The San Diego State Aztecs (1-1) and Utah Utes (1-1) battle in a 10 p.m. ET (ESPN2) contest at Rice-Eccles Stadium in Provo, Utah. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the San Diego State vs. Utah odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
San Diego State lost 38-20 to Arizona in Week 1 and then trounced FCS Idaho State 38-7 last Saturday. The run-first Aztecs totaled just 170 passing yards over the 2 games. However, SDSU’s 275.0 yards per game on the ground rank 4th in the nation.
After a Week 1 cliffhanger setback against Florida 29-26, the Utes rallied to decimate FCS Southern Utah 73-7 last week. Utah has averaged 522.0 total yards per game (10th FBS). Junior QB Cameron Rising has completed 70.9% of his passes through the team’s first 2 games.
Utah is No. 15 in the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
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San Diego State at Utah odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:47 a.m. ET.
- Money line: San Diego State +900 (bet $100 to win $900) | Utah -1,600 (bet $1,600 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): San Diego State +21.5 (-120) | Utah -21.5 (+100)
- Over/Under (O/U): 48.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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San Diego State at Utah picks and predictions
Prediction
Utah 35, San Diego State 17
Money line
AVOID.
There’s too much juice filling the canyon between these prices.
Against the spread
This line started in the 16-to-16.5-point range in most of the market, and it has now swung far enough toward the Utes to make San Diego State a low-to-moderate lean.
Look for SDSU to put some drives together with its run game, especially late as Utah likely goes into rest mode (the Utes open Pac-12 play next week). The Aztecs have the special teams to cut into the Utes’ margin here and there.
SDSU has been woeful in converting 3rd downs (28%). Some regression to the mean goes a long way toward making this more of a 17-to-20-point game.
SAN DIEGO STATE +21.5 (-120) has moderate value.
Over/Under
The Over is 5-1 in the Aztecs’ last 6 non-conference games, it’s 4-0 in Utah’s last 4 non-conference games and it’s 9-1 in the Utes’ last 10 games following an ATS win.
And the Over is the play Saturday. Neither side has played at flank speed when it comes to cranking out a lot of plays in quick order. But look for Utah to control the game, get to a comfortable lead but one that leaks late.
TAKE THE OVER 48.5 (-105).
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