San Diego State vs. Creighton odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s San Diego State vs. Creighton odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The No. 19 Creighton Bluejays (4-1) battle the San Diego State Aztecs (2-1) in the Players Era Festival – Power Tournament from Las Vegas Tuesday. Tip is set for 2 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the San Diego State vs. Creighton odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

Creighton is No. 19 in the USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll. The Bluejays won each of their first 4 games by double figures, but was just 1-3 against the spread (ATS). Creighton lost its most recent game to the Nebraska Cornhuskers 74-63 Friday, closing as a 10-point home favorite.

The Aztecs won its first 2 games, but then faced the No. 4 Gonzaga Bulldogs on Nov. 18. They lost 80-67 as a 10.5-point home underdog. San Diego State has yet to play away from home and is 0-2 ATS. It is led by G Nick Boyd, who is averaging 14.7 points per game (PPG).

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San Diego State vs. Creighton odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds  Lines last updated at 1:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): San Diego State +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Creighton -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): San Diego State +3.5 (-115) | Creighton -3.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 137.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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San Diego State vs. Creighton picks and predictions

Prediction

Creighton 72, San Diego State 64

Moneyline

PASS.

The Bluejays (-165) are the better play here, but they just aren’t quite worth the cost as a moneyline favorite. Avoid them there and focus on their value on the spread.

Against the spread

BET CREIGHTON -3.5 (-115).

The Aztecs offense is concerning, having scored just 67 points against Gonzaga. The bigger problem was that Boyd shot 6-for-10 from the field while the rest of the team was 17-for-51. San Diego State is averaging 65 PPG in its 2 games with a spread, and that isn’t good enough to beat Creighton. San Diego State is 0-2 ATS.

The Bluejays have scored at least 78 points in 4 of 5 games. Despite struggling in their last game, they have a trio of players scoring at least 13 PPG. That variety makes Creighton the preferred side. Expect thw Bluejays  to bounce back so take CREIGHTON -3.5 (-115).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 137.5 (-105).

Both teams have favored the Under so far this season. The Aztecs are 0-2 O/U and have scored below 70 points in both games that featured a spread and have allowed an average of 69 PPG in those 2 games.

The Bluejays have gone Under in 4 straight games. In their lone game as a favorite of under 15 points, they scored just 63 and went Under the 151 total in a 74-63 loss.

With those trends in mind, back UNDER 137.5 (-105).

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March Madness Elite 8 can’t-miss parlay: Bank on this 3-legger

Analyzing NCAA Tournament betting odds for the Elite 8, with predictions and picks for the best parlay bet to make.

Only 8 of the initial 68 teams are still dancing as we get closer and closer to the National Championship. With the Sweet 16 now in the rearview, the Elite 8 is upon us.

After looking at the Tipico Sportsbook’s NCAA Tournament odds and lines, here is a can’t-miss, Elite 8 parlay among our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

The weekend slate of games showcases no team higher than a No. 2 seed after 1-seeds Alabama and Houston were upset in the Sweet 16. The games will feature a 2-seed in Texas, two 3-seeds in Kansas State and Gonzaga, a 4-seed in UConn, two 5-seeds in Miami and San Diego State, a 6-seed in Creighton and 9th-seeded FAU.

See Top 25: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

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NCAA Tournament Elite 8 parlay

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 12:20 p.m. ET. All game times ET.

Leg  1: GONZAGA +2.5 (-112) vs. UConn — Saturday, 8:49 p.m.

While UConn had an impressive blowout against Arkansas in the Sweet 16, the Huskies’ strength of competition pales in comparison to Gonzaga’s Sweet 16 victory over UCLA.

Bulldogs F Drew Timme has been unstoppable in the tournament, averaging 28.3 points per game and 9.0 rebounds per game. He will be the key to the Bulldogs’ success and it is because of him that GONZAGA 2.5 (-112) is a great 1st leg of this parlay.

Gonzaga is the best shooting team in the country, ranking 1st in field-goal percentage (52.57% per NCAA.com).

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Leg 2: San Diego State vs. Creighton OVER 134.5 (-108) — Sunday, 2:20 p.m.

As it stands, 134.5 points would be the lowest closing line for both San Diego State and Creighton thus far in the tournament. It would also be the 2nd lowest line in San Diego State’s last 10 games and the lowest in Creighton’s last 10.

San Diego State has scored more than 70 points in both of its last 2 games, while Creighton has scored 70 or more in each of its 3 tournament games and at least 85 in its last 2 games. Creighton ranks 22nd in the KenPom offensive efficiency rankings and is accustomed to facing high-level defenses, ranking 35th in the KenPom rankings for opposing defensive efficiency.

The Bluejays’ offense has also been hitting on all cylinders from inside with C Ryan Kalkbrenner to outside the arc with G Baylor Scheierman, both of whom had more than 20 points in Friday’s win against Princeton making Sunday’s OVER 134.5 (-108) a great 2nd leg of this parlay.

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Leg 3: TEXAS -4.5 (-102) vs. Miami — Sunday, 5:05 p.m.

As the lowest seed left still dancing, Texas took down Xavier in impressive fashion in a Sweet 16 matchup Friday. Second-seeded Texas has been on an unstoppable tear dating back to its Big 12 Championship dismantling of Kansas by 20 points. The Longhorns rank 15th in offensive efficiency and 10th in defensive efficiency according to the KenPom rankings, while Miami ranks 6th and 104th in those metrics respectively.

With the 7th-most difficult schedule according to KenPom, Texas has not backed down to competition, rather it has flourished. It is 7-0-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last 8 games and will soon be 8-0-1 after Sunday night.

Texas will take down Miami with ease to advance to the Final Four, which will complete the 3rd and final leg of this parlay.

Try out the USA TODAY Parlay Calculator.

Parlay payout: Bet $10 to profit $62.20 (ticket pays $72.20).

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