The Cincinnati Reds (33-55) and New York Yankees (62-26) meet Thursday at 7:05 p.m. ET to complete a 3-game series at Yankee Stadium. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: tied 1-1.
The Reds notched an improbable 9th-inning comeback Tuesday to earn their 5th straight triumph. That win streak came to a halt Wednesday in a New York win in 10 innings.
The Yankees’ Wednesday victory snapped a 3-game skid, the club’s longest since May 22-23. New York is trying to get back on track before closing out the first half of the season with a home series against the Boston Red Sox.
Reds at Yankees projected starters
RHP Luis Castillo vs. LHP Nestor Cortes
Castillo (3-4, 2.92 ERA) has made 12 starts this season. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 71 IP.
- Owns an 0.90 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and 11.3 K/9 over his last 20 IP across 3 starts.
- Has benefited from a .266 batting average on balls in play and an 8.8% of fly balls resulting in home runs.
Cortes (7-3, 2.74 ERA) owns a 1.03 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 88 2/3 IP over 16 starts.
- Took a 1.50 ERA into his second start in June, but has averaged just 4.78 innings across 6 turns since. Over those half-dozen starts, has allowed 3 runs or more 4 times and has logged a 5.34 ERA.
- Owns a 2.48 ERA and 0.99 WHIP at Yankee Stadium since 2020.
Reds at Yankees odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:53 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Reds +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Yankees -205 (bet $205 to win $100)
- Run line (RL): Reds +1.5 (-130) | Yankees -1.5 (+105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)
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Reds at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 6, Reds 3
Money line
New York is 20-3 over its last 23 at home. However, as currently priced, the Over is the best play. PASS.
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Run line/Against the spread
The Yankees have closed out 7 straight home series with a victory. Four of those were wins by multiple-run margins.
Peg this matchup getting past the starters and being decided by bats and fatigued bullpens.
TAKE THE YANKEES -1.5 (+105). But, consider this one to be in partial-unit territory unless a +115 tag comes along.
Over/Under
Expected-ERA figures for both starters lead us to an Over lean here. The Yanks have scored 5 runs or more in 6 of their last 7 games. The Reds own a .786 OPS over their last 6 contests.
Take the OVER 8.5 (-102).
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