The Arkansas State Red Wolves (3-2 overall, 1-1 Sun Belt) visit the Appalachian State Mountaineers (2-1, 0-0) at Kidd Brewer Stadium in Boone, N.C., for a Thursday night kickoff at 7:30 p.m. ET. We analyze the Arkansas State-Appalachian State college football betting odds and lines, with picks, best bets and predictions.
Arkansas State at Appalachian State: Betting odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:02 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Arkansas State +350 (bet $100 to win $350) | Appalachian State -476 (bet $476 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Arkansas State +14 (-115) | Appalachian State -14 (-106)
- Over/Under: 68.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Arkansas State at Appalachian State: Three things to know
- Due to COVID-19 protocols, the Mountaineers haven’t played since Sept. 26, when they downed FCS foe Campbell, 52-21. Appalachian State’s break included a university shutdown, but the team returned to practice Wednesday, Oct. 14. The Mountaineers’ lone defeat this season — a 17-7 loss as six-point favorites — came against Marshall (Sept. 19).
- Arkansas State’s 2-1 mark includes an impressive 35-31 win over a Kansas State team currently ranked 19th in the Amway Coaches Poll. Redshirt Junior QB Logan Bonner and redshirt freshman QB Layne Hatcher have combined to throw 21 touchdown passes against just four interceptions in an aerial game which has cranked out 384.2 yards per game (third FBS).
- This contest features a Red Wolves program which ranked 10th in FBS passing yards last season when it racked up 312.1 per game. Arkansas State has tallied 384.2 per game (third) so far in 2020. The other ASU here has been as prolific in its ground game. The Mountaineers ranked 16th in rushing yards in 2019 (231.4); they rank fifth in 2020 (269.3).
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Arkansas State at Appalachian State: Odds, prediction, betting lines and picks
Prediction
Appalachian State 42, Arkansas State 31
Money line (ML)
The +350 tag is enticing enough for the RED WOLVES for a small play on the money line. As with many large-spread games, the true odds and value payouts are likely wedged in between the favorite and underdog prices.
Against the spread (ATS)
For the Mountaineers, this type of game presents a tough return to action. In coughing up 38.9 PPG, Arkansas State’s defense has been defeated by explosive plays, especially on passing downs. A little bit of improvement (or regression to normalized results) can make for a one-score game, likely in a bit of a shootout.
BACK THE RED WOLVES +14 (-115).
Over/Under (O/U)
Dating back to last fall, the Over has prevailed in seven of Arkansas State’s last nine games. On the Appalachian State side, the Under is 8-4 over the Mountaineers’ last dozen games.
The layoff for the home side and two solid offenses mixing things up on a good weather night make for a LEAN ON THE OVER 68.5 (-110).
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