The San Antonio Spurs (12-25) battle the New York Knicks (20-18) at Madison Square Garden Wednesday. Tip from New York City is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Spurs vs. Knicks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Knicks rocked the Phoenix Suns 102-83 Monday, covering as 3-point home favorites. That was their 2nd straight cover and 6th in their last 10 games to improve to 20-16-2 against the spread (ATS) this season. New York is top 3 in both opponents’ field goal percentage (45.2%, 2nd) and opponents’ 3-point field goal percentage (34.0%, 3rd).
The Spurs were destroyed at the Brooklyn Nets 139-103 Monday, failing to cover as 11.5-point road underdogs. The Spurs are just 5-12 straight up on the road and 4-6 ATS over their last 10 games. They sit dead last in both opponents’ field goal percentage (50.7%) and opponents’ 3-point field goal percentage (39.5%).
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Spurs at Knicks odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:17 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Spurs +325 (bet $100 to win $325) | Knicks -400 (bet $400 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Spurs +9.5 (-115) | Knicks -9.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 226.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Spurs at Knicks key injuries
Spurs
- F Keita Bates-Diop (non-COVID illness) out
- G Devin Vassell (knee) questionable
Knicks
- F RJ Barrett (finger) out
- G Derrick Rose (knee) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Spurs at Knicks picks and predictions
Prediction
Knicks 118, Spurs 113
Moneyline
PASS.
The Knicks (-400) have been worse at home than on the road, posting just a 9-10 home record.
While they are likely to win it is not wise as the risk is not worth the reward. The Spurs have some value to pull off the upset, but I’d prefer to play the spread.
Against the spread
BET SPURS +9.5 (-115).
The Spurs have covered 3 of their last 5 games and do have the firepower with F Keldon Johnson to keep pace with New York. The Knicks also won’t abuse the Spurs’ defensive weaknesses.
New York ranks 25th in field goal percentage (45.7%) and 3-point field goal percentage (33.9%); their defense is their main strength which bodes well for San Antonio.
The Spurs are 6th in the NBA in offensive rebounding rate while the Knicks rank 19th in defensive rebounding, so those extra opportunities should help the high-tempo San Antonio offense.
The Knicks are 1-3 ATS over their last 4 home games and 1-3 straight up in those games as well. They are just 3-4 ATS over their last 7. Considering the strength-on-weakness factors and recent trends, back the SPURS +9.5 (-115).
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 226.5 (-112).
The Knicks have gone Over in 6 of their last 8 games and have scored at least 110 in 4 of their last 6. The Spurs are 21-15-1 O/U this season and play at an ultra-fast pace.
San Antonio ranks 10th in pace and should have ample extra opportunities on the glass. The Spurs, due to a mixture of the pace and their terrible defense, have gone Over in 8 straight games.
Back the OVER 226.5 (-112).
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