Saskatchewan Roughriders at Calgary Stampeders odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Saskatchewan Roughriders at Calgary Stampeders Week 16 odds and lines, with expert CFL picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Saskatchewan Roughriders (5-7-1) and Calgary Stampeders (4-8-1) meet Friday. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET (CFL+/TSN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Roughriders vs. Stampeders odds, and make our expert CFL picks and predictions.

The Roughriders are 0-6-1 straight up (SU) and 2-5 against the spread (ATS) in their last 7 games. They dropped back-to-back games to the Winnipeg Blue Bombers before their Week 15 bye. After losing 35-33 as a 2.5-point home favorite Sept. 1, they lost 26-21 as a 2.5-point road underdog Sept. 7 — the Over/Under (O/U) went 1-1 in the home-and-home set.

The Stampeders covered as 6-point underdogs in a 19-19 tie with the visiting Montreal Alouettes Saturday with the Under (49.5) hitting. Calgary is 0-4-1 SU and 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.

The Stampeders went 2-1 SU and ATS in 3 meetings with the Roughriders last season, with the O/U going 2-1. In their most recent meeting Oct. 13, 2023, Calgary covered as a 3.5-point home favorite in a 26-19 win as the Under (48.5) cashed.

Roughriders at Stampeders odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 1:55 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Roughriders -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Stampeders +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Against the spread: Roughriders -2.5 (-110) | Stampeders +2.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 50.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Roughriders at Stampeders key injuries

Roughriders

  • OL Jacob Brammer (knee) out
  • DL Malik Carney (ankle) out
  • LB Justin Herdman-Reed (elbow) out
  • DB Rolan Milligan Jr. (personal) questionable
  • LB Nick Wiebe (knee) out

Stampeders

  • OL Bryce Bell (calf) doubtful
  • DL Josiah Coatney (knee) questionable
  • WR Ishmael Hyman (hamstring) doubtful
  • WR Cole Tucker (hamstring) questionable
  • DL Charles Wiley (Achilles) out

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Roughriders at Stampeders picks and predictions

Prediction

Roughriders 30, Stampeders 26

Moneyline

The ROUGHRIDERS (-150) are winless in their last 7 games, but they’re still favored on the road over a Calgary team that has produced similar results as of late. This line was -155 Tuesday, so while a little bit of money has come in on Calgary, the market still acknowledges that Saskatchewan is clearly the better team.

The Stampeders won the final 2 meetings between these teams last year, but Roughriders QB Trevor Harris was forced to leave the July 15 game with a knee injury and didn’t play in the Oct. 13 meeting. Harris only played 1 meeting last year from start to finish, a 29-26 OT win for the Roughriders as 2-point road underdogs June 24.

BET ROUGHRIDERS (-150).

Against the spread

I have no interesting in laying 2.5 points on the road with a team that is winless in its last 7 games. These teams have played each other close recently, with the average margin of victory being just 4.0 points over the last 3 meetings — not enough to motivate me to lay 2.5.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

The Over is 5-1 in Calgary’s last 6 games, with the Stampeders allowing an average of 30.7 points per game. The concern here is whether or not Calgary can score enough points to help the Over hit, but Saskatchewan’s defense has also struggled recently, giving up 26 or more points in 3 of its last 4 games.

BET OVER 50.5 (-115).

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Saskatchewan Roughriders at Calgary Stampeders odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Saskatchewan Roughriders at Calgary Stampeders Week 19 odds and lines, with expert CFL picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Saskatchewan Roughriders (6-10) and Calgary Stampeders (4-11) meet Friday at McMahon Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET (CFL+/TSN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Roughriders vs. Stampeders odds, and make our expert CFL picks and predictions.

The Roughriders failed to cover the spread as 3-point home favorites in a 38-13 loss Saturday vs. the Hamilton Tiger-Cats as the Over (48.5) cashed. Saskatchewan has lost 5 straight games.

The Stampeders are also coming off an against the spread (ATS) loss last time out vs. the Tiger-Cats. Calgary closed as a 1.5-point road underdog in a 22-15 loss as the Under (48.5) hit Sep. 30 before the Stampeders’ Week 18 bye. Calgary has lost 3 straight and has failed to cover in back-to-back games.

These teams have split their 2 meetings this season. The Roughriders covered as 2-point road underdogs in a 29-26 overtime win June 24 as the Over (45.5) cashed, and the Stampeders covered as 1-point road favorites with a 33-31 win July 15 as the Over (43.5) hit.

Roughriders at Stampeders odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 10:41 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Roughriders +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Stampeders -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Roughriders +3.5 (-110) | Stampeders -3.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 48.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Roughriders at Stampeders key injuries

Roughriders

  • LB T.J. Brunson (neck) out
  • DB Jeremy Clark (knee) out
  • DL Charbel Dabire (illness) questionable
  • WR Tevin Jones (hamstring) available
  • LB Derrick Moncrief (shoulder/neck) out

Stampeders

  • WR Reggie Begelton (chest) out
  • WR Tommylee Lewis (not injury related) questionable
  • WR Tyson Middlemost (hamstring) questionable
  • LB Charlie Moore (head) out

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Roughriders at Stampeders picks and predictions

Prediction

Stampeders 34, Roughriders 18

Moneyline

The Stampeders (-185) are coming off a bye week and are in a must-win spot to keep their playoff hopes alive. Calgary ML should hit, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the moneyline when the Stampeders should win by margin.

PASS. Bet the spread and/or the total instead.

Against the spread

The Roughriders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games and needed 2 TDs in the final 2 minutes to cover as 10-point underdogs in a 33-26 loss at the BC Lions on Sep. 29. Saskatchewan can clinch the last available playoff spot with a win Friday, but it has shown over its last 5 outings that it struggles to even keep games close.

Before failing to cover in their last 2 games, the Stampeders were on a 4-game ATS win streak. I trust Calgary to bounce back in a must-win game and defeat the struggling Roughriders by more than a field goal in front of its home crowd.

BET STAMPEDERS -3.5 (-110).

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Over/Under

The Over has hit in Saskatchewan’s last 9 games, and the Roughriders’ defense has given up an average of 35.3 points per game over that stretch.

The Over has also hit in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these teams.

BET OVER 48.5 (-110).

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Saskatchewan Roughriders at Calgary Stampeders odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Saskatchewan Roughriders at Calgary Stampeders odds and lines, with expert CFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Saskatchewan Roughriders (1-1) and the Calgary Stampeders (1-1) meet Saturday at McMahon Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (TSN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Roughriders vs. Stampeders odds, and make our expert CFL picks and predictions.

The Roughriders opened with a 17-13 win as 2.5-point underdogs in Edmonton with the Under (45) connecting. In Week 2, the Riders were on the wrong end of a 45-27 home loss against the Winnipeg Blue Bombers as 7-point underdogs with the Over (47.5) easily coming through.

Saskatchewan rolled up 405 yards through the air in Week 2 against Winnipeg, but it managed just 48 rushing yards, while the Bombers were good for 107 yards on the ground and 4.7 yards per carry. Unfortunately for Saskatchewan, Winnipeg was 5 for 5 in the red zone.

The Stamps rebounded from a 25-15 loss at home to the BC Lions, flipping the script with a 26-15 road win at the Ottawa Redblacks in Week 2. Calgary cashed as a 6.5-point favorite vs. Ottawa, while it hit the Under — this time at 43 — for a 2nd consecutive week. The Stampeders were 2.5-point favorites in Week 1 with the Under being 50.5 vs. the Lions.

Saskatchewan and Calgary met twice last season with the Stampeders winning each outing by 11 or more points. Calgary is 4-2 against the spread (ATS) in the past 6 head-to-head meetings, too. Saskatchewan did win Nov. 28, 2021 in the 2nd-most recent meeting at McMahon Stadium, winning a 33-30 OT thriller as 2.5-point favorites.

Stats from the CFL official website

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Roughriders at Stampeders odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 7:41 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Roughriders +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Stampeders -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Roughriders +3.5 (-115) | Stampeders -3.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Roughriders at Stampeders key injuries

Roughriders

  • RB Albert Awachie (hamstring) out
  • WR Juwan Brescacin (shoulder) out
  • DL DeMarcus Christmas (knee) out
  • DB Rodney Clemons (ankle) out
  • DB Jayden Dalke (back) out
  • DL Nicholas Dheilly (head) out
  • OL Peter Godber (illness) game-time decision
  • RB Frankie Hickson (shoulder) out
  • P Kaare Vedvik (hip) out

Stampeders

  • WR Reggie Begelton (ribs) out
  • OL Jamal Campbell (healthy scratch) out
  • DB Julian Charles (knee) out
  • WR Tyson Middlemost (hamstring) out
  • DB Nick Statz (foot) out
  • DB Shaquille St-Lot (hamstring) out
  • OL Hugh Thornton (ankle) out
  • DB Titus Wall (hamstring) out

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Roughriders at Stampeders picks and predictions

Prediction

Stampeders 25, Roughriders 20

Moneyline

CALGARY (-165) returns to McMahon for the first time since a disappointing Week 1 setback to BC. The Stamps haven’t been as prolific on offense as in years past, but the defense has been doing its job with aplomb. It should be able to hold down a rather toothless Saskatchewan offense, helping the Stampeders move to 2-1 on the season.

Against the spread

CALGARY -3.5 (-105) comes with a little more risk than the ML play, although the Stampeders hit the road and took care of the Redblacks last weekend. Ottawa and Saskatchewan are fairly similar, and you can expect similar results, too.

The fact that the Stamps are back home for this one is a good sign. While Saskatchewan did win on the road at Edmonton in Week 1, this is a much bigger test, and one which the Riders will not pass.

Divvy up 1.5 UNITS between the CALGARY (-165) moneyline and the CALGARY -3.5 (-105) spread.

Over/Under

UNDER 45.5 (-110) is the lean.

The Under has hit in each game for Calgary so far, with the team averaging 20.5 points per game (PPG) and allowing 20.0 PPG.

For Saskatchewan, it was on fire in the pass game last week, but a lot of the statistics are misleading, coming in prevent-defense situations with the game well out of hand.

Expect the Roughriders offense to look close to the version we saw in Week 1 against the Elks as it was not terribly good. The defense for Saskatchewan was much better in the opener, too. Don’t expect to see the Roughriders get trampled by the Stampeders in the same fashion the Bombers took them down.

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