The Texas Tech Red Raiders (10-4) visit the West Virginia Mountaineers (12-2) at WVU Coliseum for a 6 p.m. ET tip-off Saturday. We analyze the Texas Tech-West Virginia odds and betting lines, with college basketball betting advice and tips around this matchup.
Texas Tech at West Virginia: Three things you need to know
1. West Virginia does a great job controlling the glass. The Mountaineers get the sixth-most rebounds per game in the country.
2. Texas Tech moves the ball well, The Red Raiders are ranked ninth in assists per game and 18th in assist/turnover ratio.
3. West Virginia has covered the spread in five of the last six Texas Tech-West Virginia games.
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Texas Tech at West Virginia: Odds, betting lines and picks
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2 p.m. ET.
Prediction
West Virginia 62, Texas Tech 55
Moneyline (ML)
The Mountaineers return home after a four-game road trip in which they won three out of four games, including an upset of No. 2 Ohio State but a loss to No. 3 Kansas. Texas Tech had its five-game win streak snapped when it lost to No. 4 Baylor. It heads to Morgantown for just its second true road game of the year.
Let’s PASS on the moneyline play here because of West Virginia’s sizable home-court advantage—the Mountaineers are 60-14 outright since 2015 and are 8-0 so far this season at home—and the poor value of the West Virginia (-209) moneyline price.
New to sports betting? A $10 bet West Virginia to win outright would return a profit of $4.80.
Against the Spread (ATS)
HAMMER WEST VIRGINIA (-4.5, -110) because the ATS trends favor the Mountaineers. West Virginia has covered five of the last six games against Texas Tech. Since 2015, the Mountaineers are 46-39-1 ATS versus conference opponents, 24-19-1 ATS against ranked opponents and 33-27-1 ATS at home. Furthermore, Texas Tech is just 6-8 ATS on the season, including a 65-60 overtime loss at DePaul making them 0-1 outright and ATS on the road.
Over/Under (O/U)
Since we are on West Virginia to win by at least 5 points, meaning that they should control the tempo and pace, we should also take the UNDER 131.5 (-110). I like betting Over/Under handicaps correlated to the spread bet and West Virginia is an elite defensive team. The Mountaineers rank third in the country in opponent field goal percentage and 19th in opponent points per game. Their Over/Under record is 3-11 for the season and an Under bet has cashed in four of the last five Texas Tech-West Virginia games.
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