Saint Louis at Dayton odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Saint Louis at Dayton odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Saint Louis Billikens (16-8, 8-3 A-10) face the Dayton Flyers (16-9, 8-4) on Friday at UD Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN2/ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Saint Louis vs. Dayton odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

The Billikens defeated Rhode Island 76-71 on Tuesday despite failing to cover as 11-point favorites at home. Saint Louis has won 7 of its last 10 games.

The Flyers scored an impressive 62-58 win over VCU on Tuesday, covering as 3.5-point underdogs on the road. Dayton has won 6 of its last 10 games.

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Saint Louis at Dayton odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:36 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Saint Louis +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Dayton -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Saint Louis +5.5 (-115) | Dayton -5.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 136.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Saint Louis at Dayton picks and predictions

Prediction

Dayton 70, Saint Louis 62

Moneyline

PASS.

Even though Dayton is expected to secure the victory at home, taking the Flyers straight up at the current odds (-240) isn’t worth the risk or return.

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Against the spread

Following a fantastic road win over the top team in the conference in VCU on Tuesday, DAYTON -5.5 (-105) is where I’m leaning in this matchup. The Flyers are 12-1 at home this season.

The Billikens are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Meanwhile, the Flyers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600.

Over/Under

UNDER 136.5 (-110) is the play for the total with how formidable Dayton’s defense is. The Flyers are limiting opposing teams to only 61.4 points per game (15th in the nation), while they also average only 66.9 possessions per game (324th in the nation).

Saint Louis has gone Under in 6 of its 11 conference games. Meanwhile, Dayton is 7-5 to the Under in its 12 conference games.

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Saint Louis at Dayton odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Friday’s Saint Louis Billikens at Dayton Flyers odds and lines, with college basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Saint Louis Billikens (11-3 overall, 4-2 A-10) visit the Dayton Flyers (11-7, 7-6) Friday night for an Atlantic-10 Conference tilt. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET at UD Arena. Below, we analyze the Saint Louis-Dayton college basketball odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

No A-10 teams are ranked in the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports. The Billikens sit fifth in the A-10, two-and-a-half games behind first-place VCU.

The Flyers, who were 29-2 overall and a perfect 18-0 in conference play last season before the NCAA COVID-19 shutdown, are in eighth place. Behind current New York Knicks PF Obi Toppin – the 2020 NBA Draft’s No. 8 overall pick – the Flyers were ranked No. 3 in the country and likely would have been a No. 1 seed in last season’s NCAA Tournament had it not been canceled.

Saint Louis at Dayton: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:25 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Saint Louis -275 (bet $275 to win $100) | Dayton +220 (bet $100 to win $220)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Saint Louis -5.5 (-120) | Dayton +5.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 136.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Saint Louis at Dayton: Three things to know

  1. Dayton, which was a 9-point underdog, won at Saint Louis 76-71 in the season’s first meeting between the A-10 rivals with senior G Jalen Crutcher scoring a game-high 27 points. The Flyers led wire-to-wire as the Billikens played their first game in 33 days following a COVID-19 pause.
  2. Saint Louis enters on a 4-game win streak, going 4-1 since the loss to Dayton. The Billikens are 3-1 ATS in the four wins, outscoring opponents by 16.8 points per game. They beat La Salle 78-57 Tuesday, covering the spread as 16-point home favorites. Senior G Javonte Perkins was the Billikens’ top scorer in five of their last six games and averages a team-best 17.9 PPG.
  3. Dayton suffered a heartbreaking 91-89 double-overtime loss at Rhode Island Tuesday. The Flyers covered the spread as 3-point underdogs but blew a 59-44 lead with 8:29 to go in regulation. On the bright side, freshman F Zimi Nwokeji scored a career-high 29 points. For the season, Crutcher leads UD in scoring (18.9 PPG) and assists (4.8 APG).

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Saint Louis at Dayton: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Saint Louis 67, Dayton 65

Money line (ML)

PASS. Dayton (+220) is tempting. The Flyers have won the last six at home in this series. But this isn’t your typical “good” Dayton squad, and Saint Louis will be focused on avenging last month’s loss.

However, the Billikens’ -275 ML price is too high.

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Against the spread (ATS)

DAYTON +5.5 (+100) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. While the Billikens are in a groove, riding a 4-game win streak, the Flyers get the nod with this being their Senior Night.

Seniors Crutcher, G Rodney Chatman, G Ibi Watson and C Jordy Tshimanga have meant so much to the UD program. It’s hard to imagine the Flyers not playing one of their best games of the season.

ATS: Saint Louis 9-5 | Dayton 10-8

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 136.5 (-110) is the way to go. Saint Louis’ defense ranks 38th in the country, allowing 63.6 PPG. It has surrendered just 54.0 PPG in its last four games. The Flyers only score 69.3 PPG and yield 67.2 PPG.

Expect a low-scoring slugfest.

O/U records: Saint Louis 8-6 | Dayton 10-8

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