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The Wisconsin Badgers (3-1) welcome the Rutgers Scarlet Knights (4-1) to Camp Randall Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is set for noon ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rutgers vs. Wisconsin odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Rutgers beat Wagner 52-3 at home Saturday, covering as a 47.5-point favorite. The Scarlet Knights have yet to lose against the spread (ATS) this season, posting a 4-0-1 record. Their lone non-cover was a 31-7 loss at No. 2 Michigan, closing as a 24-point underdog. QB Gavin Wimsatt leads the team, having thrown for 733 yards and 5 TDs in 5 games.
Wisconsin had a bye last week after beating Purdue 38-17 on the road as a 6-point favorite. The Badgers came into the season ranked, but lost that after a 31-22 road loss to Washington State in Week 2. QB Tanner Mordecai hasn’t played up to expectations, throwing just 2 TDs and 3 INTs in 4 games. Wisconsin relies heavily on its run game.
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Rutgers at Wisconsin odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 7:16 p.m. ET,
- Moneyline (ML): Rutgers +400 (bet $100 to win $400) | Wisconsin -550 (bet $550 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Rutgers +13.5 (-115) | Wisconsin -13.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Rutgers at Wisconsin picks and predictions
Prediction
Wisconsin 27, Rutgers 21
Moneyline
PASS.
Wisconsin is 2-0 at home and has won both games by 21 points. However, at -550, there’s no value in backing the home side. If anything, Rutgers at +400 has some value, but I would far rather play it to cover in this one.
Against the spread
BET RUTGERS +13.5 (-115).
Rutgers can defend what Wisconsin does best – run the ball. The Scarlet Knights rank 30th in the nation in opponents yards per attempt at just 3.3. The Badgers feast off their run game with both top backs, Braelon Allen and Chez Mellusi, averaging 6 or more yards per attempt.
If Rutgers can neutralize that, it can cover this size of a spread. The Scarlet Knights are 4-0-1 ATS as well and have been better than expected this season. They went into the half down just 14-7 on No. 2 Michigan. Expect them to put up a fight and cover. Take RUTGERS +13.5 (-115).
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 44.5 (-105).
Rutgers has scored 35 or more points in 3 of its last 4 games. It has gone 2-1 O/U in its last 3 games. The offense is clicking. Wisconsin is 2-2 O/U this season and has scored at least 35 in 3 of 4, allowing 14 or more in each game as well.
It has yet to have a total under 52 points, and it is 2-0 O/U in games with a total that closed under 57. Take OVER 44.5 (-105).
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