Reds Diamondbacks picks prediction spread over/under betting line

The Cincinnati Reds (23-39) try to complete a 3-game road sweep over the Arizona Diamondbacks (29-35) in their series finale Wednesday afternoon. First pitch is 3:40 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Reds hold a 4-2 lead in the season series entering the teams final 2022 meeting.

After winning the first game of the series 5-4, the Reds followed it up with a 5-3 win Tuesday in 12 innings. They have won 3 games in a row.

The Diamondbacks have lost 4 of their last 5 games and 8 of their last 11.

Red at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Luis Castillo vs. RHP Zac Gallen

Castillo (2-4, 3.23 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 39 IP.

Has lost his last 2 starts. Pitched well in Friday’s 2-0 loss to the St. Louis Cardinals with 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB and 3 K..
Had 1 start allowing 5 runs, but has not allowed more than 3 ER in any other start this season.

Gallen (4-2, 2.95 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 58 IP.

Coming off his worst outing of the year. In Friday’s 7-5 loss to the Philadelphia Phillies, he gave up 6 R (4 ER) on 7 H (2 HR) with 1 BB and 3 K in 1 2/3 IP.
Has allowed 2 or fewer ER in 9 of his 11 starts.

Reds at Diamondbacks odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:14 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Reds +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Diamondbacks -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds -1.5 (+165) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-205)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Reds at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 6, Reds 3

Money line

The Reds have won 3 games in a row but have not swept an opponent in a 3-game series yet this season.

The Diamondbacks have only been swept in a series by the Dodgers, once at home and once on the road.

Arizona is 7-4 when Gallen starts.

Expect the home team to bounce back.

Take the DIAMONDBACKS (-120).

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Run line/Against the spread

For the 2nd day in a row, the Diamondbacks are favored on the money line, but underdogs on the run line.

If you like the Reds to win this game, it would be an appealing bet to put some action on them to cover because of the payout. However, while they have played well as of late, the fact they have yet to sweep an opponent in a 3-game series makes it tough to think they can do it.

There isn’t enough value for a bet on the Diamondbacks to cover, as you have to wager more than twice what you can win. PASS.

Over/Under

Both games this series, and 4 of the 6 other games they’ve played, have had 8 or more runs.

Eleven of the Reds’ last 14 games have had 8 or more runs.

Five of the last 6 for the Diamondbacks and 3 of the last 4 starts for Gallen have had 8 or more runs.

Take OVER 7.5 (-120).

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The Cincinnati Reds (21-39) open a 3-game series on the road against the Arizona Diamondbacks (29-33), who are coming off a 9-game road trip. First pitch is 9:40 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The season series is tied 2-2 as the teams meet for the last 3 times in the regular season.

The Reds are coming off a 7-6 win Sunday over the St. Louis Cardinals, the only win of that 3-game series. They are 3-7 in their last 10 games, which includes 2 wins over Arizona.

The Diamondbacks avoided a 3-game sweep Sunday against the Philadelphia Phillies with a 13-1 win. They finished their longest road trip of the year 4-5.

Reds at Diamondbacks projected starters

LHP Mike Minor vs. RHP Merrill Kelly

Minor (0-2, 8.64 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 3 BB and 8 K in 8 1/3 IP.

Missed the first 2 months with a shoulder injury and hasn’t gotten out of the 5th inning in either start so far this season.
Has faced Arizona 6 times (4 starts) in his career, going 2-1 with a 2.25 ERA in 28 IP.

Kelly (5-3, 3.32 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 65 IP.

Beat the Reds in his last start, pitching 6 scoreless innings of 1-hit ball in a 7-0 victory June 8.
Had a 1.22 ERA in his first 6 starts and then a 7.77 ERA in his next 5 prior to his last start against the Reds.

Reds at Diamondbacks odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:26 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Reds +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Diamondbacks (bet $155 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-160) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+130)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

Reds at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 5, Reds 3

Money line

This is only the 12th time all season the Diamondbacks are favored. They are 6-5 as the favorite this season.

The Reds have been abysmal on the road this season. They are 9-22 and have the 2nd-fewest road wins in MLB.

Kelly was back to his early-season form in his last outing against the Reds, while Minor has struggled in his 2 starts coming back from injury.

Take the DIAMONDBACKS (-155).

Run line/Against the spread

The Reds are 27-33 ATS overall this season and 15-16 ATS on the road. Arizona is 36-26 ATS overall and 16-14 ATS at home.

The Diamondbacks have won Kelly’s last 2 starts after dropping 4 straight, both by at least 2 runs. In their 6 wins with Kelly starting, 5 have been by 2 or more runs. Six of their last 8 victories have been by more than 1 run.

This is the best bet of the night for this game. Take the DIAMONDBACKS -1.5 (+130).

Over/Under

In their 4 games against one another earlier this month, 2 had only 7 runs and 2 had 9 or more.

Four of the Diamondbacks’ last 6 games have had 9 or more runs and 8 of the Reds’ last 11 have had 9 or more runs.

But when Kelly is pitching well, the scores are lower. In 5 of the 6 wins Arizona has with him on the mound, there have been fewer than 9 runs.

I LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-102).