Detroit Red Wings at New York Islanders odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Detroit Red Wings at New York Islanders odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Detroit Red Wings (28-24-9) open a 2-game weekend road trip Saturday against the New York Islanders (31-25-8) at UBS Arena. Puck drop is scheduled for 12:30 p.m. (ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Wings vs. Islanders odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Red Wings enter on a 4-game losing skid in which they’ve picked up just 1 point out of 8 available. Detroit has managed just 7 goals during the span, with 4 coming in a 5-4 OT loss last time out against the Seattle Kraken on Thursday.

The Islanders were tripped up 2-1 in a shootout at the Minnesota Wild Tuesday, but New York has still managed to win 3 of its last 5 games (3-1-1).

The last time these teams faced each other, G Ilya Sorokin had a 23-save shutout in a 2-0 win on Jan. 27 at UBS Arena. On Nov. 5 in Detroit, G Ville Husso turned aside all 24 of the shots he faced in a 3-0 Red Wings victory.

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Red Wings at Islanders odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:26 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Wings +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Islanders -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Wings +1.5 (-155) | Islanders -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -125 | U: +105)

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Red Wings at Islanders projected goalies

Magnus Hellberg (4-5-1, 2.90 GAA, .900 SV%) vs. Ilya Sorokin (20-18-6, 2.37 GAA, .925 SV%, 5 SO)

The 31-year-old Swedish netminder is expected to make the start with Husso sidelined due to an undisclosed reason. G Alex Nedeljkovic was recalled from Grand Rapids of the AHL on an emergency basis. Hellberg was toasted for 6 goals on 42 shots in a 6-2 loss at the Ottawa Senators Monday in his most recent action.

Sorokin has allowed just 7 total goals in his past 4 starts, including a single goal in a hard-luck 2-1 loss in a shootout at Minnesota Tuesday. Still, he wrapped up February with a 4-2-2 record, 2.35 GAA and .935 SV% in 8 starts.

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Red Wings at Islanders picks and predictions

Prediction

Islanders 4, Red Wings 2

Moneyline

The Islanders (-210) are too expensive for my liking. I set a personal limit of -180 for standalone moneyline plays, with very few exceptions. Look to the puck line instead.

AVOID.

Puck line/Against the spread

The ISLANDERS -1.5 (+135) won and covered the puck line in the most recent home meeting with the Red Wings. In fact, the home team has won 7 straight meetings in this series, with just 2 of the games decided by a single goal. If you like New York to win on home ice, you should like it to cover the puck line.

Over/Under

The ALTERNATE TOTAL GOALS UNDER 6.5 (-155) has cashed in 3 of the past 4 meetings in this series, including each of the first 2 meetings this season.

There is a little concern with Detroit’s goaltender situation a little in disarray, but matinee games tend to be lower-scoring anyway. In addition, Sorokin has yielded just 7 goals on his past 131 shots. He is in the pocket right now, and it’s another great reason to go low.

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