The Colorado Rockies (16-15) go for a four-game series sweep against the Arizona Diamondbacks (13-19) Thursday. First pitch is set for 6:10 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Below, we analyze the Rockies-Diamondbacks MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Rockies at Diamondbacks: Projected starting pitchers
LHP Kyle Freeland vs. RHP Zac Gallen
Freeland in 2020: 2-1 with a 2.87 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 5.7 K/9 and 2.4 BB/9 in 37 ⅔ IP over 6 starts.
- Last start: No-decision in 6 IP, 4 H, 3 ER, 6 K and 3 BB in a 4-3 loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers Saturday.
- Career vs. Diamondbacks: 3-4 with a 5.27 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, 46 K and 25 BB in 70 IP over 13 starts.
Gallen in 2020: 0-0 with a 2.25 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 10.5 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 in 36 IP over 6 starts.
- Last start: No-decision in 6 IP with 3 H, 1 ER, 6 K and 4 BB in a 5-1 loss to the San Francisco Giants Saturday.
- Career vs Rockies: 0-0 with a 2.65 ERA, 1.65 WHIP, 18 K and 7 BB in 17 ⅓ IP over 3 starts.
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Rockies at Diamondbacks: Key injuries
(Get the latest injury news here.)
Rockies
- OF David Dahl (back) out
- RP Wade Davis (shoulder) out
- SS Chris Owings (hamstring) out
- CF Raimel Tapia (elbow) questionable
Diamondbacks
- RP Andrew Chafin (finger) out
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Rockies at Diamondbacks: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 4:15 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Rockies 9, Diamondback 5
Moneyline (ML)
The Diamondbacks (-150) are on an 8-game losing streak and are currently last in the NL West. The ROCKIES (+135) have won three consecutive games following a seven-game losing streak.
The Diamondbacks being the favorite is BetMGM assuming they’ll break their losing streak.
However, Freeland’s Diamondback splits are stronger than Gallen’s vs. the Rockies, and Arizona has struggled in the box against lefties this season. The Diamondbacks go from 5.12 runs scored per game against righties to 2.03 runs scored per game versus left-handed pitchers.
TAKE THE ROCKIES (+135) to sweep the Diamondbacks.
New to sports betting? A $100 wager on the Rockies pays out a $135 profit if they win.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
There is some logic to taking Colorado on an alternate run line but I am going to PASS.
Over/Under (O/U)
The O/U of 8m, with -110 on both sides is a scary number. Both teams’ pitching staffs are below-average, but the Under has cashed in three of their last four games.
PASS on the total because it’s too good to be true considering their combined Over/Under record is15-37-1, and the Under is 4-0-1 in Gallen’s last five home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
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