The Milwaukee Brewers (11-14) and Pittsburgh Pirates (6-17) wrap up a three-game set at PNC Park with a 1:35 p.m. ET first pitch. We analyze the Brewers-Pirates MLB betting odds and lines, with betting advice and tips around the matchup.
Brewers at Pirates: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Corbin Burnes vs. RHP JT Brubaker
Burnes, not to be mistaken with the dude actor from L.A. Law or Roger Dorn from Major League fame, has no decisions with a 3.00 ERA and 1.14 WHIP across 21 innings over two starts and three relief appearances to date.
- Burnes is still being stretched out, as he hasn’t lasted longer than 5 1/3 innings in any of his appearances. He has allowed three or fewer runs in each outing.
- Burnes has allowed a total of just 10 hits in his 21 innings of work, but he has also issued 14 walks, including at least three in four of his five appearances.
Brubaker also has a no-decision in each of his two starts or two relief appearances, turning in a 4.91 ERA with six walks and 10 strikeouts across 11 innings.
- Brubaker has been able to limit the damage so far this season, serving up just one home run. However, his control has been an issue, as his walks have increased by one in every appearance this season.
- Brubaker is more of an opener than a true starter, lasting just three innings in each of his two starts. That means it’s a bullpen game for the Bucs, and Pittsburgh’s bullpen ranks 25th in the majors with a 5.65 ERA.
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Brewers at Pirates: Key injuries
(List of injuries around the league)
Brewers
- RP Justin Grimm (finger) probable
- RP Corey Knebel (hamstring) out
Pirates
- RP Nick Burdi (elbow) out
- RP Kyle Crick (shoulder) out
- RP Keone Kala (forearm) questionable
Brewers at Pirates: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated Sunday at 10 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Brewers 7, Pirates 5
Moneyline (ML)
The BREWERS (-154) strolled into the Steel City thinking they probably could get back on track against the cellar-dwelling Pirates (+140), but now they’re simply playing Sunday to salvage a game in the series. The Bucs can’t sweep them, right?
New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Brewers returns a net profit of just $6.49, while a $10 play on the Pirates returns a profit of $14.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The BREWERS (-1.5, +100) should be able to do damage against a poor bullpen for the Pirates (+1.5, -121). Of course, they should have been able to win the first two games, too, but that’s baseball. Forget what you saw from the Brew Crew the past two days and bet them on the run line.
Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 9 (-110) is the play, as Pittsburgh is likely to have to turn to its bullpen from the fourth inning on. That’s not a good thing. And even if those relievers shockingly shut things down, the Pirates offense is suddenly alive, posting 19 runs over the first two games of this series.
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