Seahawks Falcons odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

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The Seattle Seahawks (3-3) and Atlanta Falcons (4-2) meet Sunday. Kickoff from Mercedes-Benz Stadium is set for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Seahawks vs. Falcons odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Seahawks are coming off a 36-24 loss as 3.5-point underdogs vs. the visiting San Francisco 49ers Oct. 10, with the Over (48.5) hitting. Seattle is 0-3 straight up and against the spread (ATS) in its last 3 games.

The Falcons won 38-20 as 6-point favorites at the Carolina Panthers Oct. 13, as the Over (46) cashed. RB Bijan Robinson scored twice for Atlanta, which has won and covered back-to-back games.

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Seahawks at Falcons odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 1:30 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Seahawks +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Falcons -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
Against the spread: Seahawks +3 (-115) | Falcons -3 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 51 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Seahawks at Falcons key injuries

Seahawks

CB Tre Brown (ankle) out
RT Stone Forsythe (hand) out
S Rayshawn Jenkins (hand) out
CB Riq Woolen (ankle) out

Falcons

LB Troy Andersen (knee) out
LB Lorenzo Carter (concussion) out
S Justin Simmons (hamstring) questionable

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Seahawks at Falcons picks and predictions

Prediction

Seahawks 27, Falcons 20

Moneyline

The Seahawks are coming off 3 straight losses, but there’s no shame in losing to the 49ers in Week 6 and at the Detroit Lions in Week 4. We can downgrade Seattle for losing to the New York Giants in Week 5, but the game likely would’ve gone to OT if New York didn’t block a Seahawks field goal — and return it for a TD — in the final minute of play.

I’m not overly impressed with Atlanta covering as a favorite in Week 6 vs. the Panthers, who are an NFL-worst 1-5 ATS.

I’m also not upgrading the Falcons for their 2 fluky wins before the Carolina victory. Atlanta had a 7% win probability, according to ESPN Analytics, with 22 seconds remaining in regulation vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 5, as well as a 15.5% win probability with 41 seconds left vs. the New Orleans Saints in Week 4.

One team is being undervalued by the market after 3 straight losses — 2 of which were respectable and another that was a bad beat — and the other team is overrated after beating up on the Panthers and getting lucky in back-to-back victories.

BET SEAHAWKS (+130).

Against the spread

If you can find Seahawks +3.5 at -120 or cheaper, I would consider it.

Otherwise, PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

This number is just a bit high. The Seahawks have scored 24 or fewer points in 4 of their 6 games this season, and the Falcons have put up 26 or fewer in 4 of 6.

With the Seahawks defense coming off extra rest — Seattle played on Thursday in Week 6 — don’t expect the Falcons to put up 30+ like they did vs. Carolina in Week 6 and in an OT game vs. the Buccaneers in Week 5.

BET UNDER 51 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Tag: Seahawks Falcons odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Seattle Seahawks at Atlanta Falcons odds, picks and predictions