Seattle Mariners odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line – Page 3

Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Seattle Mariners (73-58) and the Cleveland Guardians (68-61) open a 3-game series Friday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mariners vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Mariners lead series 3-1

The Mariners are coming in hot, winners of 4 consecutive games, and 6 of the past 7 outings. That streak includes a 3-1 series victory against the Guardians last weekend at T-Mobile Park in Seattle.

The Guardians have hit the skids a little lately, dropping 5 of the past 7 outings, while experiencing an offensive power outage. Cleveland was blanked Wednesday and Thursday at the Baltimore Orioles, and the Guardians are averaging just 1.7 runs per game across the past 7 contests.

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Mariners at Guardians projected starters

RHP Luis Castillo vs. RHP Zach Plesac

Castillo (5-5, 2.85 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 through 116 2/3 IP.

Allowed just 1 ER on 4 H and 1 BB with 10 K in a no-decision against the Guardians in Seattle Saturday
Has recorded at least 5 K in each of his 5 starts with the M’s, posting 39 total K across just 31 2/3 IP

Plesac (3-11, 4.39 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 127 IP.

Is 1-4 with a 3.81 ERA with 38 K across 54 1/3 IP across 10 starts at Progressive Field this season
Allowed just 3 ER (all solo HR) with 0 BB and 6 K across 7 IP in a win in Seattle Saturday — his first victory in 13 starts.

Mariners at Guardians odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:26 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Mariners -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Guardians +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+120) | Guardians +1.5 (-145)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mariners at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 4, Mariners 3

Money line

The GUARDIANS (+115) really haven’t given bettors a reason to back them lately, going 2-5 across the past 7 outings. However, Cleveland is a solid side at home, and Plesac’s confidence received a huge jolt when he topped the Mariners and Castillo last weekend in Seattle.

Run line/Against the spread

The GUARDIANS +1.5 (-145) aren’t priced terribly out of line if you’d like a little bit of insurance and just don’t trust Cleveland to snap out of its funk. Cleveland’s offense has been quite sporadic lately, and facing Castillo isn’t exactly a recipe of success.

Over/Under

Play the UNDER 7.5 (-110), as it is easily the best play with Cleveland struggling to plate runs lately. In fact, the Guardians have been shut out in 3 of their last 4 games.

The Under is 6-2-1 in Seattle’s past 9 games overall, and 4-1-1 in the past 6 against teams with a winning overall record. The Under has also cashed in Cleveland’s last 5 at home and gone 10-1 in its last 11 at home against a right-handed starting pitcher.

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New York Yankees at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Yankees at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (71-40) and the Seattle Mariners (60-52) meet in the finale of a 3-game set Wednesday. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Mariners lead 3-2

The Yankees managed just 3 hits across 13 innings in a tough 1-0 loss Tuesday in the middle game of this series. New York’s bats disappeared after exploding for 9 runs in each of the previous 2 outings.

The Mariners picked up Tuesday’s win thanks to a Luis Torrens pinch-hit, walk-off RBI single in the bottom of the 13th. The M’s have won 3 of their past 4 meetings against the Yankees.

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Yankees at Mariners projected starters

LHP Nestor Cortes vs. LHP Robbie Ray

Cortes (9-3, 2.57 ERA) makes his 21st start of the season. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 112 IP.

Road splits: 5-3, 3.02 ERA, 57 K, .231 opponent batting average across 59 2/3 IP over 11 starts
Day splits: 5-0, 1.81 ERA, 71 K, .179 opponent BA across 54 2/3 IP in 9 starts

Ray (8-8, 3.96 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 through 129 2/3 IP.

Home splits: 4-3, 2.80 ERA, 85 K, .202 opponent BA in 74 IP across 12 starts (road splits: 4-5, 5.50 ERA, 64 K, .262 opponent BA in 55 2/3 IP in 10 starts)
Day splits: 3-2, 3.59 ERA, 52 K, .234 opponent BA across 47 2/3 IP in 8 starts

Yankees at Mariners odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:33 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Yankees -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Mariners +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+130) | Mariners +1.5 (-160)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Yankees at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 3, Yankees 2

Money line

The MARINERS (+110) are a good play in the series finale behind Ray.

The Yankees have managed to win just 2 of the previous 7 road games against a left-handed starter. Conversely, the Mariners have cashed at a 7-2 clip in the past 9 in the third game of a series.

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Run line/Against the spread

The MARINERS +1.5 (-160) can be had at a good price if you would like a little insurance and don’t trust the home side straight up.

I prefer playing Seattle just straight up in a low-scoring game, however.

Over/Under

The UNDER 7.5 (-112) is a strong play.

These two sides were scoreless deep into extra innings Tuesday night and now face the quick turnaround with two strong left-handed pitchers on the bump.

Look for the bats to be sluggish and well behind the hurlers.

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New York Yankees at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Yankees at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (71-39) and the Seattle Mariners (59-52) tangle in the 2nd game of a 3-game set Tuesday. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Series tied 2-2

The Yankees fired out of the chute Monday to pick up the 9-4 win in the series opener, snapping a 5-game losing skid. New York has scored 9.0 runs in consecutive games after plating a total of 7 runs in 3 games from Aug. 3-6.

The Mariners have alternated losses and wins across the past 6 outings. Seattle has posted 10 total runs over its last 2 games after totaling just 6 runs in a 3-game span from Aug. 5-6.

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Yankees at Mariners projected starters

RHP Gerrit Cole vs. RHP Luis Castillo

Cole (9-4, 3.56 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 through 131 1/3 IP.

Is 5-1 with a 4.28 ERA and .222 opponent batting average with 67 K across 54 2/3 IP through 10 road outings.
Was pounded for 6 ER, 7 H and 3 HR across 6 IP in a loss Wednesday at home against the Mariners.

Castillo (5-4, 2.95 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 91 2/3 IP.

Allowed just 3 ER on 5 H and 3 BB with 8 K across 6 2/3 IP in his Mariners debut Wednesday opposite Cole.
Has recorded 8 or more strikeouts in 4 straight outings, while posting 6 or more strikeouts in 11 of his last 12 turns.

Yankees at Mariners odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:45 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Yankees -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Mariners +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+130) | Mariners +1.5 (-160)
Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -135 | U: +110)

Yankees at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 3, Yankees 2

Money line

The MARINERS (+110) are worth playing as they look for the bounce back after a 9-4 setback in the opener. Castillo handled his business Wednesday at Yankee Stadium, and he’ll get them again. That’s why GM Jerry DiPoto and the Seattle brass picked him up at the trade deadline.

Run line/Against the spread

The MARINERS +1.5 (-160) aren’t priced poorly if you’d like a little insurance and don’t trust them to win straight up. Seattle is 5-5 in its last 10 against the spread, and it will cover in this one, too.

Over/Under

The UNDER 6.5 (+110) is worth playing with Cole and Castillo ready to put on a strong display of pitching.

Playing the Under will be going against the trends for the Yankees lately, as they have cashed the Over at a 21-7-1 clip across the past 29, including 4-0-1 in the past 5 vs. AL West foes.

The Over has also been prominent for the M’s, going 5-1-2 in the past 8 games overall, and 3-1-1 in the past 5 in SoDo. Despite that, trust the pitchers to keep the bats at bay.

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New York Yankees at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New York Yankees at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (70-39) and Seattle Mariners (59-51) meet Monday for the opening contest of a 3-game series. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Mariners lead series 2-1

The Yankees have lost 5 games in a row, including being swept over the weekend in a 3-game series by the St. Louis Cardinals. New York lost the final 2 contests of a 3-game set at Yankee Stadium Aug. 2-3 against the Mariners prior to the Cards series.

The Mariners split a 4-game set against the Los Angeles Angels over the weekend, getting outscored 15-12. Seattle scored 15 runs in the final 2 games of the series against New York earlier in the week.

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Yankees at Mariners projected starters

RHP Jameson Taillon vs. RHP Logan Gilbert

Taillon (10-2, 3.96 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 113 2/3 IP.

Has managed a 4-1 record with a 4.47 ERA and .258 opponent batting average through 46 1/3 IP across 9 road outings.
Was trampled for 6 R (5 ER) on 2 H (2 HR) and 4 BB allowed across 4 2/3 IP in a no-decision Tuesday against Seattle.

Gilbert (10-4, 3.09 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 128 1/3 IP.

Is 4-3 with a 3.19 ERA and 54 K across 53 2/3 IP across 9 home starts.
Coughed up 6 ER, 7 H, 3 HR and 4 BB across 5 1/3 IP in a no-decision on the road opposite Taillon Tuesday.

Yankees at Mariners odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:14 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Yankees -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Mariners +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+135) | Mariners +1.5 (-170)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

Yankees at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, Mariners 3

Money line

The YANKEES (-120) look to snap their 5-game skid with Taillon on the hill. The good news is that the Yankees are 3-1 across Taillon’s past 4 starts, as he has a win and 3 no-decisions during the span. The concern here is that Taillon has allowed 10 HR across his past 7 starts, including 2 against the Mariners Tuesday.

Run line/Against the spread

The MARINERS +1.5 (-170) have the 10-game winner Gilbert on the bump, and he has pitched well at home. I don’t quite like Seattle straight up, as I think New York is going to end its losing skid, but the M’s are a strong play to keep it close.

Over/Under

The UNDER 7.5 (-102) is the lean in this series opener.

While the Over has hit at a 20-7-1 clip across the past 28 games overall for the Yankees, the Under is 4-1 in their last 5 on the road.

The Over is 4-1-2 in the past 7 overall for the Mariners, too, although the Under is 3-0-2 in their last 5 in a series opener and 20-7 in the past 27 at home vs. RHP.

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Seattle Mariners at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Seattle Mariners at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Seattle Mariners (45-42) and the Washington Nationals (30-58) open a 2-game interleague set Tuesday at Nationals Park in Washington, D.C. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mariners vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: This is the first meeting since May 2017.

The Mariners have rattled off 8 consecutive victories, including four 1-run games. Seattle is 6-5 in 11 interleague games this season.

The Nationals are in a tailspin, dropping 4 straight outings, and 9 of the previous 10 contests. Washington is 5-6 in interleague play.

Mariners vs. Nationals projected starters

RHP Chris Flexen vs. RHP Josiah Gray

Flexen (5-8, 4.00 ERA) makes his 17th start of the season. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 through 90 IP.

Is 2-5 with a 4.07 ERA with a .257 opponent batting average with 34 K across 48 2/3 IP in 9 road outings.
Picked up a win with 6 2/3 scoreless IP, 4 H, 3 BB and 8 K at the San Diego Padres July 4 in his most recent interleague start.

Gray (7-5, 4.14 ERA) makes his 17th start of the season. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 through 87 IP.

Is 2-5 with a 6.42 ERA across 40 2/3 IP in 8 starts at Nationals Park and 5-0 with a 2.14 ERA in 8 starts on the road.
Is 1-1 with a 5.40 ERA with 17 K through 18 2/3 IP across 3 starts vs. AL opponents this season.

Mariners vs. Nationals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:07 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Mariners -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | Nationals -112 (bet $112 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+145) | Nationals +1.5 (-180)
Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Mariners vs. Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 6, Nationals 5

Money line

The MARINERS (-108) are red-hot right now with 16 wins in their last 19 games and while cashing in 8 of their last 9 road outings. Seattle has also picked up a victory in 14 of its last 17 outings against a right-handed starting pitcher.

Gray has also struggled at home and it is hard to envision him cooling off the M’s right now.

Run line/Against the spread

The Nationals +1.5 (-180) are a little on the expensive side if you’d like a little insurance. Washington wouldn’t be a terrible play if the price was right, as Seattle has won 4 of its 8 games during the win streak by 1 run.

PASS.

Over/Under

The OVER 9.5 (-110) is the lean in the interleague opener.

The Over has hit in 4 straight series openers for the Mariners while going 20-5-1 in their last 26 interleague road games.

The Under has dominated for Washington lately, but Gray has been giving at home, and the Nats should be able to get to Flexen for a few.

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Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

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The Toronto Blue Jays (45-38) and the Seattle Mariners (41-42) open a 4-game series Thursday at T-Mobile Park in Seattle. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 2-1

The Blue Jays avoided an embarrassing road sweep at the hands of the lowly Oakland Athletics, winning 2-1 Wednesday after being outscored 10-4 in the first 2 games.

The Mariners have won 4 in a row and 7 of the past 8 games, climbing to within one game of .500. Seattle hasn’t been .500 or better since May 3.

Blue Jays at Mariners projected starters

RHP Casey Lawrence v Undecided vs. LHP Marco Gonzales

The Blue Jays haven’t announced a starting pitcher as of this publishing. The Toronto Sun reported that RHP Casey Lawrence (0-1, 6.23 ERA) will get the nod. The 34-year-old right-hander has pitched in 4 MLB games this season (13 IP, 9 ER, 13 H, 9 K), all in relief.

2022 Triple-A stats: 8-2, 2.22 ERA (73 IP, 18 ER), 0.82 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9, 8.0 K/9 with Buffalo
Last MLB outing: Loss, 5 2/3 IP out of the bullpen Saturday, yielding 6 ER on 7 H, 2 HR and 1 BB with 6 K vs. visiting Tampa Bay Rays
Hasn’t made a start in the majors since April 27, 2017 in his first go-around with the Blue Jays
Made 34 relief appearances with the Mariners from 2017-18, going 3-0 with a 6.20 ERA (65 1/3 IP, 45 ER).

Gonzalez (4-9, 3.29 ERA) makes his 17th start of the season. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 5.0 K/9 through 87 2/3 IP.

Allowed just 1 ER, 5 H and 3 BB with 2 K across 6 IP in a 5-1 win at Toronto May 18
Is 2-4 with a 3.28 ERA with a .236 opponents’ batting average in 46 2/3 IP across 8 starts at home.

Blue Jays at Mariners odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:58 p.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Blue Jays -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Mariners +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+120) | Mariners +1.5 (-145)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

Blue Jays at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 6, Blue Jays 4

Money line

The MARINERS (+115) are the play at home behind the veteran southpaw Gonzales. He was crafty in a win against the Blue Jays in Toronto earlier this season.

Toronto’s starting pitching staff has been awful, and now it turns to an emergency pitcher making his first start since 2017. Lawrence might pitch with a little bit of a chip on his shoulder since he has spent time within the Seattle organization, but look for the M’s to prevail.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Mariners +1.5 (-145) aren’t worth playing on the run line because of the -145 juice, and it’s not as good a value as the money line.

If you like Seattle, and you should, just play it straight up.

Over/Under

The OVER 8.5 (-112) is the lean here.

It’s uncertain how deep Lawrence will be able to go for the Blue Jays. The Toronto bullpen has been taxed by manager Charlie Montoyo lately. That’s good news for the Seattle offense and for Over bettors.

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Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Seattle Mariners (2-1) face the Minnesota Twins (1-2) Monday for their four-game series finale at the Target Field with the first pitch scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mariners vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Seattle won the first two games of this series by a combined score of 6-4 featuring two impressive outings from Mariners LHP Robbie Ray Friday and RHP Logan Gilbert Saturday.

However, Minnesota took the third game 10-4 Sunday thanks to a 6 home run performance from its lineup, which included a 1st inning grand slam by first-year Mariner C Gary Sanchez who joined the team following seven years with the New York Yankees.

Mariners at Twins: Projected starters

RHP Chris Flexen vs. RHP Dylan Bundy

Flexen was 14-6 in 2021 with a 3.61 ERA (179 2/3 IP, 72 ER), 1.25 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 over 31 starts.

2021 vs. Twins: 1-0 with a 3.46 ERA (13 IP, 5 ER), 12 H, 13 K and 2 BB in 2 starts.
vs. Twins on the current roster: 4.31 FIP with a .341 batting average (BA), .361 wOBA, .384 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 13.3 K% and 88.8 mph exit velocity (EV) in 45 plate appearances (PA).

Bundy was 2-9 last season with a 6.06 ERA (90 2/3 IP, 61 ER), 1.36 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 over 19 starts and 4 relief appearances with the Los Angeles Angels.

2021 vs. Mariners: 0-1 with a 4.26 ERA (6 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 8 H, 1 BB and 7 K in 1 start and 1 relief appearance.
vs. Mariners on the current roster: 2.23 FIP with a .303 BA, .346 wOBA, .410 xSLG, 27.8 K% and 86.1 mph EV in 36 PA.

Mariners at Twins odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:40 p.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Mariners +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Twins -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-180) | Twins -1.5 (+145)
Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

Mariners at Twins prediction and picks

Prediction

Mariners 8, Twins 4

Money line

GIMME the MARINERS (+110) for 1 unit as a fade against Bundy as the Twins’ starter. The market continues to support Bundy who was a former No. 4 overall pick in the 2011 draft and is now on his third team.

Bundy has a career 4.46 FIP and graded in the bottom-third of the MLB last season in EV, xSLG, expected wOBA, barrel rate and whiff rate, according to Statcast.

Seattle and Minnesota’s lineups are equal but the Mariners have much better bullpen pitching. Even if Flexen doesn’t give Seattle a quality start, the Mariners could still rundown the Twins.

BET the MARINERS (+110).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Flexen pitched better at home than on the road last season and gave up 5 ER over 5 IP in his one start in Minnesota.

This rules out both the pricey Mariners +1.5 (-180) and the chunky Mariners -1.5 (+170) tickets despite my predicted score.

Over/Under

Slight LEAN to the OVER 9.5 (-105) if at all because I’m high on both lineups entering 2022, the weather forecast is predicting nearly 14 mph winds blowing out to centerfield and the Twins are 87-69-9 O/U since the beginning of last season.

However, most of the market is backing the Over here and I hate following the herd in sports betting.

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Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

After their original meeting was postponed Thursday due to rain, the Seattle Mariners play the Minnesota Twins for their opening games Friday. First pitch at Target Field is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mariners vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Seattle beat Minnesota 4-2 in last season’s series. The Mariners outscored the Twins 30-29 and won two of three games in both the home and away series.

The Mariners were a surprising story in 2021, finishing with a 90-72 record and two games back of the two American League wild-card seeds.

Conversely, the Twins had a down year last season with a 73-89 record after winning back-to-back AL Central crowns in 2019 and 2020.

Mariners at Twins: Projected starters

LHP Robbie Ray vs. RHP Joe Ryan

Ray is Seattle’s starter for their opener. He won the 2021 American League Cy Young behind a 13-7 record with an AL-leading 2.84 ERA (193 1/3 IP, 61 ER), 1.05 WHIP, 11.5 K/9 and 2.4 BB/9 in 32 starts.

2021 vs. Twins: 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA (6 IP, 1 ER), 3 H, 6 K and 4 BB in one start.
vs. Twins on the current roster: 3.96 FIP with a .194 batting average (BA), .308 wOBA, .410 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 34.1 K% and 90.6 mph exit velocity (EV) in 44 plate appearances (PA).

Ryan takes the hill for Minnesota’s home opener. He made his MLB debut Sept. 1 and finished 2-1 with a 4.05 ERA (26 2/3 IP, 12 ER), 0.79 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 and 1.7 BB/9 in five starts.

Ryan is Minnesota’s sixth-ranked prospect and MLB.com’s 97th-ranked prospect.
vs. Mariners on the current roster: Never pitched against Seattle

Mariners at Twins odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:35 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Mariners +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Twins -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+165) | Twins +1.5 (-205)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

Mariners at Twins prediction and picks

Prediction

Mariners 6, Twins 3

Money line

BET the MARINERS (+100) because their lineup versus Minnesota’s is a wash but Seattle has a far better starter on the mound and a much more reliable bullpen.

Seattle’s bullpen was top five last season in FIP, home runs per 9 innings allowed (HR/9) and WAR, whereas Minnesota’s bullpen was 20th or worse in WAR, HR/9 and FIP. The Twins relievers were also dead-last in both hard-hit rate and EV as a unit.

Furthermore, the Twins were just 20-36 overall versus left-handed starters and 29-49 against teams with a winning record.

BET the MARINERS (+100).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS with a heavy “lean” towards the Mariners -1.5 (+165) since I like them to win this game outright and Seattle should cover the RL if so.

However, I’m noticing Minnesota’s ML has been hit by sharp money so making an additional bet on the Mariners might be foolhardy.

Minnesota’s disastrous 2021 could be a blip with the Twins winning the divisions the two years prior and making some big moves this offseason including signing coveted free agent SS Carlos Correa.

I want to see what the Twins look like before I’m laying -1.5 against them in Minnesota.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 7.5 (-130) because this total feels shockingly low considering all the firepower in both lineups and the Twins played in the most Overs in the AL last season.

A vast majority of the market is also surprisingly on the Under according to pregame.com and vegasinsider.com, which is mostly due to the defending AL Cy Young taking the hill for Seattle.

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Oakland Athletics at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Oakland Athletics at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Oakland Athletics (85-71) meet AL West co-tenant the Seattle Mariners (86-70) Monday to begin a pivotal three-game set at T-Mobile Park. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Athletics vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Oakland swept the Houston Astros in a three-game set this past weekend but is 3 games back of the Boston Red Sox for the second AL Wild Card berth and behind both Seattle and the Toronto Blue Jays in the playoff race.

Seattle has won seven of its past eight games, which includes a four-game sweep of the A’s last week, and is just 2 games back of the Red Sox for the second AL Wild Card seed.

Season series: Mariners 12-4.

LHP Cole Irvin is Oakland’s projected starter. Irvin is 10-14 with a 3.99 ERA (169 1/3 IP, 75 ER), 1.31 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 30 starts.

Last outing: Loss, 4-1, 5 IP, 7 H, 3 ER, 3 BB and 5 K Wednesday vs. the Mariners.
Irvin is 0-4 in four starts this year against Seattle with a 7.56 ERA (16 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 29 H, 7 BB and 10 K.
vs. Mariners on the current roster: 5.27 FIP with a .400 batting average (BA), .439 wOBA, .454 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 11.5 K% and 87.7 mph exit velocity (EV) in 78 plate appearances (PA).

RHP Chris Flexen makes his 30th start for the Mariners. Flexen is 13-6 with a 3.56 ERA (169 1/3 IP, 67 ER), 1.24 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 this year.

Last outing: Win, 4-1, Wednesday at the A’s with a stat line of 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 8 K.
Flexen is 2-2 this year against Oakland with a 3.24 ERA (25 IP, 9 ER), 1.12 WHIP and 2.8 K/BB in four starts.
vs. A’s on the current roster: 3.14 FIP with a .224 BA, .267 wOBA, .334 xSLG, 18.1 K% and 89.8 mph EV in 72 PA.

Athletics at Mariners odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:15 p.m. ET.

Money line: Athletics -103 (bet $103 to win $100) | Mariners -117 (bet $117 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Athletics -1.5 (+155) | Mariners +1.5 (-190)
Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Prediction

Mariners 4, Athletics 3

Money line (ML)

GIMME the MARINERS (-117) for 1 unit because Seattle has a significant edge in the pitching department, is nine games above-.500 at home and eight games above-.500 vs. lefty starters.

Furthermore, Flexen’s basic stats and pitching peripherals vs. the A’s are far better than Irvin’s against the Mariners. Also, Seattle’s bullpen ranks ahead of Oakland’s in ERA and most advanced pitching metrics such as home run per nine-inning rate, K-BB%, xFIP and SIERA.

On top of that, the Mariners have owned the A’s this season and have a much better record against AL West teams.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS with a heavy “lean” to the Mariners +1.5 (-190) because they are 32-15 ATS as a home underdog and I’d listen to a case for adding Seattle’s run line in a parlay with another similarly priced side for a plus-money payout.

However, it’s a little of my price range for a straight-up wager even though the Mariners have a good return on investment in this spot.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 8.5 (-115) for a half unit because the Athletics-Mariners meeting last week with these starters on the mound went Under the total, and the Under has cashed in seven of their past eight contests.

Also, both teams play more to the Under in their respective location-based O/U trends and there should be a playoff-like atmosphere in this game since both teams are in must-win scenarios.

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Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (81-64) visit the Seattle Mariners (77-66) Monday to start a three-game set at T-Mobile Park with the first pitch scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Red Sox vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 2-2.

LHP Eduardo Rodriguez takes the mound for the Red Sox. He is 11-8 with a 5.15 ERA (136 1/3 IP, 78 ER), 1.39 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 over 27 starts.

Last outing: Loss, 12-7, with 3 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 0 BB and 3 K Tuesday against the Tampa Bay Rays.
Rodriguez beat Seattle April 25, 5-3, with a stat line of 7 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 0 BB and 8 K.
vs. Mariners on the current roster (59 PA): 2.21 FIP with a .232 batting average, .290 wOBA, .307 expected slugging percentage, 30.5 K% and 85.9 mph exit velocity.

RHP Logan Gilbert is on the hill for the Mariners. He is 5-5 with a 5.10 ERA (95 1/3 IP, 54 ER), 1.23 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 20 starts.

Last outing: No-decision in Seattle’s 5-4 loss at the Houston Astros Tuesday with 4 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB and 5 K.
2021 home stats: 1-3 with a 5.13 ERA (52 2/3 IP, 30 ER), 1.22 WHIP and 7.9 K/BB through 11 starts.

Red Sox at Mariners odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 4:20 p.m. ET.

Money line: Red Sox -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Mariners +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
Against the spread/ATS: Red Sox -1.5 (+133) | Mariners +1.5 (-165)
Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Prediction

Mariners 4, Red Sox 2

Money line (ML)

GIMME the MARINERS (+102) for 1 unit because I give them a slight edge in the pitching department even though Gilbert is hitting a bit of a rookie wall and there’s “reverse line movement” headed in Seattle’s direction.

Around 70% of the cash wagered is on the Red Sox, according to Pregame.com, but Boston’s money line has gotten cheaper since the betting market opened and it’s always a red flag when sportsbooks make the more popular side cheaper.

Furthermore, Seattle’s bullpen has been far more reliable than Boston’s since the All-Star break. Red Sox relievers’ ERA is more than 1.5 runs higher than the Mariners’ over that span and Boston’s bullpen ranks 20th or worse in xFIP, SIERA and K-BB% in the second half.

On top of that, the Mariners are 30-25 against lefty starters and are slightly more productive at the plate against left-handed pitching.

Seattle’s lineup ranks around the same as Boston’s in several advanced hitting metrics over the past two weeks; however, the Mariners have a much better BB/K and the Red Sox have a .332 BABIP while Seattle’s lineup has a .253 BABIP.

Lastly, Seattle is always a live dog at home as the Mariners have the most wins as home underdogs and the second-best winning percentage in that spot this season.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Mariners +1.5 (-165) since they have the third-best cover rate as home underdogs at 31-13 ATS and the Red Sox are just 9-18 ATS as road favorites.

While Seattle’s run line is a little pricier than I’d like it to be, I’d entertain throwing it into a parlay with perhaps the New York Mets’ run line for a plus-money payout.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 7.5 (-105) for a tiny wager if at all because I much prefer Seattle’s money line more than the total in this spot.

However, there is a “pros vs. joes” scenario in the betting market with the presumed “sharp” money being on the Under whereas the public money is on the Over despite these teams having a combined 27-18 O/U record when these starters are on the mound. Plus, Seattle’s home ballpark has the fourth-lowest runs scored by park factors and is a notoriously pitcher-friendly park.

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