Sacramento Kings at San Antonio Spurs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Sacramento Kings at San Antonio Spurs odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Sacramento Kings (28-21) battle the San Antonio Spurs (14-37) Wednesday. Tip from AT&T Center is set for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Kings vs. Spurs odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Sacramento beat Minnesota 118-111, covering as a 1-point favorite Monday. It is 5-4-1 against the spred (ATS) in its last 10 and 27-21-1 ATS on the season.

The Spurs lost to the Washington Wizards at home 127-106 Monday, their 6th straight loss, and failed to cover as a 5.5-point home underdog. San Antonio has failed to cover in 5 straight. It is 23-28 ATS on the season.

The Spurs lost to the Kings 132-119 at home on Jan. 15, their only battle this season. The Kings covered as a 6.5-point road favorite.

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Kings at Spurs odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:01 pm. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Kings -290 (bet $290 to win $100) | Spurs +240 (bet $100 to win $240)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Kings -7.5 (-115) | Spurs +7.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 244.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Kings at Spurs key injuries

Kings

  • None

Spurs

  • G Devin Vassell (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Kings at Spurs picks and predictions

Prediction

Kings 128, Spurs 119

Moneyline

AVOID.

The Kings should win this game, but on the road and with a (-290) value, this is an easy pass.

Against the spread

LEAN KINGS -7.5 (-115).

While the Spurs are 14-12 ATS at home, the Kings are the league’s 3rd-best road-covering team, posting a 14-8 ATS record this season. The Kings have size in the paint and also defensive-minded forwards capable of limiting F Keldon Johnson, the Spurs’ top scorer.

Sacramento has covered 2 of its last 4 which is more than San Antonio can say. The Spurs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 and have lost 3 straight games, 2 at home to teams worse than Sacramento, by double figures. Back the KINGS -7.5 (-115).

Over/Under

BET OVER 244.5 (-105).

The Spurs and Kings rank 9th and 8th in the NBA in pace respectively. Couple that with Spurs, who rank last in opponents’ points per game (122.3), opponents’ FG percentage (51%) and opponents’ 3-point FG percentage (40.3%), and it is easy to see why they are 31-19 O/U on the season.

The Kings average the most points per game (119.5) as well. The Kings’ efficient offense against the league’s worst defense should produce points, and subsequently, the Over to hit. Back the OVER 244.5 (-105).

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Sacramento Kings at San Antonio Spurs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Sacramento Kings at San Antonio Spurs odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Sacramento Kings (23-18) and San Antonio Spurs (13-30) meet Sunday at AT&T Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Kings vs. Spurs odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Kings covered the spread as 9.5-point home favorites Friday with a 139-114 win vs. the Houston Rockets. F Domantas Sabonis had a triple-double with 19 points, 16 assists and 15 rebounds as Sacramento won its 3rd consecutive game. The Kings are 7-0 against the spread (ATS) in their last 7 games on the road vs. teams with a home winning percentage less than .400.

The Spurs failed to cover as 9-point underdogs Friday in a 144-113 loss vs. the Golden State Warriors at Alamodome. G Tre Jones scored a team-high 21 points as San Antonio lost its 4th straight game in front of the NBA-record crowd of 68,323. The Spurs are 4-10 ATS vs. the Kings in the last 14 meetings.

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Kings at Spurs odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:46 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Kings -270 (bet $270 to win $100) | Spurs +225 (bet $100 to win $225)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Kings -6.5 (-120) | Spurs +6.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 244.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Kings at Spurs key injuries

Kings

  • Kevin Huerter (illness) questionable

Spurs

  • Doug McDermott (back) questionable
  • Devin Vassel (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Kings at Spurs picks and predictions

Prediction

Kings 130, Spurs 120

Moneyline

PASS.

The Kings (-270) should win, but there is no need to bet more than 2 1/2 times your potential profit on the moneyline when they should win by margin. Bet the spread or total instead.

Against the spread

BET KINGS -6.5 (-120).

Sacramento is 4-1 ATS as an away favorite this season and 5-0 ATS after winning by 20 or more points in its previous game. The Spurs are not a good bounce-back team and are just 14-15 ATS after a loss. Lay the points.

Over/Under

BET OVER 244.5 (-115).

The Over is 4-0 in Sacramento’s last 4 games overall and 5-0 in San Antonio’s last 5 after failing to cover the spread in its previous game. The Kings should have no problem scoring vs. the Spurs as Sacramento is 1st in offensive efficiency over the last 3 games and San Antonio is 30th in opponent points per game (133.3) over that span. The Over is 3-1 in the last 4 meetings and should hit again Sunday.

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Sacramento Kings at San Antonio Spurs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Sacramento Kings at San Antonio Spurs odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Sacramento Kings (23-41) visit the AT&T Center Thursday to take on the San Antonio Spurs (24-38). Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Kings vs. Spurs odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Kings are coming off a 30-point road loss to the Pelicans yesterday and will be back in action tonight. They’re 6-6 against the spread (ATS) on the second night of a back-to-back.

That’s actually better than their 29-35 ATS record on the season. Sacramento is just 8-23 straight up on the road as well. While the Kings do average the 14th most points per game, 110, they give up the 29th most at 115.2.

The Spurs are similar, ranking 7th in points per game, 112.7, and 27th in opponents points per game, 112.8. San Antonio is 14-15 ATS at home.

The Spurs have a 32-29-1 ATS record on the season – yet have a better winning percentage on the road than at home (13-20 away, 11-18 home). They’re led by All-Star G Dejounte Murray.

Kings at Spurs odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Kings +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | Spurs -290 (bet $290 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Kings +6.5 (-108) | Spurs -6.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 240.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Kings at Spurs key injuries

Kings

  • PF Richaun Holmes (back) questionable

Spurs

  • F Doug McDermott (knee) questionable

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Kings at Spurs odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Spurs 122, Kings 114

Money line

PASS.

The only playable side here is Kings +225 as the Spurs haven’t been close to good enough at home to warrant a -290 tag. Nonetheless, the points are the route to go.

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Against the spread

“LEAN” the SPURS -6.5 (-112).

The home side has been able to get the better of the spread in each of two times these teams have played. The Spurs won, 136-117, at home in November and Kings won, 121-114, in mid-December.

Since then, the Kings have changed quite a bit, but it’s difficult to say it has been for the better, just 3-4 ATS since the Feb. 10 trade deadline.

The Spurs are 5-4-1 ATS over their last 10 and seem like the more put-together team, sitting 2nd in the NBA in turnover rate. They’re also 2-0-1 ATS when the favorite over their last 10.

They’ve been able to cover against weaker opponents, which the Kings are.

Over/Under

BET the UNDER 240.5 (-112).

There are a good amount of metrics that speak for the Over, but neither team is overly consistent, which is why, despite ranking 4th (Spurs) and 7th (Kings) in pace, they’re both barely above .500 on the Over.

The Spurs are 32-28-2 while the Kings are 32-31-1. The crew chief, Sean Wright, is allowing just over 220 points per game during games he has officiated as well.

Also, the only time either team has had a total over 240 this season, they’ve missed the mark (San Antonio’s last game with Memphis ended at 223 and had a 240.5 total).

Lastly, the Kings are just 4-8 O/U with no rest and put up just 95 last night on the Pelicans.

Given C Jakob Poeltl can give size similar to C Jonas Valančiūnas, I expect F Domantas Sabonis to struggle to bully his way in the paint, a key for the Kings’ offensive strength.

Overall, I expect a relatively high-scoring game but not one that hits 241.

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Sacramento Kings at San Antonio Spurs odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s Sacramento Kings at San Antonio Spurs NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The San Antonio Spurs (23-21) host the Sacramento Kings (22-25) for the second game of a back-to-back Wednesday at AT&T Center for an 8:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Kings-Spurs odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Sacramento steamrolled San Antonio 132-115 as a 2.5-point road underdog Monday.

The Kings are playing their way into play-in tournament seed territory, winning five straight and seven of their last eight games (6-2 against the spread).

The Spurs have been struggling lately. They’ve lost five of their last six (1-5 ATS), but those losses were to the red-hot Kings and three winning teams—including two to the Los Angeles Clippers.

The Kings have covered seven of the past eight meetings with the Spurs and have won five of those games outright.

Kings at Spurs: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:05 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Kings +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Spurs -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Kings +2.5 (-110) | Spurs -2.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 230.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Kings at Spurs: Key injuries

Kings

  • Hassan Whiteside (knee) questionable
  • PF Marvin Bagley III (hand) out

Spurs

  • SG Lonnie Walker IV (wrist) out

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Kings at Spurs: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Kings 122, Spurs 116

Money line (ML)

Slight lean to KINGS (+115) for a quarter-unit, if at all, because Sacramento plus the points is a better wager.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Over their last eight games, the KINGS +2.5 (-110) have the sixth-best net rating, fourth-highest effective field-goal shooting (eFG%) and are eighth in assist-to-turnover rate.

Whereas the Spurs are 24th in net rating, 27th in rebounding rate and 23rd in eFG% in the last eight games.

This might come as a surprise given how poorly Sacramento’s defense has been, but the Kings are far better in close games this season than the Spurs.

Sacramento is 17-10 overall in clutch situations with a higher net rating than San Antonio, which is just 12-12 overall in the same spot.

BET KINGS +2.5 (-110) for 1 unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Over has cashed in three straight Kings-Spurs games and Sacramento has played like one of the better offenses in the league in recent weeks.

Also, according to Pregame.com, more money is on the Over while more bets have been placed on the Under.

Since the money column is generally considered the sharp side of the market and the tickets column is the average Joe, let’s follow the money and bet OVER 230.5 (-115) for a half-unit.

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Sacramento Kings at San Antonio Spurs odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Monday’s Sacramento Kings at San Antonio Spurs NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The San Antonio Spurs (23-20) host the Sacramento Kings (21-25) Monday at AT&T Center for an 8:30 p.m. ET game. Below, we analyze the Kings-Spurs odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Sacramento is starting to play itself into playoff contention by winning four straight games and six of its past seven contests while going 5-2 against the spread.

The Kings are a game back of the Golden State Warriors for the 10-seed in the Western Conference, which would put Sacramento in the postseason play-in tournament.

San Antonio just snapped a four-game losing skid by trampling the Chicago Bulls 120-104 at home Saturday. The Spurs are playing .500 ball over the past couple of weeks at 4-4 straight up, but they covered the spread in five of their last eight contests.

This is the first meeting of the season between these two teams. San Antonio broke a six-game ATS losing skid to Sacramento in the Orlando bubble last season and is just 3-4 straight up in the last seven meetings.

Kings at Spurs: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:05 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Kings +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Spurs -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Kings +2.5 (-110) | Spurs -2.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 229.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Kings at Spurs: Key injuries

Kings

  • Hassan Whiteside (knee) questionable
  • PF Marvin Bagley III (hand) out

Spurs

  • SF Devin Vassell (ankle) probable
  • SG Lonnie Walker IV (wrist) out

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Kings at Spurs: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Kings 115, Spurs 109

Money line (ML)

PASS because I only LEAN Sacramento to cover here and there isn’t enough value in Kings (+115) for me to take it.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Slight LEAN toward KINGS +2.5 (-110) for a quarter-unit because this is a weird number with puzzling line movement.

According to Pregame.com, more money has been wagered on San Antonio to cover but the line has been brought down from Spurs laying 4 points on the opener, suggesting the House wants us to bet San Antonio.

I prefer the total more than the side in this game so BET KINGS +2.5 (-110) lightly if at all.

Over/Under (O/U)

Sacramento’s defense has been all-time bad but San Antonio is 20th in offensive rating and 24th in effective field-goal percentage. Also, both teams do a good job defending what the other team does frequently.

According to CleaningTheGlass.com, both teams are in the top-10 of mid-range field-goal volume but are also neck-and-neck in defensive mid-range shooting percentage with Sacramento ranked 13th and San Antonio 14th.

Furthermore, the Kings have gone Under the total in three of their last four games and in eight of their last 10 while the Spurs are 3-8 O/U with a minus-9.7-point total margin as a home favorite this season.

BET UNDER 229.5 (-110) for 1.25 units.

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