San Diego State at Hawaii odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s San Diego State Aztecs at Hawaii Rainbow Warriors odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Diego State Aztecs (7-1, 3-1 Mountain West) and Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (4-5, 1-3) meet Saturday at the Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex in Honolulu. Kickoff is scheduled for 11 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the San Diego State vs. Hawaii odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings according to the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

The Aztecs suffered a 30-20 loss at home against Fresno State, the first setback of the season for San Diego State. After opening the season 4-1 ATS, the Aztecs are just 1-2 ATS across the past three outings.

The Rainbow Warriors were thumped 51-31 at Utah State in its fifth trip to the mainland this season, and Hawaii is now just 1-2 SU/0-3 ATS across the past three outings overall. The Warriors have allowed 34 or more points in each of the past three games.

San Diego State at Hawaii odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: San Diego State -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | Hawaii +230 (bet $100 to win $230)
  • Against the spread (ATS): San Diego State -7.5 (-102) | Hawaii +7.5 (-122)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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San Diego State at Hawaii odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 31, Hawaii 20

Money line

San Diego State (-300) is looking for the bounce back, and it should be able to get the win in the islands against a mediocre Hawaii (+230) side. But risking three times your return is just a little too expensive.

AVOID.

Against the spread

SAN DIEGO STATE -7.5 (-102) is a good play, even though a seven-and-a-hook bet on the favorite is not my favorite wager. However, the Aztecs have bounced back nicely following losses and non-covers, so they’re the play here. San Diego State is 6-1 ATS in the past seven following a non-cover, and 5-1 ATS in the past six following a straight-up loss.

Hawaii +7.5 (-122), on the other hand, is just 14-31-1 ATS in the previous 46 home games, and 11-23 ATS in the previous 34 against teams with a winning overall mark.

Over/Under

OVER 45.5 (-107) is the play in this one. The Aztecs have had a power outage lately, averaging just 19.7 PPG across the past three outings, but they have posted 29.6 PPG to rank 61st in the nation. Defensively, San Diego State has been strong, so don’t expect end-to-end action. But this one should inch over the finish line late.

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