Tag: Serie A betting odds lines picks predictions best bets

Fiorentina vs. Inter Milan odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Fiorentina vs. Inter Milan odds and lines, with expert Serie A picks, predictions and best bets.

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Fiorentina (8 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss) welcomes Inter Milan (8-4-1) to Stadio Artemio Franchi Sunday for a top-four Serie A clash. Kickoff is set for noon ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s soccer odds around the Fiorentina vs. Inter Milan odds, and make our best Serie A picks and predictions.

Fiorentina sits 4th in the top Italian league and has a +17 goal differential, having netted 27 goals  in 13 matches and having allowed a mere 10. It started the season with a 0-3-1 record, but has gone 8-1-1 since. Fiorentina is coming off a 2-0 road win over Como on Sunday and is 4-2-0 at home this season. It is led by F Moise Kean, who has 9 goals in 12 starts.

Inter, which won a Champions League battle 1-0 over RB Leipzig Tuesday, is 4-2-0 on the road in Serie A competition and has won 3 of its last 4 league matches. Its last league result was a 5-0 road win over Hellas Verona on Nov. 23. Inter is led by F Marcus Thuram, who has netted 9 goals in 13 matches.

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Fiorentina vs. Inter Milan odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of soccer odds. Lines last updated at 6:29 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Fiorentina +270 (bet $100 to win $270) | Inter Milan +105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Draw +230 (bet $100 to win $230)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -120 | U: -115)

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Fiorentina vs. Inter Milan picks and predictions

Prediction

Inter 1, Fiorentina 1

Moneyline (ML)

BET DRAW (+230).

Fiorentina drew its first 5 matches of the season throughout all competitions, and although it has had more success as of late, it has had as many or fewer expected goals in 3 of its last 4 Serie A matches.

Fiorentina has wins over both Lazio and AC Milan, so it should be able to keep pace with Inter. Inter has drawn twice in 6 road matches and has 1.1 or fewer expected goals in 2 of its last 3 away games. Expect a close battle here.

Back DRAW (+230).

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (-115).

While Inter’s strength is its offense, Fiorentina’s strength is its defense, allowing just 0.77 goals per game this season. Fiorentina has clean sheets in 3 of its last 4 games and has allowed multiple goals at home just once.

Inter has gone Under this total twice in its last 3 league matches and 4 times in its last 5 across all competitions. It has scored more than 1 goal in just 3 of its last 9 games throughout all its performances.

Take UNDER 2.5 (-115).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Napoli vs. AC Milan odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Napoli vs. AC Milan odds and lines, with expert Serie A picks, predictions and best bets.

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Napoli (5 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses) welcome AC Milan (7-0-2) to Stadio Diego Armando Maradona Sunday. Kickoff is set for 3:45 p.m. ET. Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Napoli vs. AC Milan odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.

Napoli beat Union Berlin 1-0 in a midweek Champions League match. The home side took down Hellas Verona 3-1 on the road in its last Serie A battle. It is 2-0-2 at home this season and has scored 20 goals and allowed 10 throughout all 9 league matches. F Victor Osimhen has been the most potent attacker, scoring 6 goals in 8 matches. It has had double its opponent’s expected goals in 3 of 4 home matches.

AC Milan is 4-0-1 on the road in league play this season and also had a midweek Champions League match, losing 3-0 to PSG on the road. Its last league match was a 1-0 home loss to Juventus. Milan had 3 straight wins to start the season but is 4-0-2 over its last 6. 37-year-old F Olivier Giroud and newcomer F Christian Pulisic are tied for a team-high 4 goals.

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Napoli vs. AC Milan odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:49 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Napoli +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | AC Milan +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Draw +240
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -110 | U: -125)

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Napoli vs. AC Milan picks and predictions

Prediction

AC Milan 2, Napoli 1

Moneyline (ML)

LEAN AC MILAN (+220).

Napoli’s play at home hasn’t been impressive.

Coming into the weekend, they had beaten No. 14 Sassuolo and No. 18 Udinese, losing to No. 9 Lazio and No. 5 Fiorentina. Their struggles against teams higher on the table at home is crucial here as Milan sits with the 2nd-most point through 9 matches. Against top-10 teams at home, Napoli have been outscored 5 to 2.

Milan is 4-0-1 on the road and has lost to just Inter, the top team in the league. It has a road win over No. 8 Roma. Milan has the better resume in this situation, and at this value, back AC MILAN (+220).

Over/Under (O/U)

BET OVER 2.5 (-110).

Both teams have potent offenses. Napoli have scored 20 goals through 9 matches and have scored in each home game. Even against Real Madrid in a Champions League group stage home match, they tallied 2 goals.

They have scored 8 goals in 4 home matches. In both games against a team in the top 10 of the table, they have gone Over this total. Milan has gone Over in 3 of 5 road league matches as well, scoring in all 5.

Expect goals and take OVER 2.5 (-110).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Juventus vs. Lecce odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Juventus vs. Lecce odds and lines, with Serie A expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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Juventus (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) welcomes Lecce (3-2-0) to Allianz Stadium Tuesday for a key Serie A match. Kickoff is set for 2:45 p.m. ET. Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Juventus vs. Lecce odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.

Juventus sits tied for 4th in the Italian top league with 10 points and is 1-1-0 at home. In 5 league matches, it has scored 11 goals and allowed 6, respectively 2.2 and 1.2 goals scored and allowed per game. F Dusan Vlahovic and F Federico Chiesa are the stars for the home side, both with 4 goals scored. Juventus is coming off its 1st loss of the season Saturday, a 4-2 road defeat at the hand of Sassuolo.

Lecce is 3rd, a point ahead of Juventus. It has played 2 road games and hasn’t lost. It also hasn’t won, posting a 0-2-0 record, drawing Fiorentina 2-2 and Monza 1-1. It has scored 8 goals and allowed 4 in 5 matches. F Nikola Krstovic has 3 goals, the only player on Lecce with more than 1. Lecce beat Genoa 1-0 at home on Friday in its last match.

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Juventus vs. Lecce odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 10:51 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Juventus -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Lecce +525 (bet $100 to win $525) | Draw +320 (bet $100 to win $320)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -110 | U: -120)

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Juventus vs. Lecce picks and predictions

Prediction

Juventus 3, Lecce 1

Moneyline (ML)

PASS.

The moneyline value on Juventus to win just isn’t worth taking here. It was 13-3-3 at home last season, struggling on the road which resulted in a 7th-place finish in the league. Juventus beat Leece 2-1 at home last season, and it will likely be able to come out on top.

At -190, there’s just no value. In road matches this season, Lecce has had at least 1.0 fewer expected goals than its opponent. It hasn’t played well and is playing a team that was terrific at home last season. Ultimately, don’t take anything on the moneyline.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET OVER 2.5 (-110).

Juventus allowed 4 goals in its last game and has allowed a goal in 3 of its last 4 games. It has scored 2 or more in all but 1 game as well. It has averaged 2 goals per game at home this season and has at least 1.8 expected goals in 3 of 5. Juventus has top-tier goal scorers that should shine at home.

Leece has allowed an expected goal in 4 of 5 games and has had 0.9 or more expected goals in 4 of 5 as well. It has scored in every game and should be able to continue that against a weak Juventus defense. In this situation, this game went Over this total last season with a 2-1 Juventus win.

Take OVER 2.5 (-110). And given recent trends, it might also be worth making a play on the alternate OVER 3.5 (+220) for a nice payout.

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Internazionale vs. AC Milan odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Inter vs. AC Milan odds and lines, with Serie A expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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Inter (3 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses) welcomes AC Milan (3-0-0) to San Siro Saturday. Kickoff in the high-profile Serie A showdown is set for noon ET (Paramount+). Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Inter vs. AC Milan odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.

Inter technically sits No. 1 on the Serie A table, having scored 8 goals in 3 games while allowing 0. They won at home 2-0 over Monza, on the road 2-0 over Cagliari and 4-0 at home over Fiorentina — having more expected goals than their opponent in each match. Inter is led offensively by F Lautaro Martinez, who has scored 5 goals in 3 games. He finished with a team-high 21 goals last season as Inter ended 3rd in the Serie A table.

AC Milan finished 4th in the league last season and sits 2nd on the table currently. They beat Bologna 2-0 on the road, Torino 4-1 at home and then Roma 2-1 on the road. They are led in scoring by French star F Olivier Giroud, who has 4 goals in 3 matches. As a club, they have tallied 8 goals for and 2 against. Giroud finished second on the team with 13 goals in 33 matches last season.

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Internazionale vs. AC Milan odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Inter +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | AC Milan +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Draw +250
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -125 | U: -110)

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Internazionale vs. AC Milan picks and predictions

Prediction

Inter 2, AC Milan 0

Moneyline (ML)

BET INTER (+110).

Last season, both teams won when they were the home side. AC Milan won 3-2 and Inter won 1-0. I expect this match to feel similar to the latter.

Inter also seems to have the more consistent offensive option, Martinez, and has yet to allow a goal, showcasing a strong defensive presence so far this season. AC Milan, while they have won each game, had 0.1 fewer expected goals than its opponent, Bologna, in its season-opening match.

AC Milan hasn’t dominated like Inter has despite both teams winning each game. Inter has won both home games this season and was 9-3-7 at home last season, suggesting the plus-money moneyline odds may be of good value.

Take INTER (+110).

Over/Under (O/U)

LEAN UNDER 2.5 (-110).

The offense for both teams has been dominant this season, with each team scoring at least 2 goals in every game. However, both defenses have also performed well, which is why even Under this total is 3-3 O/U in their combined games.

Inter has yet to give up a goal while Milan has pitched a shutout and has yet to allow multiple goals in a game. Considering those trends, back the UNDER 2.5 (-110).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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AC Milan vs. Lazio odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s AC Milan vs. Lazio odds and lines, with Serie A expert picks, predictions and best bets.

AC Milan (16 wins, 7 losses, 10 draws) welcomes Lazio (19-7-7) to San Siro Saturday. Kickoff is set for 9 a.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the AC Milan vs. Lazio odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.

AC Milan is 1 of the 4 teams left in the UEFA Champions League and sits 6th in Serie A competition. It averages 1.61 goals per game while it allows 1.18. It is 10-2-4 at home this season and is led by F Rafael Leao, who has 12 goals in 31 matches. Milan is 2-0-4 over its last 6 matches.

Lazio sits 2nd in the league and is 9-3-4 on the road this season. It is averaging 1.58 goals per game while allowing just .73. Lazio has allowed the 2nd-fewest goals in Serie A play. It is led in the attack by F Ciro Immobile, who has 10 goals in 26 matches. Lazio has won 5 of its last 7 matches.

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AC Milan vs. Lazio odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 6:55 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: AC Milan +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Lazio +290 (bet $290 to win $100) | Draw +230
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +120 | U: -165)

World class soccer coverage all in one place: Get ESPN+

AC Milan vs. Lazio picks and predictions

Prediction

AC Milan 1, Lazio 1

Moneyline (ML)

SPRINKLE DRAW (+230).

With how Milan has been playing as of late and the location of this game, the Draw (+230) makes the most sense.

Milan has drawn 2 straight games and is 1-0-2 in its last 3 home games as well. It has been within .4 expected goals of its opponent in its last 3 games as well, so it has played to the level of its competition.

Lazio has won 5 of its last 7 but hasn’t played too well on the road this season and has had as many or fewer expected goals as its opponent in 2 of its last 3.

Ultimately, expect a close battle and, for a small unit, play the DRAW (+230).

Over/Under (O/U)

LEAN UNDER 2.5 (-165).

There’s really no other way to play this with how these teams are playing as of late. Milan has gone Under this total in 5 straight games and has scored more than 1 goal in just 1 of those battles. It hasn’t had more than 2 expected goals since April 2.

Lazio has gone Under in 3 of its last 14 games and has had 8 clean sheets in those matches. It has one of the best defenses in the league and has allowed 1 or fewer expected goals in 8 of its last 11 and in 3 of its last 4.

The defenses should dominant, and with that in mind, for a unit given the value, take the UNDER 2.5 (-165).

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Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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AS Roma vs. AC Milan odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s AS Roma vs. AC Milan odds and lines, with expert Serie A picks, predictions and best bets.

AS Roma (17 wins, 9 losses, 5 draws) welcomes AC Milan (16-7-8) to Stadio Olimpico Saturday. Kickoff for this Serie A match is set for noon ET. Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the AS Roma vs. AC Milan odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.

Roma has been strong at Stadio Olimpico, going 10-1-4 at home this season. It averages 1.39 goals per game and allows .94 per game in league play. Roma is led in the attack by Argentinian star F Paulo Dybala with 11 goals in 20 starts. Roma, which sits 5th in Serie A, has averaged 2 goals per game over its last 4 league games and has won 2 in a row at home.

Milan is a mere 6-5-5 on the road this season and sits 4th on the table. It has scored 1.65 goals per game (51 on the season) and has allowed 1.19 per game (37). It is led in the attack by F Rafael Leao, who has 12 goals in 23 starts. Milan has a rough 3-game losing streak in league play in late January, but it is 2-0-2 in its last 4.

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AS Roma vs. AC Milan odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 6:56 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: AS Roma +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | AC Milan +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Draw +200
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +135 | U: -190)

World class soccer coverage all in one place: Get ESPN+

AS Roma vs. AC Milan picks and predictions

Prediction

AS Roma 2, AC Milan 1

Moneyline (ML)

LEAN AS ROMA (+175).

Simply put, Roma has been better at home than Milan has been on the road, and at this value, backing Roma makes sense.

Roma has won 7 of its last 8 at home, and in all 7 wins, it has not allowed a goal. It has outscored its opponents in its last 8 home games a total of 16-4.

Milan, on the other hand, has lost 4 of its last 7 road matches and has been outscored 8-11. Put it all together and take AS ROMA (+175) to come out on top at home.

Over/Under (O/U)

LEAN OVER 2.5 (+135).

While the juice is on the Under for a reason, Milan has gone Over in 3 of its last 4 road matches and has scored in each of its last 5 road matches, allowing 2 or more goals in 2 of the last 4. It has only been held scoreless in 4 road matches this season, having played 16.

Even Roma’s numbers suggest the Over. It has gone Over in 3 straight home matches, scoring 3 goals per game over its last 3. Its offense has started to click as of late, and Milan doesn’t have the defense there to slow Roma down.

Both teams’ offenses have been performing well lately. With that in mind, back the OVER 2.5 (+135).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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Inter vs. Juventus odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Inter vs. Juventus odds and lines, with expert Serie A picks, predictions and best bets.

Inter (16 wins, 8 losses, 2 draws) welcomes Juventus (16-5-5) to San Siro Sunday. Kickoff in the high-profile Serie A battle is set for 3:45 p.m. ET. Below, we preview Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Inter vs. Juventus odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.

Inter lost to Juventus 2-0 on Nov. 6. They had 1.2 expected goals which compared favorably to Juventus’ .9.

Inter sits 2nd in the top Italian league. They are 11-2-0 at home this season and are averaging 1.81 goals per game while allowing 1.15. They have won 6 of their last 10 games across all competitions. Inter is led in scoring by Argentinian F Lautaro Martinez, who has 14 goals in 23 starts.

Had Juventus not been deducted 15 points for alleged financial wrongdoing, they would be sitting 2nd in the league, but are currently 7th. Juventus has won 9 of its last 11 games and is riding a 3-game winning streak, having outscored opponents 7 to 2 in that span. They are led offensively by F Dusan Vlahovic with 8 goals.

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Inter vs. Juventus odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:48 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Inter +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Juventus +275 (bet $100 to win $275) | Draw +235
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +110 | U: -130)

World class soccer coverage all in one place: Get ESPN+

Inter vs. Juventus picks and predictions

Prediction

Inter 1, Juventus 1

Moneyline (ML)

SPRINKLE DRAW (+235).

While Juventus won 2-0 in the 1st meeting, the final stats showed just .3 expected goals splitting the sides.

Both teams are coming into this game hot, but Inter has drawn 2 of its last 7 and should play this game close. Three of Inter’s last 5 games have been within .2 expected goals as well, so it has played down to its competition.

On the other hand, Juventus has had at least 1 expected goal more than their opponent in each of their last 3 games. Given Inter’s home strength mixed with Juventus surging, a DRAW (+235) is good value.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (-130).

Inter’s offense has cooled down as of late. They have scored 4 goals total in their last 5 games throughout all competitions. They have also held their opponent scoreless in 6 of their last 9 games and have allowed multiple goals in just 1 of their last 14 games.

Against Serie A leader Napoli and Juventus, Inter has gone Under this total in both games. Juventus has shut out their opponent in 4 of their last 7. They have gone Under this total in 3 of their last 4.

Despite the juice, take the UNDER 2.5 (-130).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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For sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Plus, try out the USA TODAY Parlay Calculator and please gamble responsibly.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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Napoli vs. Lazio odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Napoli vs. Lazio odds and lines, with expert EPL picks, predictions and best bets.

First-place Napoli (21 wins, 1 loss, 2 draws) welcomes Lazio (13-5-6) to Stadio Diego Armando Maradona Friday. Kickoff is set for 2:45 p.m. ET. Below, we preview Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Napoli vs. Lazio odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.

Napoli has been, by far, the most dominant club in Serie A. The Blues have 65 points in 24 matches, 18 points ahead of Internazionale and AC Milan, who are tied for 2nd-place with 47 points each. Their +43 goal differential leads the league by 22 goals — Lazio is tied in 2nd with Juventus at +21. Napoli’s top scorer is F Victor Osimhen, who has 19 goals in 20 matches.

Lazio is 4th on the league table in 24 matches with 40 goals scored and just 19 allowed. The Eagles are a strong 6-2-3 on the road this season, including holding opponents to a clean sheet 7 times. Italian star F Ciro Immobile Lazio in scoring with 9 goals in 19 matches.

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Napoli vs. Lazio odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 9:16 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Napoli -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Lazio +430 (bet $100 to win $430) | Draw +300
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

World class soccer coverage all in one place: Get ESPN+

Napoli vs. Lazio picks and predictions

Prediction

Napoli 1, Lazio 1

Moneyline (ML)

PASS.

If you’re feeling risky, the Draw (+300) is enticing as the Lazio side has many star Italian players and has also shown competence on the road.

However, Napoli has won 10 of 11 home games and has won 8 straight league games. Napoli hasn’t necessarily destroyed top opponents, beating Milan 2-1 on the road, Lazio 2-1 on the road and losing 1-0 to Inter on the road.

Ultimately, I wouldn’t bet Draw (+300) given Napoli’s home dominance, but there is a tad bit of value given Lazio has won 2 straight league matches and plays well on the road.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (-110).

There are only 3 teams in Serie A that have allowed Under 20 goals in league matches, and 2 of them will be on display in this game. Throughout all competitions, Lazio has gone Under this total in 8 straight games and in 5 consecutive league matches. Despite the first season meeting ending with Lazio winning 2-1, there were just 2.4 expected goals.

Napoli has allowed 1 goal in its last 7 matches and have 5 consecutive clean sheets (4 in league play). The defenses are elite, and I expect limited opportunities in this showdown.

BACK UNDER 2.5 (-110).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

For sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Plus, try out the USA TODAY Parlay Calculator and please gamble responsibly.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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