Real Madrid (16 wins, 3 losses, 3 draws) battles Atletico Madrid (12-5-5) Saturday. Kickoff from Santiago Bernabeu in Madrid is set for 12:30 p.m. ET (ESPN Deportes). Below, we preview Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid odds, and make our best expert La Liga picks and predictions.
Real Madrid sits 2nd in the La Liga table, 8 points behind Barcelona. Real Madrid is coming off a 5-2 midweek win over Liverpool in the UEFA Champions League. Real has scored 46 goals and allowed 17 for a +29 goal differential through 22 La Liga matches. Real is led by F Karim Benzema, who has scored 11 goals this season, and 22-year-old F Rodrygo (4 goals and a team-high 5 assists).
Atletico Madrid is 4th in the standings with 41 points. Atletico has 31 goals and allowed 17 in 22 matches. The +14 goal differential is 3rd best in the league, behind Real Madrid and Barcelona (+38). Forwards Alvaro Morata and Antoine Griezmann lead the club with 7 goals each. Griezmann also leads the team in assists (6).
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Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:35 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Real Madrid -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Atletico Madrid +360 (bet $100 to win $360) | Draw +260
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +115 | U: -135)
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Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid picks and predictions
Prediction
Real Madrid 2, Atletico Madrid 1
Moneyline (ML)
BET REAL MADRID (-120).
Real has been incredible at home this season, winning 7 of 10 games with no losses and 3 draws.
Although Atletico is solid on the road with 7 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, it has played just one top-6 team away from home — a 1-1 draw with Real Sociedad.
Real also beat Atletico at home in a Copa del Rey quarterfinal Jan. 26. Real has had more expected goals in all but 1 home game this season. Real and Barcelona are a league above the rest, and Real should prove that here.
BACK REAL MADRID (-120).
Over/Under (O/U)
LEAN OVER 2.5 (+115).
Atletico has quality attackers as Morata and Griezmann are expected to be active and are among the league’s craftiest goal scorers. That should help Atletico get on the board at least once.
Atletico has been held scoreless just once on the road in league play. Real Madrid is averaging 2.09 goals per game and has 2 or more expected goals in 6 of its last 7 home games throughout all competitions.
Atletico’s attack put up 5 goals on a solid Liverpool defense, and it should be able to produce Saturday. Real has gone Over this total in 6 of 10 home games this season.
BET OVER 2.5 (+115).
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