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Real Madrid welcome Man City to Santiago Bernabeu Tuesday. Kickoff in the 1st of 2 legs in the quarterfinal of the UEFA Champions League is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Real Madrid vs. Man City odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.
Real Madrid drew RB Leipzig of the Bundesliga in the Round of 16, beating them 1-0 on the road Feb. 13 and then 1-1 at home March 6. Madrid ended the Group Stage atop Group C and were 1 of 2 teams (Man City the other) to win all 6 games. They ended with a +9 goal differential, allowing just 7. Real Madrid sit atop the La Liga table.
Man City, who have played several high-profile games against the likes of Liverpool, Newcastle and Arsenal over the last month, beat Copenhagen 3-1 both on the road and at home in the Round of 16. City ended the group stage with 18 goals for and 7 against. They sit 3rd in the English Premier League, down just 1 point from league-leading Arsenal.
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Real Madrid vs. Man City odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 8:45 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Real Madrid +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Man City +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Draw +240
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -130 | U: +108)
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Real Madrid vs. Man City picks and predictions
Prediction
Man City 1, Real Madrid 1
Moneyline (ML)
SPRINKLE DRAW (+240).
Real Madrid have been winning with ease as of late, but they haven’t played the level of competition that City have. Madrid have drawn 2 of their last 5 games throughout all competitions, and they were within 0.2 expected goals of RB Leipzig in both matches.
City have drawn 2 of their last 5 games as well. Madrid are a quality side, and in City’s last 2 games against top-tier opponents, Liverpool and Arsenal, they drew. In the Champions League semifinal, Real and City drew 1-1 in Spain a season ago.
Considering those trends, back DRAW (+240).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER 2.5 (+108).
For starters, in that game last season in this scenario, both teams combined for 1.2 expected goals. That said, the Madrid defense is a gritty, quick group and allowed 7 goals through 6 Group Stage games. Madrid have allowed just 20 goals in 30 La Liga games as well.
As for City, they have allowed multiple goals in just 1 of their last 7 games. Liverpool and Arsenal, 2 dynamic attacks that have played City in the last month, scored a combined 1 goal on them.
Both teams have strong attacks as well, but in the 1st leg, there is typically more of a feel-out period which should aid the Under as teams know they have a 2nd chance at each other.
Take UNDER 2.5 (+108).
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