Summer League: San Antonio Spurs vs. Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s San Antonio Spurs vs. Atlanta Hawks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Antonio Spurs and Atlanta Hawks meet Sunday in the 2024 NBA Summer League in Las Vegas. Tip-off from Thomas & Mack Center is set for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN2/ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Spurs vs. Hawks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Spurs selected G Stephon Castle, who should be active Sunday, at No. 4 in the 2024 NBA Draft and G Rob Dillingham at No. 8, immediately sending him to the Minnesota Timberwolves. Castle dropped 22 points on 8-of-21 shooting in their 83-77 win over the Portland Trail Blazers Saturday. San Antonio was 1-2 in its 3 California Classic games earlier in the month, having lost 97-65 to the Charlotte Hornets and 85-59 to the Sacramento Kings 1 before picking up an 89-67 win over Team China.

The Hawks opened their summer league play with a 94-88 loss to the Washington Wizards Friday in a battle that featured the top 2 picks in the draft. Atlanta drafted F Zaccharie Risacher with the No. 1 overall pick. He ended his summer league debut with 18 points and 3 triples. The Hawks only have 1 player with multiple years in the NBA, F Dylan Windler. Atlanta didn’t play in either the Salt Lake City Summer League or California Classic.

Spurs at Hawks odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Spurs +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Hawks -148 (bet $148 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Spurs +3 (-112) | Hawks -3 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 170.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Spurs at Hawks picks and predictions

Prediction

Hawks 89, Spurs 83

Moneyline

PASS.

In all 5 games these teams have combined to play in summer league, the closing spread has been higher than 3 points. Take the Spurs on the moneyline or the Hawks on the spread, although the latter is suggested here.

Against the spread

BET HAWKS -3 (-108).

The Hawks jumped out to a 9-point lead after the 1st quarter Friday, but struggled shooting, going 11-of-39 from deep and just 21-of-35 from the free-throw line. Those should both see improvements Sunday, especially the latter.

Atlanta will have a major size advantage, which should bode well for it on the glass. Given San Antonio snatched 15 offensive boards against Portland, having Risacher in the middle will help. Atlanta started 5 forwards against Washington as well.

San Antonio struggled immensely in the California Classic and will be on the 2nd night of a back-to-back. Considering the size and rest advantage, take HAWKS -3 (-108).

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Over/Under

BET OVER 170.5 (-110).

Both teams like to run, and they’re going to be shooting a bunch of 3s Sunday. The Hawks and Spurs both tossed up 39 triples in their 1st summer league appearance. The Spurs connected on 12, while the Hawks hit 11.

As the players get more comfortable, especially since this is the 1st NBA action for most, they should start to improve from deep. The Hawks scored 23 or more points in 3 of 4 quarters, while the Spurs scored 22 or more in 3 of 4. The consistency should be there in the offensive sets and roster depth.

Take OVER 170.5 (-110).

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San Antonio Spurs at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Antonio Spurs at Atlanta Hawks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Antonio Spurs (20-35) visit State Farm Arena Friday to take on the Atlanta Hawks (26-28). Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Spurs vs. Hawks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Spurs come into this battle after a 105-92 road loss as 5.5-point underdogs to the Cleveland Cavaliers Wednesday.

San Antonio is barely over .500 against the spread (ATS) with a 28-27 ATS overall but is 12-9 ATS a road underdog. The Spurs were involved in a couple of smaller deals around the trade deadline.

The Hawks rank eighth in points per game (111.9) and second in three-point field goal percentage (37.6%). That’s been their strength behind star G Trae Young. Atlanta is coming off a 133-112 win over the Dallas Mavericks Tuesday as its covered as a 12.5-point favorite.

The Hawks are 7-3 both ATS and straight up (SU) over their last 10 games but have covered just two of their last five. They’re 24-30 ATS on the season.

Spurs at Hawks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:52 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Spurs +300 (bet $100 to win $300) | Hawks -400 (bet $400 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Spurs +7.5 (-105) | Hawks -7.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 232.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Spurs at Hawks key injuries

Spurs

  • None

Hawks

  • G Lou Williams (hamstring) questionable

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Spurs at Hawks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Hawks 119, Spurs 115

Money line

PASS.

The Hawks should come out on top, but they aren’t worth betting more than 4 times your potential return. They’ve also been playing better than the Spurs as of late, so the upset is not a great play either.

Against the spread

BET the SPURS +7.5 (-105).

The Spurs are 12-9 ATS as road underdogs and play much better than their record indicates. Only five teams have a worse SU record than San Antonio yet it ranks 17th out of 30 in net rating (the Hawks are 15th).

They’re a well-coached team and rarely turn the ball over, ranking second in turnover rate. The Hawks rank first in that stat.

The Spurs traded G Derrick White to the Boston Celtics Thursday which should give G Devin Vassell a chance to step into a starting role. That may actually improve their offense given Vassell’s strength as a shooter.

The Hawks are 11-14 ATS after a win, so there could be a hangover for the Atlanta side that helps keep this game close.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 232.5 (-108).

These two teams don’t turn the ball over and they play at a chaotic pace.

The Spurs rank fifth in pace while the Hawks sit at 17. The Spurs rank 19th in opponents’ three-point field goal percentage which should bode well for Atlanta to cash in from deep.

Both teams have been better on the Over this season as well with the Spurs 27-26-2 O/U and the Hawks 29-25. The points should be in abundance on Friday with two star guards in action.

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San Antonio Spurs at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Friday’s San Antonio Spurs at Atlanta Hawks NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Atlanta Hawks (11-13) host the San Antonio Spurs (14-11) Friday for a 7:30 p.m. ET tip-off at State Farm Arena. Below, we analyze the Spurs-Hawks NBA odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

San Antonio split a two-game miniseries with the Golden State Warriors after losing 114-91 as a 1.5-point road favorite Tuesday. The loss snapped a three-game win streak for the Spurs who are 3-3 straight up and 2-4 against the spread over their last six games.

The Hawks lost a 118-117 nail-biter at the Dallas Mavericks Wednesday and have dropped four of their last five games. Over those five games, Atlanta is tied for the sixth-highest turnover rate and is 23rd by net rating.

Atlanta won both meetings last season and has covered the spread in three of the last four games against San Antonio. Hawks PG Trae Young was fantastic in both games, as he averaged 30.0 points per game on 51.3% field-goal shooting with 11.0 assists in those meetings.

Spurs at Hawks: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Spurs +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Hawks -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Spurs +2.5 (-115) | Hawks -2.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 225.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Spurs at Hawks: Key injuries

Spurs

  • LaMarcus Aldridge (hip) out

Hawks

  • SF De’Andre Hunter (knee) out
  • PG Rajon Rondo (back) out
  • SG Bogdan Bogdanovic (knee) out

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Spurs at Hawks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Spurs 114, Hawks 107

Money line (ML)

The Spurs should fare better in this meeting with the Hawks than their two games last season since they’ve improved by leaps and bounds defensively year over year.

San Antonio was 25th in defensive rating last year but, ranks 10th this season, while being fourth in defensive rebounding percentage and second in FTA/FGA rate.

Spurs PG Dejounte Murray‘s maturation and defensive prowess is a big reason for said improvement. Murray is 15th in steal percentage and 20th in defensive win shares and is the best defensive rated starter on a San Antonio team ninth in defense efficiency.

Murray got lit up by Young last season but with sneaky good defensive bigs protecting the rim behind them the backcourt can extend its perimeter defense while keeping Atlanta’s ballhandlers—Young especially—off the foul line.

lean SPURS (+110) because San Antonio plus the points is a better play and we should be getting around +125 for the underdog.

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Against the spread (ATS)

BET SPURS +2.5 (-115) heavier or instead of the money line.

Spurs SG DeMar DeRozan has played well vs. the Hawks recently. DeRozan has scored at least 22 points in four of his last five games on 54.9% shooting against the Hawks and the absence of Hunter should make this visit to Atlanta easier.

like DeRozan to ice this game down the stretch.

Over/Under (O/U)

It’s a little too obvious so this is only a lean but I’d TAKE the UNDER 225.5 (-110) for a quarter-unit.

There’s a mountain of Under trends to support that bet plus the market is hammering the Under, which has steamed the total down a couple of points from the opening line.

I prefer taking San Antonio to cover and/or win rather than the Under.

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