The Cincinnati Reds (30-29) and Minnesota Twins (36-23) wrap up the regular season at Target Field in Minneapolis on Sunday with the first pitch scheduled for 3:10 p.m. ET. We analyze the Reds-Twins MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Reds at Twins: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Sonny Gray vs. LHP Rich Hill
Gray enters the season finale with a 5-3 record, 3.73 ERA and 1.22 WHIP with 68 strikeouts across 50 2/3 innings over 10 starts. Plus, he’s allowed just four homers on the season.
- Gray allowed just one earned run on two hits, including a solo homer, one walk and eight strikeouts over five innings in a no-decision against the Milwaukee Brewers Tuesday.
- It’s been an awful September for Gray, as he is 0-2 with a 12.00 ERA in just nine innings across three starts.
Hill has posted a 2-2 record, 3.27 ERA and 1.21 WHIP with 27 strikeouts, 14 walks and just three home runs allowed across 33 innings over seven starts.
- Hill yielded just one run, three hits and two walks with five strikeouts across seven innings in a hard-luck, 1-0 loss last time out at Wrigley Field against the Chicago Cubs on Sept. 18.
- Hill has allowed two or fewer runs in each of his three September starts, going 1-1 with a 2.65 ERA and 17 strikeouts over 17 innings.
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Reds at Twins: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:23 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Twins 5, Reds 2
Money line (ML)
The playoff-bound TWINS (-129) need a win or a Chicago White Sox loss to clinch the AL Central title. The Reds (+115) are also headed to the postseason and could finish as high as the No. 5 seed and as low as the No. 8 seed in the NL playoff picture.
New to sports betting? A winning $10 bet on Minnesota returns a profit of $7.75.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The TWINS (-1.5, +155) are worth a roll of the dice at this price level, as they’ll have the pedal to the metal trying to finish off the regular season in style with a division banner.
Over/Under (O/U)
UNDER 8 (-110) is the play despite Hill being 3-1 O/U in his past four starts. But that’s mainly because the Twins have given him a ton of run support. In his past four outings, the Minnesota offense is averaging 5.3 runs per game. He has yielded two or fewer runs in five straight appearances, so Under is the play in this one.
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