Serie A picks, predictions and best bets.

Inter (16 wins, 8 losses, 2 draws) welcomes Juventus (16-5-5) to San Siro Sunday. Kickoff in the high-profile Serie A battle is set for 3:45 p.m. ET. Below, we preview Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Inter vs. Juventus odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.

Inter lost to Juventus 2-0 on Nov. 6. They had 1.2 expected goals which compared favorably to Juventus’ .9.

Inter sits 2nd in the top Italian league. They are 11-2-0 at home this season and are averaging 1.81 goals per game while allowing 1.15. They have won 6 of their last 10 games across all competitions. Inter is led in scoring by Argentinian F Lautaro Martinez, who has 14 goals in 23 starts.

Had Juventus not been deducted 15 points for alleged financial wrongdoing, they would be sitting 2nd in the league, but are currently 7th. Juventus has won 9 of its last 11 games and is riding a 3-game winning streak, having outscored opponents 7 to 2 in that span. They are led offensively by F Dusan Vlahovic with 8 goals.

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Inter vs. Juventus odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:48 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Inter +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Juventus +275 (bet $100 to win $275) | Draw +235
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +110 | U: -130)

World class soccer coverage all in one place: Get ESPN+

Inter vs. Juventus picks and predictions

Prediction

Inter 1, Juventus 1

Moneyline (ML)

SPRINKLE DRAW (+235).

While Juventus won 2-0 in the 1st meeting, the final stats showed just .3 expected goals splitting the sides.

Both teams are coming into this game hot, but Inter has drawn 2 of its last 7 and should play this game close. Three of Inter’s last 5 games have been within .2 expected goals as well, so it has played down to its competition.

On the other hand, Juventus has had at least 1 expected goal more than their opponent in each of their last 3 games. Given Inter’s home strength mixed with Juventus surging, a DRAW (+235) is good value.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (-130).

Inter’s offense has cooled down as of late. They have scored 4 goals total in their last 5 games throughout all competitions. They have also held their opponent scoreless in 6 of their last 9 games and have allowed multiple goals in just 1 of their last 14 games.

Against Serie A leader Napoli and Juventus, Inter has gone Under this total in both games. Juventus has shut out their opponent in 4 of their last 7. They have gone Under this total in 3 of their last 4.

Despite the juice, take the UNDER 2.5 (-130).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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For sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Plus, try out the USA TODAY Parlay Calculator and please gamble responsibly.

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Napoli vs. Lazio odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Napoli vs. Lazio odds and lines, with expert EPL picks, predictions and best bets.

First-place Napoli (21 wins, 1 loss, 2 draws) welcomes Lazio (13-5-6) to Stadio Diego Armando Maradona Friday. Kickoff is set for 2:45 p.m. ET. Below, we preview Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Napoli vs. Lazio odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.

Napoli has been, by far, the most dominant club in Serie A. The Blues have 65 points in 24 matches, 18 points ahead of Internazionale and AC Milan, who are tied for 2nd-place with 47 points each. Their +43 goal differential leads the league by 22 goals — Lazio is tied in 2nd with Juventus at +21. Napoli’s top scorer is F Victor Osimhen, who has 19 goals in 20 matches.

Lazio is 4th on the league table in 24 matches with 40 goals scored and just 19 allowed. The Eagles are a strong 6-2-3 on the road this season, including holding opponents to a clean sheet 7 times. Italian star F Ciro Immobile Lazio in scoring with 9 goals in 19 matches.

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Napoli vs. Lazio odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 9:16 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Napoli -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Lazio +430 (bet $100 to win $430) | Draw +300
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

World class soccer coverage all in one place: Get ESPN+

Napoli vs. Lazio picks and predictions

Prediction

Napoli 1, Lazio 1

Moneyline (ML)

PASS.

If you’re feeling risky, the Draw (+300) is enticing as the Lazio side has many star Italian players and has also shown competence on the road.

However, Napoli has won 10 of 11 home games and has won 8 straight league games. Napoli hasn’t necessarily destroyed top opponents, beating Milan 2-1 on the road, Lazio 2-1 on the road and losing 1-0 to Inter on the road.

Ultimately, I wouldn’t bet Draw (+300) given Napoli’s home dominance, but there is a tad bit of value given Lazio has won 2 straight league matches and plays well on the road.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (-110).

There are only 3 teams in Serie A that have allowed Under 20 goals in league matches, and 2 of them will be on display in this game. Throughout all competitions, Lazio has gone Under this total in 8 straight games and in 5 consecutive league matches. Despite the first season meeting ending with Lazio winning 2-1, there were just 2.4 expected goals.

Napoli has allowed 1 goal in its last 7 matches and have 5 consecutive clean sheets (4 in league play). The defenses are elite, and I expect limited opportunities in this showdown.

BACK UNDER 2.5 (-110).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

For sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Plus, try out the USA TODAY Parlay Calculator and please gamble responsibly.

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Napoli vs. Juventus odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Napoli vs. Juventus odds and lines, with Serie A expert picks, predictions and best bets.

Napoli (14 wins, 1 loss, 2 draws) welcomes Juventus (11-2-4) to Stadio Diego Armando Maradona Friday. Kickoff between the top 2 sides in Serie A is set for 2:45 p.m. ET. Below, we preview Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Napoli vs. Juventus odds, and make our best Serie A bets, picks and predictions.

This has been Juventus’ league over the past decade as they have won 8 of the last 10 league titles. Napoli will be searching for their 1st since the 1989-90 season. Behind 24-year-old Nigerian F Victor Osimhen, they are well on their way. Osimhen has a team-high 10 goals in 12 starts. Napoli is averaging 2.29 goals per game and has only allowed 13 in 17 matches. They are 7-0-1 at home.

Juventus has won 5 straight league matches, 2 of which were on the road. In all 5, they held their opponents scoreless and in 3 of the 5, they won 1-0. They are led by 22-year-old Serbian F Dušan Vlahović who has 6 goals in 10 starts. They have allowed just 7 goals in 17 games.

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Napoli vs. Juventus odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:13 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Napoli -101 (bet $101 to win $100) | Juventus +300 (bet $100 to win $300) | Draw +250
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +110 | U: -130)

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Napoli vs. Juventus picks and predictions

Prediction

Napoli 1, Juventus 1

Moneyline (ML)

LEAN DRAW (+250).

Juventus is on fire and has consistently been the best team in the league. They have won 8 straight league matches. However, they have struggled on the road, posting a 4-2-2 record.

They are 1-1-0 against top-4 Serie A sides, so they have had relative success against the top tier. Napoli has had fewer expected goals in both of their games against top-4 opponents.

That said, this should be a hard-fought game between 2 terrific defenses, and considering the home side’s weakness against top-tier opponents, the DRAW (+250) has value here.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (-130).

As noted, both teams are allowing under a goal per game. Napoli has gone Under this total in 3 of their last 4 league matches this season. They have 4 clean sheets in 8 home games as well.

Juventus has allowed 7 goals all season and has not allowed a goal in a league match since Oct. 8th in a 2-0 road loss to Milan. They have 8 straight clean sheets in Serie A play.

Considering both teams have such strong defenses, back the UNDER 2.5 (-130) here.

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