In a middleweight bout on the main card, Sean Strickland and Alex Pereira meet Saturday at UFC 276 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Below, we analyze the UFC 276 Strickland vs. Pereira odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The early prelims can be viewed on ESPN/ESPN+ at 6 p.m. ET, followed by the prelims on ABC/ESPN/ESPN+ at 8 p.m. The main card on Pay-Per-View starts at 10 p.m.
Strickland, the 31-year-old Xtreme Couture fighter, heads into this one searching for his 7th-consecutive victory. During his 6-bout win streak, he has 2 finishes via KO/TKO and 4 decision victories, including a split-decision win last time out over Jack Hermansson.
Strickland’s last finish was a second-round KO/TKO of Brendan Allen in Nov. 2020. In 28 career pro bouts, he has 11 finishes via KO/TKO (10-1), with 4 submission results (4-0).
Pereira, a.k.a. “Poatan”, takes the walk to the octagon on a 5-bout win streak, including a unanimous-decision victory over Bruno Silva last time out. Before that, he had 4 straight KO/TKO, including his debut with the company at UFC 268 against Andreas Michailidis.
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UFC 276 Strickland vs. Pereira odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Strickland -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Pereira -102 (bet $102 to win $100)
- Total rounds Over 1.5 (-220) | Under 1.5 (+155)
- Will the fight go the distance? Yes (+120) | No (-165)
[tipico]
UFC 276 Strickland vs. Pereira picks and predictions
Records: Strickland (25-3-0) | Pereira (5-1-0)
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
STRICKLAND (-125) is the more accomplished fighter, and he easily has the larger sample size.
We saw Strickland take care of Hermansson last time out in a fight that really could’ve gone either way. So he is vulnerable to the upset. However, he has impressive wins over Uriah Hall and Krzysztof Jotko, as well as a KO/TKO of Nordine Taleb during this win streak. Pereira’s quality of competitor pales in comparison, and this will be a major step up from the tomato cans he is used to facing. It won’t end well.
Over/Under (O/U)
Over 1.5 rounds (-220) is a little on the expensive side, and there is just value there, although I think this fight easily goes past that mark.
The better play is taking YES (+120): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE, as Pereira had the judges decide his fate in his most recent UFC event, while Strickland has ended up going the distance in 3 straight; 4 of the past 5; and 10 of his past 14 fights overall.
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