Sacramento Kings vs. Denver Nuggets odds predictions pick betting line spread

Sacramento Kings at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Sacramento Kings at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Sacramento Kings (48-33) and Denver Nuggets (52-29) meet Sunday at Ball Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Kings vs. Nuggets odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Kings failed to cover the spread as 10.5-point home underdogs Friday in a 119-97 loss vs. the Golden State Warriors. F Trey Lyles and C Chimezie Metu scored 15 points each for the 3rd-place Kings, who rested their top 3 scorers.

The Nuggets failed to cover as 9.5-point road favorites Saturday in a 118-114 loss at the Utah Jazz. G Kentavious Caldwell-Pope had a season-high 21 points as 1st-place Denver lost for the 5th time in 6 games.

The season series is tied 1-1 with the Nuggets covering in both meetings and the Over hitting in 1 of the 2. Denver covered as a 3.5-point road underdog in a 127-126 loss on Dec. 28 as the Over (237.5) cashed in the most recent meeting.

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Kings at Nuggets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:33 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Kings -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Nuggets +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
Against the spread (ATS): Kings -5.5 (-110) | Nuggets +5.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 229.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Kings at Nuggets key injuries

Kings

G Davion Mitchell (knee) questionable
G Malik Monk (leg) questionable

Nuggets

Not yet submitted

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Kings at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Kings 115, Nuggets 106

Moneyline

PASS.

Sacramento (-200) should win since there has been speculation that Denver will rest some of its starters, but there is no need to pay the higher price on the moneyline when the Kings should win by margin. Bet the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

BET KINGS -5.5 (-110).

It is rare that teams will be favored in Denver, but this is a unique situation since the Nuggets may be resting starters. The Kings will send out a full lineup Sunday and should be able to easily win if they’re facing backups. Sacramento is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games after a loss and should be looking to bounce back and treat this game as a tune-up for the playoffs.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 229.5 (-115).

The Under is 10-2 in Denver’s last 12 games and 4-0 in its last 4 at home.

The Under has hit in 6 of Sacramento’s last 7 after allowing 100 or more points and should cash again Sunday if the Nuggets rest their top scorers.

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Sacramento Kings at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Sacramento Kings at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Sacramento Kings (22-39) face the Denver Nuggets (34-25) Saturday in the second game of a home-and-away set between the two teams. Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET at Ball Arena. Below, we look at the Kings vs. Nuggets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Kings have dropped three straight games, including a 128-110 loss to the Nuggets at home Thursday. Sacramento is 4-12 in its last 16 games, although it did win four of six in the middle of that stretch.

The Nuggets have won four games in a row and six of their last seven. They are sixth in the Western Conference and have a three-game lead over the seventh-place Minnesota Timberwolves, who would compete in the play-in tournament if the season ended today.

Kings at Nuggets odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:06 p.m. ET.

Money line: Kings +300 (bet $100 to win $300) | Nuggets -400 (bet $400 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Kings +7.5 (-107) | Nuggets -7.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 236.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Kings at Nuggets key injuries

Kings

C Richaun Holmes (back) questionable

Nuggets

PG Jamal Murray (knee) out
PF Zeke Nnaji (knee) questionable

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Kings at Nuggets odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 121, Kings 109

Money line

PASS.

The Kings are 7-21 on the road this season and only have one win in their last 16 road games. They are a bad bet here.

As for the Nuggets, the -400 price is too expensive, making a wager four times the potential return risky.

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Against the spread

In their two head-to-head matchups this season, the Nuggets won by 10 at home (121-111 Jan. 7) and by 18 on the road (Thursday).

The Nuggets have covered the spread in seven of their last 10 games and have won their last three contests at home by at least 10 points.

Only one of the Kings’ last six losses has been by less than eight points.

Take the NUGGETS -7.5 (-115).

Over/Under

The 236.5 is a high projected total. The total from Thursday’s game was 238, but in their first matchup this season, they combined for 232 points.

The Nuggets are averaging 119.1 points per game in their last seven contests.

The Kings have scored 110 or more in eight of their last nine games.

I expect both teams to score around what they have been recently, but that won’t get them Over the projected total.

Take UNDER 236.5 (-112).

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Sacramento Kings at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Sacramento Kings at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Sacramento Kings (16-24) travel to Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets (18-18). Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Kings vs. Nuggets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

One of the best teams in the Western Conference last season, the Nuggets haven’t lived up to expectations but have been without PG Jamal Murray (knee) all year. They’ve been unprofitable to bet on with a 15-21 ATS record, the fifth-worst in the NBA.

Led by MVP center Nikola Jokic, the Nuggets have lost two straight. Denver has a negative net rating (19th overall) indicating they’re slightly worse than their .500 record shows.

As for the Kings, they’ve been equally as disappointing, also one of the worst ATS teams in the league with a 17-23 record. Sacramento is 3-3 in its last 6 games. The Kings rank 24th in net rating.

Kings at Nuggets odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:20 p.m. ET.

Money line: Kings +290 (bet $100 to win $290) | Nuggets -380 (bet $380 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Kings +7.5 (-105) | Nuggets -7.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 225.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Kings at Nuggets key injuries

Kings

C Richaun Holmes (health and safety protocols) out

Nuggets

F Michael Porter Jr. (spine) out
F Jeff Green (health and safety protocols) questionable
F Aaron Gordon (non-covid illness) probable

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Kings at Nuggets odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 114, Kings 108

Money line

PASS on the money line.

There’s only value in the Kings at +290, but with a 6-11 road record, I’d rather take the points. For Denver, even if you like them in this position, betting a -380 NBA regular-season favorite is never a smart play.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the KINGS +7.5 (-105).

Having one of the worst covering teams at more than a 7-point favorite against a solid Kings side seems odd. The Nuggets are down 2 of their best 3 players, part of why they’re just .500.

With Gordon also not at 100%, the Nuggets may struggle to get help around Jokic.

The Kings enter as the healthier team. While they don’t defend well, one of their best areas on that side of the court is defending the three. They do that at the 15th-best rate.

The Nuggets shoot the 14th-most threes, and that increases to the 10th-most triples while at home. If Sacramento can limit that area for Denver, they should be able to hold this game close.

Over/Under

BET on the UNDER 225.5 (-107).

This is also the side getting the juice. The Nuggets have the 25th-ranked pace in the NBA. While the Kings are higher, they’re still outside the top five at No. 9.

The Kings have the 4th-worst defensive rating, so Denver should get its way, especially with Holmes out. However, the pace they play through Jokic isn’t a quick one, which should limit the scoring.

Similarly, the Kings do have 7-foot Alex Len at center along with several quick defensive-minded guards. He could have an impact on Jokic.

That said, both teams are .500 on the O/U this season with the Kings at 20-20 and the Nuggets at 18-18.

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Sacramento Kings at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s Sacramento Kings at Denver Nuggets NBA betting odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Sacramento Kings hit the road to begin the new NBA season Wednesday against the Denver Nuggets. Tip-off will be at 9:05 p.m. ET at Pepsi Center. Below, we analyze the Kings-Nuggets NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Kings at Nuggets: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:05 p.m. ET.

Money line: Kings +290 (bet $100 to win $290) | Nuggets -375 (bet $375 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Kings +8.5 (-110) | Nuggets -8.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 225.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Kings at Nuggets: Key Injuries

Kings

SF DeQuan Jeffries (back) out
PF Jabari Parker (back) out

Nuggets

PF JaMychal Green (calf) out
PF Greg Whittington (knee) out

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Kings at Nuggets: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Nuggets 119, Kings 112

Money line (ML)

The Nuggets (-375) will cost you nearly four times your potential return, and that’s a risky proposition in any game, let alone the very first game of the season. AVOID.

Against the spread (ATS)

The way to go is to back the KINGS +8.5 (-110) on the road in this opener. The Nuggets beat the Kings in two of their three head-to-head meetings in the 2019-20 regular season, but they were 1-2 ATS, with one of the games Denver won decided in overtime. These teams are a lot more evenly matched than the books are expecting. Look for Sacto to keep it close.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 225.5 (-110) is the play, even though last season we saw Denver start out a big sluggish on offense. In the last game between these teams (Dec. 29, 2019), Denver pushed past Sacramento 120-115, and we can expect another similarly tight, high-scoring game. The Over is 5-2 in the past seven meetings in this series, with a 4-0 mark in the past four battles in the Mile High City.

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Also see:

Western Conference rankings (Hoops Hype)

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