The Texas Rangers (36-67) host the Seattle Mariners (56-48) at Globe Life Field Saturday for the second game of a three-game set. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mariners vs. Rangers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Seattle beat Texas in the series opener Friday, 9-5, as Mariners rookie CF Jarred Kelenic batted 2-for-5 with 1 home run and 4 RBIs.
Season series: Mariners lead 8-3.
LHP Tyler Anderson is Seattle’s projected starter. Anderson is 5-8 with a 4.35 ERA (103 1/3 IP, 50 ER), 1.20 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 18 starts.
- The Mariners picked up Anderson via a trade with the Pittsburgh Pirates July 27 in exchange for a couple of minor league prospects.
- Last outing: No-decision with 6 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 1 BB and 6 K in an 11-6 loss at the Arizona Diamondbacks July 20.
LHP Taylor Hearn is on the mound for the Rangers. Hearn is 2-3 with a 4.41 ERA (49 IP, 24 ER), 1.37 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 over two starts and 29 relief appearances.
- Last outing: No-decision with 3 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 1 BB and 3 K in Texas’s 3-1 loss at the Houston Astros Sunday.
- 2021 home splits: 1-1 with a 4.43 ERA (20 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.57 WHIP and 1.7 K/BB in one start and 13 bullpen outings.
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Mariners at Rangers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:31 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Mariners -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Rangers +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Against the spread/ATS: Mariners -1.5 (+120) | Rangers +1.5 (-145)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Prediction
Mariners 8, Rangers 3
Money line (ML)
Simply put, Seattle’s implied win probability based on the MARINERS (-135) price is 57.14% and Seattle wins this game two-thirds of the time.
Even though Anderson is a “bottom of the rotation” type starter he’s got to be jacked up to be moved from the dumpster fire that is Pittsburgh’s organization to a Seattle squad that’s in the thick of the AL Wild Card hunt.
Furthermore, Hearn will be used Saturday as an “opener” for Texas’s bullpen day as a replacement for now-former starting RHP Kyle Gibson who was traded to the Philadelphia Phillies Friday.
Not only does no Gibson hurt the Rangers’ chances today but Hearn will be turning this game over in the early innings to a struggling Texas bullpen.
For instance, the Rangers relievers have the seventh-worst SIERA, sixth-worst xFIP and the 24th-ranked K-BB% since the All-Star Game.
Speaking of “struggling”, Texas’s lineup is by far the least productive unit thus far in the second half of the season.
The Rangers’ 45 wRC+ ranks dead-last and the next closest team is the Colorado Rockies with an 83 wRC+ following the All-Star Break.
BET 1 unit on the MARINERS (-135).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Slight “LEAN” to the MARINERS -1.5 (+120) for a tiny wager – if at all – because the Rangers have been getting crushed over the past 20 games. Texas has lost 17 of the last 20 games and 16 of those losses have been by at least 2 runs.
Over/Under (O/U)
“LEAN” to the OVER 8.5 (-115) for a half unit since there’s been “sharp” line movement on the total and the Over has cashed in five straight Mariners-Rangers meetings in Texas.
This game opened with an 8-run total before the market steamed it up to the current price and the Over 8.5 (-115) is juiced, which suggests there’s still money coming in on the Over.
Also, these division foes have a combined 47-37-1 O/U record in games against fellow AL West competition.
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