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The San Diego State Aztecs (4-2) and the Fresno State Bulldogs (3-4) meet Wednesday at SaveMart Center in Fresno for the Mountain West Conference opener. Tip-off is set for 10:30 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the San Diego State vs. Fresno State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
San Diego State picked up a 73-70 win in overtime over the Houston Cougars at the Players Era Festival in Las Vegas. It’s only setback came against the No. 10 Oregon Ducks, while scoring an 18-point win over previously ranked Creighton Bluejays. After a 3-0 start for the Under, the Over has hit in the past 2 for the Aztecs.
Fresno State lost 86-81 in overtime against the Cal Baptist Lancers, while also suffering an 84-73 loss to the Washington State Cougars at Acrisure Arena. However, the Bulldogs have covered in 3 in a row, while the Over is on a 3-1 run in the previous 4 games.
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San Diego State at Fresno State odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds. Lines last updated at 7:06 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): San Diego State -1100 (bet $1,100 to win $100) | Fresno State +675 (bet $100 to win $675)
- Against the spread: San Diego State -14.5 (-105) | Fresno State +14.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 141.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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San Diego State at Fresno State picks and predictions
Prediction
San Diego State 73, Fresno State 62
Moneyline
San Diego State (-1100) will cost you 11 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not nearly enough reward, especially for the conference opener on the road.
Look, Fresno State (+675) is not good, and unlikely to pull off the upset, but there is just no value betting such a heavy favorite.
PASS.
Against the spread
FRESNO STATE +14.5 (-115) has covered 3 in a row, and it is worth a look on its home court against San Diego State -14.5 (-105).
San Diego State -14.5 (-105) has managed just a 2-3 ATS mark, and it has yet to play on the road this season. However, as a double-digit favorite, it is 0-1 ATS.
Over/Under
UNDER 141.5 (-115) is worth a look in this Mountain West opener.
While the Over cashed in the past 2 outings for San Diego State, one of those games went to overtime to aid in the win. The Under went 3-0 in the first 3 games.
For Fresno State, the Over has cashed in 3 of the past 4 outings, so be careful. However, the Over-Under has split in the first 2 games at home. And, the Under has hit in 4 straight meetings with San Diego State, while going 8-2 in the past 10 in the series.
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