NFL draft: 2023 Trade value chart

With Kwesi Adofo-Mensah likely to make multiple trades during the NFL Draft, understanding the value of picks is key.

The Minnesota Vikings love wheeling and dealing in the NFL draft. Rick Spielman was known as Trader Rick and Kwesi Adofo-Mensah traded for all 10 selections that he made in 2022.

Each NFL team has their own trade chart that they use that is slightly different. For us not in the room, one of the best models to use is the Rich Hill trade chart.

Hill created the chart back in 2018 based on historical data. Because the chart is built on previous trades and other data, it is viewed as the best in the business. The Jimmy Johnson chart is the most well-known, but the values are arbitrary.

With the Vikings likely to make multiple trades during the draft, here is the Rich Hill trade chart labeled with the teams and their pick values.

5 draft day trades the Vikings can make to move up in round one

The Vikings traded for each of their 10 picks in the 2023 NFL draft. Using the Rich Hill trade chart, we identified 5 possible trade ups.

The Minnesota Vikings made multiple trades in the 2022 NFL draft. In fact, the Vikings didn’t make any of the picks that they entered the draft with.

General manager Kwesi Adofo-Mensah came from Wall Street where trading is commonplace and a trade happens every minute. He attacked areas of the draft where he believed there were inefficiencies in the market.

How do draft trades get made? There are multiple draft value charts out there and teams have their own on how they value picks. Jimmie Johnson famounsly created his own value chart when he took over as the head coach for the Dallas Cowboys. That model is outdated, as it wasn’t based on any data.

The best model out there is the Rich Hill trade chart. It’s based on historical data and the values allign closest with how teams value picks.

With both of those things in mind, I identified what it would cost to move up in five different situations.