The Houston Rockets (13-6) face the San Antonio Spurs (7-14) Tuesday at AT&T Center. Tip-off is scheduled for shortly after 8:30 p.m. ET. We analyze the Rockets-Spurs odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.
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Rockets at Spurs: Key injuries
Rockets
- SG Eric Gordon (knee) out
Spurs
- PF LaMarcus Aldridge (thigh) questionable
Rockets at Spurs: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Rockets 143, Spurs 119
Moneyline (ML)
The ROCKETS (-250) are road favorites over the Spurs (+200). The fifth-place team in the Western Conference is coming off a 2-1 homestand, which ended with a 158-111 rout of the Atlanta Hawks Saturday. They’ve won 10 of their last 13 games but are just 5-4 on the road. The Spurs lost 132-98 on the road against the Detroit Pistons Sunday, and they dropped eight of their last 10 outings.
The Rockets outscore the opposition by an average of 5.8 points per game while ranking second in the association with 120.3 points for per game. The Spurs rank in the bottom half of the conference in both points for (110.9) and points against (115.1), and they’re outscored by 4.2 PPG on average. Back the visitors.
Against the Spread (ATS)
The two Texas rivals haven’t met yet this season but will play again in Houston Dec. 16. The Spurs (+5.5, -105) are spotted a pair of possessions as the home dogs. They’re a woeful 5-16 against the spread overall and just 2-9 ATS at home. The ROCKETS (-5.5, -115) offer greater value on the spread than the moneyline. They’re 10-9 ATS overall and 4-5 on the road.
After Houston’s first three wins of the season were all decided by five or fewer points, each of proceeding 10 victories was decided by six or more points. Each of San Antonio’s last six losses was by a minimum of six points.
Over/Under (O/U)
San Antonio is 12-9 against the Over/Under while playing to an average of 4.0 points above the projected total, largely due to inadequate defense. Houston is 8-11 against the projected totals but tops the number by an average of 2.7 points, due to the occasional barnburner.
Take the OVER 230.5 (-128). The Rockets will be able to take full advantage of the Spurs’ porous defense and could approach their 158-point output from Saturday.
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Esten’s NBA betting record: 56-51
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