Forbidden Door 2023 betting odds: MJF to stem NJPW tide?

The AEW World Championship should remain with MJF, but oddsmakers like NJPW talent to win several big matches at Forbidden Door 2023.

MJF made it clear he’d rather not compete at Forbidden Door 2023, and especially not against someone from NJPW. The bad news for the AEW World Champion is that he got matched up against one of the company’s icons, Hiroshi Tanahashi, and despite his bluster, is likely going to have to wrestle the Ace in Toronto.

The good news is that he’s widely, widely expected to win. Betfair has MJF as a huge favorite at the moment, sitting at -2500 in American odds.

It makes sense as it would be surprising indeed to see Tanahashi sporting the AEW world title at this stage of his career. But his New Japan counterparts are expected to do better, with oddsmakers favoring Will Ospreay to win his highly anticipated rematch against Kenny Omega and Kazuchika Okada to prevail in a dream match against Bryan Danielson.

IWGP World Heavyweight Champion Sanada is also close to MJF levels as a favorite against “Jungle Boy” Jack Perry.

As always, we don’t endorse wagering on pro wrestling matches given that someone already knows the outcomes, but we enjoy examining the betting lines as a way of determining critical consensus on what will happen on upcoming cards.

We’ll update this post as more matches are confirmed for Forbidden Door, which is a near certainty as the week progresses. For now, here’s a look at what’s already been announced, converted into American-style lines.

(Latest update: June 20, 2023, 12:45 p.m. ET)

AEW x NJPW Forbidden Door 2023 betting odds:

AEW World Championship match
  • MJF (c): -2500
  • Hiroshi Tanahashi: +700
Singles match
  • Kazuchika Okada: -175
  • Bryan Danielson: +125
IWGP United States Heavyweight Championship match
  • Will Ospreay: -275
  • Kenny Omega (c): +175
IWGP World Heavyweight Championship match
  • Sanada (c): -1425
  • “Jungle Boy” Jack Perry: +500

AEW Dynamite results: The Forbidden Door gets kicked wide open in D.C.

Get live AEW Dynamite results from D.C., featuring MJF vs. Adam Cole and more pieces of Forbidden Door falling into place.

Sometimes you can just feel when wrestling companies want to put their best foot forward, and tonight is one of those nights as AEW Dynamite airs from the Capital One Arena in Washington D.C.

Not that Tony Khan isn’t trying to hit every show out of the park, mind you. But with the debut of AEW: Collision this Saturday, followed quickly by Forbidden Door next week, it behooves this particular episode to have that “can’t miss” feeling about it.

Whether it does or not is in the eye of the beholder, but the card looks compelling from here. MJF and Adam Cole will battle in a world title eliminator, and while “beat the champ to get a shot at the champ” matches are sometimes silly, this one appears very legit.

The Blackpool Combat Club and The Elite may literally fight forever at this point, which will be the case again tonight as they meet in trios action. AEW Women’s World Champion Toni Storm defends her title against Skye Blue, and Wardlow does the same with his TNT Championship against Jake Hager, and a big eight-man tag team match sees the Mogul Embassy go up against a fan favorite group made up of Darby Allin, Sting, Keith Lee and Orange Cassidy.

Plus Sammy Guevara will be on Dynamite for the first time since his unsuccessful world title bid at Double or Nothing. Add it all up and it has the makings of a very fun two hours, and that’s not even counting the fact that perhaps a NJPW talent or two will drop by.

AEW Dynamite results from Washington D.C.:

  • Adam Cole vs. MJF goes to a 30-minute time limit draw after MJF’s two attempts to cheat both backfire, and Cole has him beaten with the Panama Sunrise only to have the bell ring with the count at two; Cole asks MJF for five more minutes, but the champ takes his title belt and leaves

  • A video package promotes the return of CM Punk at AEW: Collision

  • Sammy Guevara talks to Renee Paquette about the highs and lows of his last few weeks and says he has to make some personal changes; Darby Allin arrives and suggests Guevara needs to leave the Jericho Appreciation Society to reach the next level … which in turn brings Chris Jericho to the ring, demanding an apology; that in turn brings out Sting, who has a brief, tense staredown with Jericho amid suggestions they might all be in a tag team match next week

  • IWGP World Heavyweight Champion Sanada issues an open challenge for his title at Forbidden Door and says he’s anxious to see who from AEW will step up and accept it

  • Darby Allin, Sting, Keith Lee and Orange Cassidy def. Mogul Embassy by pinfall when Sting pins Brian Cage
  • Paquette asks The Gunns about their relationship with Bullet Club Gold, but they play dumb and would rather talk about their challenge to The Hardys for next week … and then they diss Renee’s hair for some reason

  • Wardlow def. Jake Hager by pinfall to retain the AEW TNT Championship, with Brock Anderson helping fend off outside assistance for Hager by the JAS; afterward, Christian Cage and Luchasaurus appear on the screen to accept Wardlow’s challenge on Collision and show that they’ve beaten up Arn Anderson
  • Hiroshi Tanahashi makes a challenge to MJF for Forbidden Door, and Paquette gives the bad news to the AEW world champ backstage and he says he’s not doing it

  • Paquette is talking to Orange Cassidy about what the future holds when Zack Sabre Jr. says it should be the two of them facing off for the AEW International Championship at Forbidden Door; Daniel Garcia arrives as well, so Cassidy says he and Katsuyori Shibata will face ZSJ and Garcia next week on Dynamite

  • Toni Storm def. Skye Blue by submission to retain the AEW Women’s World Championship, with help from the other Outcasts, of course; Willow Nightingale sprints down to prevent a post-match beating
  • “Jungle Boy” Jack Perry tells the very busy Paquette he’s accepting Sanada’s title challenge for Forbidden Door and asks Hook to have his back; Hook looks like he accepts with a fist bump

  • A video package promotes the main event for the debut episode of AEW: Collision on Saturday night
  • The Elite (Hangman Adam Page and Young Bucks) def. Blackpool Combat Club (Claudio Castagnoli, Jon Moxley and Wheeler Yuta) by pinfall as Page pins Yuta, leaving Bryan Danielson on commentary going “you’ve got to be kidding me”
  • After the bell, the BCC attacks The Elite, but Eddie Kingston comes rushing down and goes right after Castagnoli, eventually clearing him from the ring; Kingston and Moxley have a brief showdown and Eddie tries to play peacemaker, but Konosuke Takeshita runs down and attacks Kingston from behind before Kenny Omega joins them and battles Takeshita … but gets assaulted in turn by Will Ospreay, who hits the Stormbreaker on Omega to end the show

AEW x NJPW Forbidden Door 2023 card: All the matches set for Toronto

Take a look at the full AEW x NJPW Forbidden Door 2023 card ahead of this year’s event in Toronto.

Wrestling fans enjoy fantasy booking just about any big card in their heads as a matter of habit, but Forbidden Door lends itself to that pastime more than any other show. The first AEW and NJPW co-branded event in 2022 was a big hit, which only kicked the anticipation up even higher for the follow-up this year.

Of course, both companies had their own big events to get through first. But as soon as Double or Nothing was in the rear view mirror come the beginning of June (and with the very real added twist of AEW: Collision launching just a week before Forbidden Door and including the return of CM Punk), thoughts started turning toward the card in Toronto.

NJPW Dominion 6.4 in Osaka-jo Hall started laying some of the foundation for Forbidden Door in earnest, turning two dream matches into reality: one a rematch of a highly praised bout at Wrestle Kingdom in January, and the other featuring two of the best wrestlers in Japan and the U.S. over the past two decades.

If last year’s event is any guide, there will likely be championship and multi-person matches added before June 25 arrives. There’s also an interesting question about whether the card will feature more women’s wrestling than the single match in 2022 given NJPW’s increasing (though still small) steps toward incorporating women into their promotion.

We’ll update this post as more matches are made official. For now, here’s what been revealed for Scotiabank Arena in Toronto.

(Last update: June 14, 2023, 9:40 p.m.)

AEW Forbidden Door 2023 card:

NJPW Dominion 6.4 in Osaka-jo Hall results: Sanada retains, but Yota Tsuji looks like a fan favorite

Yota Tsuji looked like a star even in defeat while challenging Sanada for the IWGP World Heavyweight Championship at Dominion 6.4 in Osaka.

Is Yota Tsuji the kind of supernova that can shoot right to a world title? He’ll need to be to defeat Sanada for the IWGP World Heavyweight Championship so soon after returning from his overseas excursion. Now a member of LIJ, Tsuji has Tetsuya Naito, Hiromu Takahashi, Bushi and Titan out ringside to support him, and Shingo Takagi even leaves the Japanese commentary desk to join in. The Just 5 Guys crew is out to back the champ as well, watching as all six members of LIJ do the raised fist circle.

The “Yota” chants are evident and draw a smile from the challenger as the bell rings. Tsuji grabs a side headlock, then runs over the champ with a shoulder tackle. He spears Sanada when he tries a leapfrog, and the crowd loves it. They love it even more when he hits a somersault plancha to the floor.

Tsuji coms charging in from a football crouch but catches a kick to the face. Sanada decides to grab and lean back into the Skull End, and Tsuji is in the hold for quite some time. Sanada finally lets it go and attempts a moonsault, but he catches nothing but knees.

The two men stand and trade strikes, with forearms and chops going both ways. A backbreaker by Tsuji leads to a Boston Crab, with Yota smiling again as he leans back. Some fans are chanting for Sanada, but Yota chants drown them out.

A reverse Gory special is on target for Yota, but his moonsault not so much. Sanada isn’t quick to rise, however, as he is still shaking off earlier offense. The champ picks up the pace and hits a dropkick, knocking Tsuji out to the floor where he’s nailed by a plancha.

A huge missile dropkick by Sanada is immediately answered by a superkick. Both men are down, with the fans mostly urging on Tsuji. Back to chops they go, and once again Tsuji seems to be giving better than he gets. A driver of some sort gets him a two count, and he takes the champ up to the top rope. He delivers a Spanish Fly with a half twist and nearly gets a three from it.

Some back and forth leads to a Deadfall attempt, but Tsuji breaks free for a headbutt and a Stomp. He hooks the leg but Sanada just barely kicks out in time.

They run the ropes and Tsuji looks for a spear, but Sanada hits a dropkick, a moonsault, a Shining Wizard and Deadfall, and that burst of offense is enough to end it. LIJ doesn’t enter the ring to help out Tsuji, which the announcers note.

Sanada gets on the mic and says Tsuji should get on the grind and get some results for LIJ, then he can challenge for the title again. He says next time they are in Okada it will be for the G1, and that he will win it as champion and choose his challenger for Wrestle Kingdom. Taichi gives him a fist bump for that.

Sanada says today he can say that he really, really likes this town before a burst of gold streamers goes up and he’s held on the shoulders of his teammates.

Click here for full NJPW Dominion 6.4 results from Osaka.

Dominion 6.4 in Osaka-jo Hall results: Sanada holds off intriguing challenger, Bullet Club grows

Check out all of the action for NJPW’s start of the summer card with full Dominion 6.4 in Osaka-jo Hall results.

Is there change in the air? It’s always possible when eight championships are on the line on one pro wrestling card, which is the case for NJPW Dominion 6.4 in Osaka-jo Hall.

Except for one eight-man tag and one match to determine a No. 1 contender for the IWGP United States Heavyweight Championship — and even that bout is intriguing considering the man holding that particular title is Kenny Omega — every bout on this year’s card is a championship match.

With that much gold on the line, it’s tricky to pick the showdowns that stand out from the rest, but three figure to be measuring sticks for whether things will be shaken up across New Japan this summer. The first sees David Finlay, leader of the Bullet Club, take on former teammate El Phantasmo for Finlay’s NEVER Openweight Championship. Will this be a measure of revenge for ELP after he was unceremoniously booted from the group, or further validation of Finlay’s new direction for one of pro wrestling’s most famous stables?

Hiromu Takahashi defends his IWGP Junior Heavyweight Championship against Master Wato, who made quite the impression by winning the 2023 Best of the Super Juniors tournament. A victory over Hiromu would give him the right to claim he’s the best junior heavyweight in the company.

And in the main event, Sanada will attempt to fend off a challenge to his IWGP World Heavyweight Championship from Yota Tsuji. While Sanada had to break free from Los Ingobernables de Japon  to take his game to the next level, Tsuji is attempting to do just the opposite, saying he wants to join LIJ while trying to bring home the top prize in NJPW.

It should be an exciting night with a title change or two and perhaps a couple of surprises before it’s all said and done, not to mention the reveal of the G1 Climax 33 lineups.

Dominion 6.4 in Osaka-jo Hall results:

(click on any match with a link for full details)

  • Will Ospreay def. Lance Archer by pinfall to become No. 1 contender for Kenny Omega’s IWGP United States Heavyweight Championship
  • Ospreay gets on the microphone and says he’s out for revenge on Omega, and will walk into Canada to bring the title back … likely meaning at Forbidden Door in Toronto
  • Los Ingobernables de Japon (Tetsuya Naito, Shingo Takagi, Bushi and TitĂĄn) def. Just 5 Guys (Taichi, Douki, Yoshinobu Kanemaru and Taka Michinoku) by submission
  • Catch 2/2 (Francesco Akira and TJP) def. Intergalactic Jet Setters (Kushida and Kevin Knight) by pinfall to become the new IWGP Junior Heavyweight Tag Team Champions …
  • … but the new champs are attacked right after the match by Dan Moloney, who cornered them during the bout, and Clark Connors
  • Zack Sabre Jr. def. Jeff Cobb by pinfall to retain the NJPW World Television Championship
  • Bishamon (Hirooki Goto and Yoshi-Hashi) def. House of Torture (Evil and Yujiro Takahashi) and United Empire (Great-O-Khan and Aaron Henare) by pinfall to become the new IWGP Tag Team Champions and Strong Openweight Tag Team Champions …
  • … but after their victory, they are laid out by the new Bullet Club War Dogs, Alex Coughlin and Gabriel Kidd
  • The G1 Climax 33 field will include Kazuchika Okada, Naito, Sanada, Ospreay, Hiroshi Tanahashi, David Finlay, Shota Umino, Takagi, Tomohiro Ishii, Tama Tonga, Tanga Loa, Hikuleo, Goto, Yoshi-Hashi, Toru Yano, Kenta, ZSJ, Taichi, Eddie Kingston, El Phantasmo, Ren Narita, Evil, Chase Owens, Cobb, Great-O-Khan, Henare, Kidd, Coughlin, Shane Haste, Mikey Nicholls, Yota Tsuji, and Kaito Kiyomiya
  • David Finlay def. El Phantasmo by pinfall to retain the NEVER Openweight Championship
  • Hiromu Takahashi def. Master Wato by pinfall to retain the IWGP Junior Heavyweight Championship
  • Chaos (Kazuchika Okada and Tomohiro Ishii) and Hiroshi Tanahashi def. Blackpool Combat Club (Jon Moxley and Claudio Castagnoli) and Shota Umino by pinfall, with Okada accepting a recorded challenge from Bryan Danielson after the match and suggesting “the Forbidden Door will be opened”
  • Sanada def. Yota Tsuji by pinfall to retain the IWGP World Heavyweight Championship

Dominion 6.4 in Osaka-jo Hall: Date, start time, how to watch

Everything you need to know to tune in for NJPW Dominion 6.4 in Osaka-jo Hall this weekend.

A NJPW summer doesn’t get started in earnest until Dominion arrives. That happens this weekend, as Dominion 6.4 in Osaka-jo Hall becomes the 15th show to bear the Dominion name and the ninth at the venue in its title.

As always, there are championship matches aplenty. Of the nine bouts on the card (there’s also one non-televised match to kick things off for the live crowd), there is gold at stake in seven of them, plus a No. 1 contender match for an eighth title.

The main event will be a test of the star power of two men who haven’t spent much time in these kinds of spots to date. IWGP World  Heavyweight Champion Sanada is set to take on Yota Tsuji, who only just returned to the company from his overseas excursion at Wrestling Dontaku 2023 last month. Will fans take to them as top of the card talent?

AEW fans might want to check out Dominion as well, since several matches figure to play into the dual-branded Forbidden Door event later this month. Lance Archer and Will Ospreay will face off for the right to challenge for the IWGP United States Heavyweight Championship, a title that just happens to be held by Kenny Omega. It’s also worth noting that Omega was said to be out of the company but “not in Canada,” meaning he could make an in-person appearance.

The NEVER Openweight 6-Man Tag Team Championship is also intriguing, as champions Kazuchika Okada, Tomohiro Ishii and Hiroshi Tanahashi battle Jon Moxley, Claudio Castagnoli and Shota Umino. This is the kind of matchup that could easily be run back at Forbidden Door, though Mox has also seemingly been campaigning for a one-on-one match with Okada …

The action all goes down late Saturday night/early Sunday morning, depending where you are in the U.S. Here’s everything you need to know to watch Dominion.

Dominion 6.4 in Osaka-jo Hall

  • Date: Saturday, June 4, 2023
  • Location: Osaka-jō Hall, Osaka, Japan
  • Start time: 3:00 a.m. ET/midnight PT/4:00 p.m. JST
  • How to watch: On NJPW World (subscription required) in Japanese or English

Wrestling Dontaku 2023 results: Hiromu Takahashi gives his all but can’t dethrone Sanada

Both Hiromu and Sanada had their supporters inFukuoka.

Just 5 Guys are all out to support Sanada during his entrance as Kevin Kelly discusses how many things have changed for the champion in a short period of time. LIJ is also out at ringside to support Hiromu Takahashi, something they haven’t always been great about doing for each other in the past.

There are loud chants for Hiromu as the opening bell rings and they lock up for the first time. There’s a clean break along the ropes but Hiromu tries to rush the champ and comes up empty. Sanada grabs a side headlock and takes things to the mat, where the challenger wraps his legs around the champ’s head and forces a rope break.

Both men run the ropes until Hiromu low bridges his former teammate to the apron and dropkicks him to the floor. Hiromu lands his dropkick off the apron as well, blasting Sanada over the guardrail before launching himself over the rail to land another dropkick, taking his own nasty back bump on the concrete to do it.

Back into the ring they go, but only long enough for Sanada to send Hiromu back to the outside. Sanada DDTs his foe on the floor, which the English announce team calls evidence of the “Just 5 Guys Sanada” that he hasn’t been showing much of during this tour, saving it for this match.

Sanada pounds away on Hiromu, looking like he’s seized all the momentum while he works on the challenger’s neck. Hiromu tries to fight back with chops but eats a suplex and has to kick out at two.

The other members of LIJ try to get the fans back into it, and Hiromu makes another push forward only to get smacked back harder than he’s hitting. A hurricanrana finally buys Takahashi a moment to compose himself, bringing the crowd to his aid a bit.

A flurry of offense includes a shotgun dropkick, and he’s able to cover but doesn’t come close to keeping Sanada down for three. A falcon arrow follows, leading to a more convincing two count.

Two impressive leapfrogs are followed by a dropkick and then a plancha to the floor by the world champion. He asks for noise from the crowd and hears some cheers of his own, and he rolls Hiromu back into the ring for a somewhat haphazard near fall.

A short exchange of counters ends with Hiromu’s inside cradle for two, and he pulls off a DDT right after that but can’t capitalize. Sanada is lifted and smashes into the corner pad, and the challenger jumps into a combination leg triangle and armbreaker. Sanada powers out and eventually hits a TKO for another near fall.

Sanada signals to the camera for the finish, dropping back into Skull End. Hiromu is bent back pretty far, and the fans chant to encourage him to find a way out. He finally frees himself only to have Sanada spin him around by the neck. The champ hits a moonsault, but Hiromu gets his knees up on a second attempt.

With the help of the ropes, Hiromu gets Sanada up for a Time Bomb, but Sanada kicks out at two. Both men run the ropes again, but it’s Takahashi who strikes with a lariat. Sanada evades a Time Bomb 2 and hits a shining wizard, but the challenger counters Deadfall with a German suplex.

Hiromu tries for a running lariat but finds it has no effect. Sanada connects on several uppercuts, knocking his foe into the ropes and staggering him on his feet. Takahashi looks like he’s got nothing left even though he keeps coming forward.

Somehow, Hiromu finds the energy for a cutter out of the corner, and he hits Time Bomb 2 for a very close two count. The crowd thought he had it.

Hiromu tries to get the champ up again, but Sanada kicks his way free only to see the challenger block his shining wizard. A reversal off the ropes leads to Sanada going for and applying Skull End again. Can Hiromu possibly escape a second time?

It appears he’s fading in the hold, even as the fans keep chanting for him. Sanads realizes there’s no tap coming, so he delivers another moonsault, looking incredulous as Hiromu kicks out again. Sanada wants Deadfall but is countered with a rollup.

Undeterred, Sanada strikes with a shining wizard and finally hits Deadfall, and that’s enough to put Hiromu away.

After the match, Sanada says they wrestled once before, 11 years ago, but have grown so much since then and will undoubtedly have more growth to do going forward. He thanks the fans for selling out the arena and says next time they return, Just 5 Guys will be even better.

But before he can leave the ring, the Godzilla-esque video that’s been running for weeks pays off with the return of Yota Tsuji, who clears the ring, spears Sanada and briefly holds up the IWGP World Heavyweight Championship before laying it back over the champ’s chest.

Click here for full NJPW Wrestling Dontaku 2023 results.

Wrestling Dontaku 2023 results: Sanada holds off Hiromu, faces new threat to end the show

The final five matches on the Wrestling Dontaku 2023 card are title bouts.

Sanada finally ascended to the top of the mountain in New Japan Pro-Wrestling, winning the IWGP World Heavyweight Championship for the first time last month. Now one of his former mates from his LIJ days wants to make his reign a short one.

IWGP Junior Heavyweight Champion Hiromu Takahashi will be the first challenger for Sanada when the two meet tonight in the main event of Wrestling Dontaku 2023 in Fukuoka. The always colorful Hiromu will be attempting to also win the top prize in NJPW for the first time, making hima  double champ if he pulls it off.

That’s not the only title on the line. In fact the last five matches on this card are championship bouts, with the Strong Openweight Championship and NJPW World Television Championship among those being defended. Two others stand out, however; one pits former longtime Bullet Club member Tama Tonga against the group’s latest leader, David Finlay, looking to claim Tonga’s NEVER Openweight Championship and validate his status as BC’s top dog.

The other is a titanic battle for the NEVER Openweight 6-Man Tag Team Championship. Reigning champs Strong Style (Minoru Suzuki, El Desperado and Ren Narita) will try to turn back a challenge from a star-studded trio composed of Kazuchika Okada, Tomohiro Ishii and Hiroshi Tanahashi.

The opening matches on the card are a mix of six-man and eight-man tag matches that ensure as many different members of the NJPW roster as possible are in the show. It should be an exciting night of wrestling from the Fukuoka Kokusai Center, and it kicks off at 5 a.m. ET/2 a.m. PT.

Wrestling Dontaku 2023 results:

(click on any match with a link for more details)

  • Chaos (Toru Yano, Yoh and Bishamon (Hirooki Goto and Yoshi-Hashi)) def. House of Torture (Evil, Yujiro Takahashi, Sho and Dick Togo) by pinfall, after which Aussie Open came out to repossess their tag team title belts and propose a three-way match with Bishamon and House of Torture
  • United Empire (Aussie Open (Mark Davis and Kyle Fletcher) and Great-O-Khan) def. TMDK (Mikey Nicholls, Shane Haste and Kosei Fujita) by submission as Great-O-Khan taps out Fujita; afterward Great-O-Khan cuts a promo saying neither Bishamon or House of Torture stand a chance against Aussie Open and that Jeff Cobb would defeat Zack Sabre Jr. later tonight
  • Shota Umino and The Jet Setters (Kushida and Kevin Knight) def. United Empire (Aaron Henare and Catch 2/2 (Francesco Akira and TJP)) by pinfall when Kushida catches TJP with an inside cradle
  •  Just 5 Guys (Taichi, Yoshinobu Kanemaru and Douki) def. Los Ingobernables de Japon (Tetsuya Naito, Shingo Takagi and Bushi) by submission as Taichi gets Bushi to submit
  • A video plays to promote Best of the Super Juniors and show off the cards for May 12-24
  • Hikuleo def. KENTA by pinfall to become the new Strong Openweight Champion
  • Jeff Cobb vs. Zack Sabre Jr. ends in a 15-minute time limit draw; Sabre retains the NJPW World Television Championship
  • Chaos (Kazuchika Okada and Tomohiro Ishii) and Hiroshi Tanahashi def. Strong Style (Minoru Suzuki, El Desperado and Ren Narita) by pinfall to become the new NEVER Openweight 6-Man Tag Team Champions
  • Shota Umino reveals that Jon Moxley is returning at Dominion in June
  • David Finlay def. Tama Tonga by pinfall to become the new NEVER Openweight Champion …
  • .. but gets attacked by El Phantasmo after the match, and the two men need to eventually be pulled apart
  • Sanada def. Hiromu Takahashi by pinfall to retain the IWGP World Heavyweight Championship
  • The Godzilla-esque video promo that’s been running for weeks pays off with a reveal of a returning Yota Tsuji, who clears the ring, spears Sanada and holds up the IWGP title before laying it back across Sanada’s chest

Is NJPW finally going to give Sanada his shot as world champion?

Sanada has never been NJPW’s top champion, and if there was ever a time to see what he can do, this is it.

“If I stay in LIJ, nothing new will come of it.”

That’s what Sanada said March 17 when he punctuated his New Japan Cup quarterfinal victory over Tetsuya Naito by revealing that he was leaving Los Ingobernables de JapĂłn and joining Taichi’s Just 4 Guys stable.

(Which, naturally, is now Just 5 Guys.)

But he didn’t stop there. Along with the new allegiance, Sanada has unveiled a new look (clean-shaven with a more normal hair color) and a new finishing move, a modified DDT. As far as turning the page goes, this was as definitive as it gets.

New Japan Pro-Wrestling obviously believes in the “new” Sanada, having him win the New Japan Cup tournament for the first time. He defeated David Finlay in the final — another NJPW wrestler whose profile is on the rise — and now has the opportunity to battle Kazuchika Okada for the IWGP Heavyweight Championship at Sakura Genesis in Ryogoku on April 8.

Sanada has been here before, not just competing for NJPW’s top prize, but against the same man. His title bout against Okada at Wrestling Dontaku 2019 earned five stars from Wrestling Observer’s Dave Meltzer, and his rematch at King of Pro-Wrestling later that year won Tokyo Sports’ Best Bout Award 2019.

The common thread between both of them? Sanada lost.

There’s reason to think this time might be different. Okada is, of course, a generational talent, but we’ve seen him hold the top title for lengthy periods before. He’s had high profile matches against just about everyone NJPW can put forward as a contender. Okada always delivers, it’s just that he’s been doing that for so long that he’s already delivered against the field.

Putting the IWGP Heavyweight Championship on Sanada would be different. It would be fresh, like his presentation. It would give Just 5 Guys, despite a horrible name, real status as a top stable. There’s plenty that could be done with the jilted members of LIJ, especially Naito, looking for some payback.

Sanada is also 35. He’s not old, but he’s no up and comer either. If there was ever a time to see what he can do as New Japan’s top champion, this is it.

There’s one caveat. Forbidden Door, NJPW’s joint PPV card with AEW, is returning again this June. As Wrestling Observer Live hosts Bryan Alvarez and Mike Sempervive pointed out this week, Sanada is better known in Japan than he is internationally. Maybe New Japan gets skittish about having someone untested as the top dog head into that event with the title. Perhaps Sanada wins in Ryogoku but loses it back to Okada before Toronto.

But as Alvarez and Sempervive also expressed, what would be the point? Hardcore fans already admire Sanada for his skill and style. He’s never been given the ball and been allowed to run with it to see how he’d do. Hopefully, NJPW is going to give him an honest chance to find out.