The Richmond Spiders (11-10, 4-4 A-10) visit the Dayton Flyers (13-8, 5-3) in an Atlantic-10 Saturday matinee. The contest at UD Arena will begin at 4 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Richmond vs. Dayton odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
Richmond is 1-3 straight up (SU) and 0-4 against the spread (ATS) across its last 4 games. The Spiders’ are off back-to-back double-digit ATS losses. Like their hosts Saturday, the Spiders play a slow-tempo style, but unlike UD, they struggle in efficiency at both ends. Richmond has scored fewer than 65 points in 4 of its last 5 games.
The Flyers are also 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS over their last 4. A vaunted Dayton defense has allowed a 44.9% mark from the floor over that spell. The Flyers and Spiders split a pair of regular-season games last season; UD lost 68-64 at home on March 12 as a 2.5-point favorite.
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Richmond at Dayton odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:33 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Richmond +320 (bet $100 to win $320) | Dayton -450 (bet $450 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Richmond +9.5 (-115) | Dayton -9.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 129.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Richmond at Dayton picks and predictions
Prediction
Dayton 65, Richmond 58
Moneyline
Fairly priced with no value to be had. PASS.
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Against the spread
Dayton is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in this series. Look for a return to form for the Flyers in this game on home hardwood, but that better form is not always conducive to double-digit margins on scoreboards.
PASS.
Over/Under
The Under is 4-0 in the Flyers’ last 4 home games and is the strongest play in this match-up.
Look for these turtle-tempo A-10 foes to engage in a battle where the shot clock gets noticed every third possession. Some UD edges in second-chance and free-throw points get filed down by expectations for Richmond in those areas.
TAKE THE UNDER 129.5 (-115).
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