New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons Week 1 odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The New Orleans Saints open their season at the Atlanta Falcons Sunday in Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Saints vs. Falcons odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Saints and Falcons split their series 1-1 last year. But they have had arguably diverting offseasons.

The Saints WR Michael Thomas, who missed the 2021 season with an ankle injury, is questionable. He said he is playing, though. QB Jameis Winston went 5-2 in 2021 before he, too, got injured and missed the rest of the season. But he will be ready for Week 1, and optimism is high in New Orleans. The Saints are +350 to win the division, and it’s certainly possible if they can stay healthy.

The Falcons, on the other hand, traded their franchise QB Matt Ryan to the Colts after a 7-10 season. Former Raiders’ backup Marcus Mariota will be under center to start the season, and their main pass catcher is TE Kyle Pitts, who in his rookie year had 1,026 yards with only 1 TD.

The Falcons still need more pieces to make an impact on this division. They are tied with the Chicago Bears, Seattle Seahawks and Houston Texans to have the worst record in the NFL at +600.

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Saints at Falcons odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Saints -230 (bet $230 to win $100) | Falcons +190 (bet $100 to win $190)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Saints -4.5 (-115) | Falcons +4.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (O: -103 | U: -117)

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Saints at Falcons key injuries

Saints

  • WR Michael Thomas (hamstring) questionable

Falcons

  • WR Drake London (knee) questionable

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Saints at Falcons picks and predictions

Prediction

Saints 32, Falcons 17

Money line

In 2021, the Falcons went 0-4 as a home underdog. The Saints, on the flip side, were 4-1 as an away favorite. In the 7 games Winston started, he beat the Green Bay Packers, New England Patriots and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. He also boasted a 3-1 record on the road.

That being said, the current line is quite high. An alternate bet to consider is SAINTS 1ST QUARTER -0.5 (+102).

Against the spread

Last year the Falcons failed to cover in each of their 7 home games. Certainly we would like to see how the Falcons look with a new offense, but based on last season and the changes they made, they don’t appear to have improved much, if at all.

Take the SAINTS -4.5 (-115).

Over/Under

Both games in 2021 went Over, and the Saints have gone Over for 8 straight years in Week 1.

LEAN OVER 43.5 (-103).

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New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The New Orleans Saints (8-8) take on divisional rival the Atlanta Falcons (7-9) to wrap up the regular season. Their game kicks off at 4:25 p.m. ET at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Below, we look at the Saints vs. Falcons odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Saints are still alive in the playoff race. They will clinch the last open playoff spot in the NFC with a win over the Falcons combined with a loss by the San Francisco 49ers to the Los Angeles Rams.

New Orleans is coming off an 18-10 win over the Carolina Panthers last week. The Saints have won three of their last four games.

The Falcons beat the Saints in New Orleans 27-25 back in Week 9. They have lost two of their last three games, including a 29-15 loss in Week 17 to the Buffalo Bills. QB Matt Ryan’s 3,752 passing yards are his fewest in a season since 2010. The Falcons average only 18.3 points per game.

Also seeBet Slippin’ Podcast: NFL Week 18 picks and predictions

Saints at Falcons odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 4:38 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Saints -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Falcons +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Saints -3.5 (-105) | Falcons +3.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 39.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Saints at Falcons key injuries

Saints

  • Terron Armstead (knee) out
  • DE Marcus Davenport (ankle) questionable
  • CB Bradley Roby (shoulder) out
  • P.J. Williams (ankle) out
  • Ryan Ramczyk (knee) questionable
  • RB Mark Ingram (knee) questionable

Falcons

  • TE Kyle Pitts (hamstring) questionable
  • OL Jalen Mayfield (back) questionable

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Saints at Falcons odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Saints 20, Falcons 13

Money line

The Saints have everything to play for. The 49ers’ game will be going on at the same time so the Saints will not know the outcome of that game until the outcome of their own. They have the No. 4 scoring defense in the league against a team that struggles to score.

BET the SAINTS (-190).

Against the spread

The Saints are 8-8 ATS compared to Atlanta’s 6-9-1 ATS record.

The Falcons have not covered the spread in the last three weeks, while the Saints have covered the spread in three of their last four games.

Neither team scores much but the Saints’ defense is legitimately good.

BET the SAINTS -3.5 (-105).

Over/Under

The Saints have scored 30 combined points in their last three games.

The Falcons only average 18.3 points against everyone’s defenses. Against the Saints in a game they need for the playoffs? Don’t expect them to be able to do much.

Take UNDER 39.5 (-108).

Also seeNFL Week 18 odds and lines

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New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons Week 13 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Atlanta Falcons (4-7) and New Orleans Saints (9-2) meet Sunday for the second time in three weeks, this time at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. Kickoff will be at 1 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Saints-Falcons betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Saints at Falcons: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 12:10 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Saints -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Falcons +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Saints -3 (-105) | Falcons +3 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 45.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Saints at Falcons: Game notes

  • The Saints beat the Falcons 24-9 in New Orleans in Week 11 in QB Taysom Hill‘s first career start under center in place of the injured Drew Brees. Hill completed 18 of 23 passes for 233 yards and also rushed for 49 yards and 2 scores in the win.
  • Hill ran for another 2 touchdowns in the Saints’ 31-3 shellacking of the Denver Broncos last week. He completed just 9 of 16 passes for 78 yards with an interception.
  • Falcons QB Matt Ryan was sacked a season-high 8 times in the Week 11 loss while completing just 19 of 37 passes for 232 yards with 2 picks. He passed for just 185 yards with 2 TDs and 1 INT in the Falcons’ 43-6 home win over the Las Vegas Raiders last week.
  • Atlanta forced 5 Raiders turnovers last week and moved to plus-5 in the turnover margin for the season. The Saints are plus-7.
  • New Orleans has 33 sacks to Atlanta’s 22, but the Falcons rank third in ESPN’s Team Pass Rush Win Rate to the Saints’ rank of 20th.
  • The Saints are 6-5 ATS and cover the line by 3.6 points per game. The Falcons are just 5-6 ATS but cover by an average of 2.0 PPG following last week’s 37-point home upset win.
  • The two NFC South rivals split their head-to-head season series last year. New Orleans won both meetings in 2018 for its only season sweep since the 2014 campaign.

Saints at Falcons: Key injuries

Saints

  • WR Marquez Callaway (knee) out
  • CB Janoris Jenkins (knee) out
  • WR Deonte Harris (neck) questionable
  • RB Ty Montgomery (hamstring) out
  • DE Marcus Davenport (concussion) out
  • CB Patrick Robinson (hamstring) questionable

Falcons

  • DE Dante Fowler (hamstring) questionable
  • WR Julio Jones (hamstring) questionable
  • RB Todd Gurley (knee) questionable
  • CB Kendall Sheffield (illness) questionable
  • James Carpenter (groin) out

Saints at Falcons: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Falcons 27, Saints 17

Money line (?)

Back the FALCONS (+135) in their second meeting against Hill in just three weeks. The college quarterback turned wide receiver/tight end turned quarterback has benefited from strong defensive play and favorable matchups through his first two starts and hasn’t shown he can beat NFL teams with his arm.

The Falcons offensive line and Ryan both had sub-par outings while giving up 8 sacks in Week 11. Look for a much better performance from both, and especially the former MVP, as the Falcons force Hill to play catch-up for the first time in three games under center.

Against the spread (?)

The best play is with the plus-money money line, but the FALCONS +3 (-115), who have blown multiple leads this season, should also be back with insurance whenever possible.

Over/Under (?)

Lean slightly to the UNDER 45.5 (-105) with the Falcons having experience against Hill and being much better equipped to contain his scramble-first attack this time around. If the Falcons succeed in scoring early, Hill will make more mistakes than touchdown throws while trailing.

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