WCC Tournament: San Francisco vs. Gonzaga odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s San Francisco vs. Gonzaga odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Francisco Dons (23-9) and the No. 18 Gonzaga Bulldogs (24-6) clash in a West Coast Conference semifinal Monday. Tip from Orleans Arena in Las Vegas is set for 11:30 p.m. ET (ESPN2/ESPN+). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the San Francisco vs. Gonzaga odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dons took care of Portland 72-51 in the opening round for the chance to face Gonzaga. They covered as 16-point favorites as F Marcus Williams went 4-for-6 from 3-point range to lead the squad with 16 points. Gonzaga beat the Dons in their own building, 86-68, Feb. 29.

Gonzaga, No. 18 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll (a new poll will be released Monday afternoon), has beaten San Francisco in each of the last 10 meetings, including both matchups this season. F Graham Ike had 26 points in the last one, and he has gone for 20+ in 7 straight games. He’s a big reason that the Zags have won 8 straight.

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San Francisco vs. Gonzaga odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): San Francisco +280 (bet $100 to win $280) | Gonzaga -360 (bet $360 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): San Francisco +8.5 (-118) | Gonzaga -8.5 (-104)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 148.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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San Francisco vs. Gonzaga picks and predictions

Prediction

Gonzaga 81, San Francisco 69

Moneyline

The Zags are big-time favorites, and there’s no reason to expect a Cadbury egg to be laid here. That said, there is no play on the ML here. Instead, let’s go with RYAN NEMBHARD OVER 13.5 POINTS (-104).

He has 14+ in 5 of 6 games and had 15 against the Dons in the last meeting.

Against the spread

The Zags have covered this spread in 3 of the last 4 meetings and 9 of 10. The neutral site could create an imbalance, but this is right at my limit for a spread. If it swells to 9.5, I’d avoid it altogether.

Take GONZAGA -8.5 (-118).

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Over/Under

The Zags score in bunches, ranking 6th in the country with 85.6 PPG. The Dons are no slouch, though tied for 70th with 77.9 PPG. The Over is just 4-6 in the last 10 meetings, but this number has cashed in the last 7.

Go easy here, because we’re projecting the Over to narrowly cash. But if you want action on the total, take the OVER 148.5 (-115).

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WCC Tournament: San Francisco vs. Gonzaga odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s San Francisco vs. Gonzaga odds and lines, with expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Francisco Dons (20-13, 7-9 WCC) look to topple the No. 8 Gonzaga Bulldogs (26-5, 14-2) Monday in a WCC semifinal matchup. Tip from Orleans Arena in Las Vegas is at 11:30 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the San Francisco vs. Gonzaga odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

Gonzaga boasts the nation’s top offense with 88.0 points per game and seeks its 3rd victory over San Francisco this season. The Bulldogs recorded a 77-75 victory as a 9.5-point road favorite on Jan. 5 and a 99-81 victory as a 15-point home favorite on Feb. 9.

A strong showing in the WCC Tournament could propel Gonzaga to a 2 seed in March and help them gain confidence behind star F Drew Timme as it hopes to finally win a National Championship.

San Francisco may need to win the WCC Tournament to have a shot at a postseason berth. However, that will be difficult to achieve with a defense that ranks 265th with 73.1 points allowed per game and an offense that pours in 76.3 points per game (71st).

Expect this to be a high-scoring affair for the right to play the winner of the BYU vs. St. Mary’s game.

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San Francisco vs. Gonzaga odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:52 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): San Francisco +675 (bet $100 to win $675) | Gonzaga -1100 (bet $1,100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): San Francisco +14.5 (-115) | Gonzaga -14.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 160.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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San Francisco vs. Gonzaga picks and predictions

Prediction

Gonzaga 90, San Francisco 81

Moneyline

PASS.

There is no question that the Bulldogs’ offense is elite and it is very unlikely that the Dons (+675) will be able to hold them down and pull off a victory here — even with that pricetag. However, despite that Gonzaga (-1100) should win you should never wager 11 times your potential return.

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Against the spread

BET SAN FRANCISCO +14.5 (-115), although this could get squirrely coming toward the end.

Gonzaga put up 99 points against San Francisco in the last meeting, but that game was at home. This game is on a neutral court and could be much closer than the 18-point margin seen in that showdown.

San Francisco should be able to score enough against a Gonzaga defense that ranks 276th with 73.6 points allowed per game to keep within 14 points, although this should be a comfortable Gonzaga victory from start to finish. A winning margin of 9 or 10 points is more likely for the Bulldogs.

Over/Under

OVER 160.5 (-115)

The Under is usually the play when the number is this high, but points should be plentiful Monday with 2 offenses ranked in the top 80 going against 2 defenses ranked outside the top 250.

The first meeting between the teams finished at 152 points and the last meeting finished at 180 points, so 160.5 then seems like a respectable number.

With Gonzaga coming off 104 points against Chicago State Wednesday, 90 will not be hard to hit. San Francisco is coming off a 93-87 double overtime win against the higher-seeded Santa Clara Sunday. While it might start slow for the Dons, they will pick up the pace and get this game Over the total by the end.

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San Francisco at Gonzaga odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s San Francisco at Gonzaga odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Francisco Dons (15-11, 4-7 WCC) battle the No. 16 Gonzaga Bulldogs (19-5, 8-2) Thursday. Tip from the McCarthey Athletic Center is set for 9 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the San Francisco vs. Gonzaga odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

The Dons and Bulldogs have battled once already this season, a 77-75 Gonzaga win in San Francisco. The Bulldogs failed to cover as a 9.5-point favorite while the Under 157.5 hit.

Gonzaga is coming off a 78-70 road loss to Saint Mary’s, failing to cover as a 3-point underdog in overtime. The Bulldogs are 3-3 against the spread (ATS) in their last 6 games and 7-15-1 ATS on the season.

San Francisco lost to Santa Clara 83-70 at home Saturday, failing to cover as a 3-point favorite. The Dons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games and 13-12 ATS on the season.

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San Francisco at Gonzaga odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:02 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Off the board
  • Against the spread (ATS): San Francisco +13.5 (-105) | Gonzaga -13.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 155.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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San Francisco at Gonzaga picks and predictions

Prediction

Gonzaga 83, San Francisco 70

Moneyline

Not available, but with Gonzaga 9-1 at home the expected line will be unplayable.

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Against the spread

BET SAN FRANCISCO +13.5 (-105).

San Francisco has played well against top competition this season, having a 2-0 ATS record against ranked opponents. The Dons are also 5-3 ATS as the road team. San Fran is 6-5 ATS against WCC opponents while Gonzaga is just 4-6 ATS against conference foes.

The Dons hold opponents to just 43% shooting as well which is where Gonzaga is the best in the nation, shooting 52% from the field. The Dons should be able to limit the Bulldogs’ efficient offense and have proven to thrive in conference play.

Back SAN FRANCISCO +13.5 (-105).

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 155.5 (-115).

Gonzaga’s electric offense has topped 80 in 3 of its last 5 games, but it has still gone Under the projected total in 6 of its last 9.

The Bulldogs are 4-6 O/U in conference games while San Fran is 5-6 O/U in conference games. San Fran is 10-15 O/U this season, so it has consistently rewarded Under bettors.

Considering the trends, back the UNDER 155.5 (-115).

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West Coast Conference Tournament: San Francisco vs. Gonzaga odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s San Francisco vs. Gonzaga odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The fourth-seeded San Francisco Dons (24-8) and top-seed Gonzaga Bulldogs (24-3) meet Monday for a West Coast Conference Tournament semifinal in Las Vegas. Tip-off at Orleans Arena is slated  for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the San Francisco vs. Gonzaga odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

San Francisco went 10-6 in WCC play and finished fourth in the 10-team circuit. The Dons opened tournament play with a 75-63 win over BYU Saturday. In a league that plays up-tempo high-scoring basketball, USF ranks third in scoring at 77.3 points per game.

Gonzaga won the WCC regular-season title — and a bye into this semifinal slot — by going 13-1 in league play this winter. The Bulldogs’ lone loss came 67-57 versus St. Mary’s Feb. 26 in its regular-season finale. The 57 points marked a season season-low for Gonzaga.

The loss snapped a 17-game win streak that saw the fast-paced Bulldogs average 88.3 PPG. Gonzaga heads into Monday’s game ranked No. 1 in the nation.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

San Francisco vs. Gonzaga odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:55 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: San Francisco +750 (bet $100 to win $750) | Gonzaga -1400 (bet $1,400 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): San Francisco +14.5 (-107) | Gonzaga -14.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 153.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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San Francisco vs. Gonzaga odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Gonzaga 84, San Francisco 72

Money line

Respected analytic sites peg San Francisco — a team that played within two scores of Gonzaga for 25 minutes in their Jan. 20 meeting — as a top-25 unit. When the Dons can take create some turnovers and limit 3s, they can play with the big boys.

However, for San Francisco, the biggest of its big boys is a question mark. Six -foot-10 F Yauhen Massalski has a knee injury and is listed as questionable for Monday’s game. This veteran USF squad can be a near-1-in-5 upset possibility if Massalski plays. Especially with Gonzaga not having played since Feb. 26.

So, there’s a caveat, but SAN FRANCISCO (+750) is worth a look.

Against the spread

Above noted, Gonzaga -14.5 is still a fair price. Imagine a world where this game is played five times: the Bulldogs win twice by 15 and twice by 13. And USF wins once.

PASS.

Over/Under

The Over is 4-1 in San Francisco’s last five games and 7-3 across the last 10 games of this series.

With a healthy bit of 3-point accuracy on one side (GU) and 3-point frequency on the other (USF), look for this total to be 3-balled into the high 150s.

BACK THE OVER 153.5 (-107).

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