The Colorado Rockies (19-20) and Los Angeles Dodgers (30-11) play the rubber game of a weekend series Sunday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is at 10:10 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Rockies-Dodgers MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Saturday: The Rockies won 5-2, scoring three runs in the top of the ninth. The Dodgers, who took Friday’s series opener 10-6, had a six-game win streak snapped.
Rockies at Dodgers: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Ryan Castellani vs. LHP Julio Urias
Castellani, who made his MLB debut Aug. 8, is 1-2 with a 4.81 ERA (24 1/3 IP, 13 ER) in 5 starts and 1 relief appearance.
- Last outing: 2 innings of relief, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 2 K vs. San Francisco Giants Wednesday – Rockies won 9-6
- Last start: Loss, 2 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 2 K vs. San Diego Padres Aug. 30 – Rockies lost 13-2
- Career vs. Dodgers: 0 appearances
Urias is 3-0 with a 3.27 ERA (33 IP, 12 ER) in 7 starts.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 5 K vs. Diamondbacks Tuesday – Dodgers won 6-3
- Allowed no more than 2 runs in 6 of his 7 starts
- Career vs. Rockies: 0-1, 5.92 ERA (24 1/3 IP, 16 ER) in 5 starts and 3 relief appearances
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Rockies at Dodgers: Key injuries
(Get the latest injury news here.)
Rockies
- OF David Dahl (back) questionable
- RP Wade Davis (shoulder) out
- SS Brendan Rodgers (shoulder) out
Dodgers
- RP Joe Kelly (shoulder) out
- 3B Justin Turner (hamstring) out
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Rockies at Dodgers: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:20 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Dodgers 5, Rockies 2
Moneyline (ML)
The Dodgers (-264) are huge favorites in the series finale. While I’m predicting a Los Angeles victory, the price is too high.
The -264 line calls for having to wager $2.64 for every $1 you want to win. Ex: Bet $26.40 to win $10, $52.80 to win $20, $264 to win $100, etc. ….
I’ll PASS.
If you’re wondering, a winning $1 bet on the Rockies (+230) profits $2.30.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The DODGERS (-1.5, -129) are the STRONGEST PLAY. It’s much cheaper than the ML, but they’ll have to win by at least 2 runs for the bet to cash.
The Dodgers have lost back-to-back games only twice this season and are 8-2 vs. the RL after a defeat.
Then there’s their recent dominance of the Rockies (+1.5, +105). Los Angeles is 24-5 in the last 29 head-to-head meetings and is 17-2 vs. Colorado in the last 19 at Dodger Stadium.
Toss in Urias’ 2020 home stats – 2-0, 2.11 ERA (21 1/3 IP, 5 ER) in 4 starts – and I’m willing back a Dodgers win of 2 runs or more. (Strongest plays should be 1½ times your usual bet.)
New to sports betting? Every $1.29 bet on the Dodgers RL will profit $1 if they win by 2 or more runs.
Over/Under (O/U)
The UNDER 10 (-110) is the way to go. Three of Urias’ four home starts this season finished with 9 or fewer runs scored, while both of Castellani’s road starts finished with 5 runs total. Plus, there’s a chance some regulars will get the night off since it’s the final game of the series.
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Johnny’s 2020 MLB record | 45-22-1 |
2020 overall record (all sports) | 85-50-2 |
Strongest plays (all sports) | 44-19 |
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