The Boston Red Sox (20-23) and Chicago White Sox (22-21) meet for the final time this season Thursday, squaring off at Guaranteed Rate Field at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: White Sox lead 4-1.
The Red Sox had their 6-game winning streak snapped with Wednesday’s 3-1 loss to the White Sox. But since losing 5 straight earlier this month, they’ve gone 10-4 in their last 14 games. They scored at least 5 runs in each of their last 6 wins and now rank 10th in runs scored and 6th in batting average.
The White Sox are 3-1 in their last 4 games, although they’ve been outscored by the Red Sox 17-4 in the first 2 games of the series. P Lucas Giolito gave the White Sox 6 innings of 1-run ball Wednesday, while 3B Jake Burger’s 3-run HR was the difference in the game.
Red Sox at White Sox projected starters
RHP Michael Wacha vs. LHP Dallas Keuchel
Wacha (3-0, 1.76 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 in 30 2/3 IP.
- Red Sox are 5-1 in Wacha’s 6 starts this season, only losing his April 11 debut against the Detroit Tigers. Boston has scored at least 4 runs in each of his last 5 starts.
- Hasn’t allowed more than 2 ER in a start and opponents haven’t scored more than 3 runs in any of his 6 starts.
Keuchel (2-4, 6.60 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 2.00 WHIP, 5.4 BB/9 and 4.8 K/9 through 30 IP.
- White Sox are 3-4 in his starts this season, including a 3-2 win vs. the Red Sox in Boston May 8.
- Gave up 6 R in 4 IP in last start May 14 vs. the New York Yankees, walking 3 and striking out zero batters.
Red Sox at White Sox odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:59 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Red Sox -112 (bet $112 to win $100) | White Sox -108 (bet $108 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+140) | White Sox +1.5 (-175)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)
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Red Sox at White Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Red Sox 5, White Sox 3
Money line
When Wacha is on the mound, the Red Sox have not only given him good run support (4-plus runs in 5 starts), but he’s limited opponents to 2 or fewer runs each time. The White Sox have a powerful lineup and while Wacha doesn’t generate a lot of swings and misses, he gets batters out.
Bet the RED SOX (-112) to win this game outright on the road.
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Run line/Against the spread
I think the Red Sox will win this game, but the better value is on them to win outright, not by 2 runs. I would LEAN toward RED SOX -1.5 (+140) because it’s at plus money, but the bulk of my wager would be on Boston to win straight-up instead of covering the spread.
Over/Under
The Over is just 17-23-3 in Red Sox games this year and 17-24-2 in Chicago’s 43 games, so neither team has been pushing the total Over very often.
I expect Wacha to slow down Chicago’s offense and while the Red Sox could get to Keuchel early, their bats cooled off a bit Wednesday. Bet the UNDER 9.5 (-130).
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