Real Madrid vs. AC Milan odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Real Madrid vs. AC Milan odds and lines, with Champions League expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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Real Madrid (2 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss) welcomes AC Milan (1-0-2) to the Santiago Bernebeu for a UEFA Champions League battle Tuesday. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET (TNT Sports/discovery+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s soccer odds around the Real Madrid vs. AC Milan odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.

Real Madrid sits second in La Liga, the top league in Spain. It has been an ultra-strong side at home, having a 5-0-1 record in league matches. Through 11 matches, it has a +10 goal differential. Real is coming off an embarrassing 4-0 loss to rival Barcelona on Oct. 26.

In Champions League action, Madrid beat Borussia Dortmund 5-2 and Stuttgart 3-1 while also having a 1-0 road loss to Lille. It is led by F Kylian Mbappe, who has scored 6 goals in La Liga action.

AC Milan has had a disappointing season in Serie A, the top league in Italy, sitting seventh. It has struggled on the road and is just 2-1-2. Throughout all league matches, Milan has a +6 goal differential on the season. It is led by F Christian Pulisic, who has a team-high 8 combined goals and assists.

In Champions League competition, AC Milan has its lone win in a 3-1 victory over Club Brugge and has losses to Bayer Leverkusen 1-0 and Liverpool 3-1.

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Real Madrid vs. AC Milan odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of soccer odds. Lines last updated at 12:16 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Real Madrid -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | AC Milan +550 (bet $100 to win $550) | Draw +380 (bet $100 to win $380)
  • Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +110 | U: -150)

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Real Madrid vs. AC Milan picks and predictions

Prediction

Real Madrid 3, AC Milan 1

Moneyline (ML)

PASS.

There’s just no value here. From top to bottom, especially on the backline, Real is the better side, but they aren’t worth almost double your money for a unit of potential return. Unfortunately, they haven’t played well enough to warrant this size of a spread, especially coming off a throttling by Barcelona.

Nonetheless, AC Milan has struggled as well, especially against quality opponents in the Champions League, so one should assume those issues will continue. Ultimately, avoid a moneyline play.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET OVER 3.5 (+110).

Real has a strong defense, but they have given up 7 goals in their last 3 times taking the pitch. Madrid has allowed at least 1 goal in 8 of its last 9 matches  as well. At the same time, its offense has been clicking, scoring 9 goals in its last 4 games. It has gone Over this total in 2 of 3 Champions League  matches.

AC Milan has also gone Over this total in 2 of 3 Champions League matches, and against a quality offense like Liverpool, it gave up a trio of goals and allowed 3.1 expected goals. The expected goals are more concerning and suggest ample opportunities were there for Liverpool in that match. Against Leverkusen, it allowed 1.8 expected goals. AC Milan is averaging 1.7 goals per game in Serie A play and 1.3 goals per game in Champions league action.

Considering the trends for both sides, back OVER 3.5 (+115).

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Real Madrid vs. Barcelona odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Real Madrid vs. Barcelona odds and lines, with expert La Liga picks, predictions and best bets.

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Real Madrid (7 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses) welcomes Barcelona (9-0-1) to Santiago Bernabéu Stadium Saturday for the season’s first El Clasico. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s soccer odds around the Real Madrid vs. Barcelona odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.

Barcelona sits atop the league and has been virtually unbeatable on the road, sitting with a 5-0-1 away record. It has tallied 33 goals and allowed 10 through 10 matches. Barcelona is led by F Robert Lewandowski, who has netted 12 goals in 10 starts. It is coming off a 4-1 Champions League win over Bayern Munich Wednesday and a 5-1 home win over Sevilla in La Liga action Sunday.

Real Madrid, on a similar note, has been actually unbeatable at home and is a perfect 5-0-0. It has tallied 21 goals and allowed 7. Its +14 goal differential is the 2nd-best in the league. Real sits 2nd in La Liga. It is led by F Kylian Mbappe, who has netted 6 goals in 9 starts. Madrid is coming off a 5-2 home win over Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League Tuesday and beat Celta Vigo 2-1 on the road Saturday.

World class soccer coverage all in one place: Get ESPN+

Real Madrid vs. Barcelona odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of soccer odds. Lines last updated at 1 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Real Madrid -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Barcelona +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Draw +300
  • Over/Under: 3.5 (O: -105 | U: -130)

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Real Madrid vs. Barcelona picks and predictions

Prediction

Real Madrid 2, Barcelona 1

Moneyline (ML)

BET REAL MADRID (-115).

In La Liga matches between these 2 sides, the home team has won 3 of the last 4, and Real Madrid beat Barcelona in 3 of the last 4 league matches as well. Real has a similar roster as it did a season ago, when it beat Barcelona 3-2 April 21, 2024. Barcelona might have a dynamic attack, but Real’s defense is the real deal and is experienced.

Barcelona’s goal total is also inflated by a few easy matchups. It has scored more than 2 goals in just 5 of 10 games. Real is rolling and has won 8 of its last 10 games throughout all competitions. It has dominated at home and against Barcelona, so for this value, take REAL MADRID (-115).

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 3.5 (-130).

El Clasico, in league matches, has gone under this total in 2 of the last 3 games and 4 of the last 7. Both teams’ defenses are among the best in the league with each allowing 1.00 goals per game or fewer. Barcelona has allowed more than 1 goal in just 1 league game and has 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.

Real Madrid has 4 clean sheets and has allowed more than 1 goal just once. Both defenses should be equipped to handle talented players, especially with both coming off a Champions League match in the middle of the week. With that in mind, back UNDER 3.5 (-130).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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Real Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Real Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund odds and lines, with Champions League expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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Real Madrid welcomes Borussia Dortmund to the Santiago Bernabeu in Madrid for the 3rd of 8 matchdays in the group stage of the UEFA Champions League. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET (Paramount+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s soccer odds around the Real Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.

Real Madrid sits 2nd in La Liga, 3 points behind Barcelona. In La Liga action, the Los Blancos are a perfect 5-0-0 at home. They have a 14-plus goal differential through all 10 La Liga matches. F Kylian Mbappe leads Los Blancos with 6 goals in 9 starts. In UEFA action, Real has a 3-1 home win over Stuttgart and a 1-0 road loss to Lille, having at least 0.7 more expected goals in both matches. Real beat Dortmund 2-0 June 1, 2024, in the Champions League final after a flawless 6 games in group play.

Dortmund exceeded expectations last season, taking down Paris Saint-Germain (who had Mbappe on their roster) in the semifinals, Atletico Madrid in the quarterfinals and PSV Eindhoven in the Round of 16. Dortmund holds a 4-1-2 record in the Bundesliga, the top league in Germany. It sits 6th in the league with a 2-plus goal differential through 7 matches. F Serhou Guirassy, leads Dortmund  with 4 goals. In UEFA competition, it beat Club Brugge 3-0 on the road and routed Celtic 7-1 at home.

World class soccer coverage all in one place: Get ESPN+

Real Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of soccer odds. Lines last updated at 1:23 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Real Madrid -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Borussia Dortmund +550 (bet $100 to win $550) | Draw +425
  • Over/Under: 3.5 (O: -105 | U: -135)

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Real Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund picks and predictions

Prediction

Real Madrid 2, Borussia Dortmund 1

Moneyline (ML)

PASS.

There’s no real value on the moneyline. Real Madrid (-250) has dominated at home both in UEFA and in La Liga competitions. That should be expected to continue Tuesday. Similarly, Dortmund (+550) has been awful as of late on the road.

While Dortmund has won 3 of its last 4 matches throughout all competitions, it has lost 2 in a row on the road. Dortmund lost 2-1 at Union Berlin and 5-1 at Stuttgart, a team Real Madrid beat 3-1 earlier in the season.

Put it all together and Real should come out on top. However, the -250 price is far too expensive to take here.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 3.5 (-135).

Real Madrid’s defense is the real deal. While its offense has numerous superstar names that take up the bulk of the headlines, its defense is just as talented. Real has played 7 home matches throughout all competitions and has had 4 clean sheets, allowing just 3 goals in those games. The Los Blancos have gone Under this total in 4 of 7 matches. They allowed just 7 goals in 6 group stage matches last season.

For Dortmund, it went Under this total in its lone road UEFA match this season and has gone Under this total in 3 of 5 road matches overall. In 9 matches where expected goals were tallied, Dortmund allowed 1.5 or fewer in 6 of those.

TAKE UNDER 3.5 (-135).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Real Madrid vs. Villarreal odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Real Madrid vs. Villarreal odds and lines, with expert La Liga picks, predictions and best bets.

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Real Madrid (5 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses) welcomes Villarreal (5-2-1) to the Santiago Bernabéu Stadium Saturday. Kickoff in the high-profile La Liga clash is set for 3 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s soccer odds around the Real Madrid vs. Villarreal odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.

Real Madrid might have 3 draws on the season, but it has been perfect this season at home, boasting a 4-0-0 record in front of its fans. It is coming off a 1-0 road Champions League loss Wednesday to Lille which came on the back of a 1-1 road draw with La Liga foe Atletico Madrid Sunday. Real has netted 17 goals while having allowed 6 in 8 games. It is led by F Kylian Mbappe, who has 5 goals in 7 starts.

Villarreal sits 3rd in the league and has a 3-1-0 road record. It has won 3 of its last 4 and is coming off a 3-1 home win over Las Palmas Monday, ending with 1.9 more expected goals. Villarreal has netted at least 2 goals in 3 of its last 4 games and is led by F Ayoze Perez, who has 6 goals in 7 appearances this season. It has scored 17 goals and allowed 15 on the season.

World class soccer coverage all in one place: Get ESPN+

Real Madrid vs. Villarreal odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of soccer odds. Lines last updated at 5:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Real Madrid -400 (bet $400 to win $100) | Villarreal +900 (bet $100 to win $900) | Draw +550
  • Over/Under: 3.5 (O: -130 | U: -110)

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Real Madrid vs. Villarreal picks and predictions

Prediction

Real Madrid 3, Villarreal 1

Moneyline (ML)

PASS.

There’s just no value on the moneyline.

If Villarreal would have shown more aptitude defensively, then it might’ve been able to pull off the upset, but it is allowing 1.88 goals per game, which should get abused by a lethal Real Madrid (-400) side.

Real should come out on top at home, but at -400, it is far too expensive to take, especially coming off a draw in its last league match. Avoid this play.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 3.5 (-110).

Villarreal has gone over a lofty total like this one in just 4 of 8 games. It has scored 2 or fewer goals in 4 of its last 5 games and has allowed just 1 goal in 4 of its last 5.

Similarly, Real has one of the best defenses in La Liga and has yet to allow more than 1.1 expected goals in any of the 8 matches. Real has gone over this total in just 2 of 8 league matches and has eclipsed 2.5 expected goals in just 1 game. It has also gone under 1.5 goals in 2 straight games.

Put it all together, and back UNDER 3.5 (-110).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid odds and lines, with expert La Liga picks, predictions and best bets.

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Atletico Madrid (4 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses) welcomes Real Madrid (5-2-0) to Civitas Metropolitano Sunday for a high-profile La Liga clash. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET (ESPN Desportes). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s soccer odds around the Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.

Atletico Madrid sits 3rd in La Liga through the first several games of the season. Atletico has been solid at home, having won 2 games and having drawn the third. It has won 3 of its last 4 league games but had fewer expected goals than its opponent in 2 straight. Atletico has numerous capable attackers with 4 players having 2 or more goals. It has scored 11 and allowed just 3 goals on the season.

Real Madrid is 2nd in La Liga, only trailing Barcelona. Real had a rough start to the season, drawing 2 of its first 3 matches. Real has since won 4 in a row and outscored opponents 11-3 in those matches. It has had at least 2.1 expected goals in 5 of 7 matches this season. F Kylian Mbappe leads the club with 5 goals.

World class soccer coverage all in one place: Get ESPN+

Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of soccer odds. Lines last updated at 8:23 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Atletico Madrid +170 (bet $170 to win $165) | Real Madrid +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Draw +225
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -110 | U: -125)

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Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid picks and predictions

Prediction

Atletico Madrid 1, Real Madrid 1

Moneyline (ML)

BET DRAW (+225).

Atletico is an impressive side and has a slew of talented offensive weapons. It has scored in 6 of 7 games this season and has scored at least 2 in 3 of those 7. Atletico has had 5.2 more expected goals than its opponent in 3 home games. Atletico beat Real 3-1 at home last season.

Madrid was able to add Mbappe this offseason, so it has an extremely efficient offense. Real has allowed just 5 goals in 7 matches. It has drawn 2 of 3 road matches. Given this will be Real’s first real test of the season and it hasn’t earned 3 points often on the road, don’t expect Real to win here. BET DRAW (+225).

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (-125).

One of 2 games last season went Under this total, and Real hasn’t been capable of scoring consistently on the road. All 3 of Real’s road games have gone Under this total with this exact finish being the result in 2 of 3 of those.

Atletico has played well at home this season, but it hasn’t dominated opponents as of late. Atletico had 0.9 fewer expected goals in its last match, a 1-0 victory at Celta Vigo Thursday. Atletico has gone Under in 4 of its last 5 matches and has a clean sheet in 5 of 7.

TAKE UNDER 2.5 (-125).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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Borussia Dortmund vs. Real Madrid odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Borussia Dortmund vs. Real Madrid odds and lines, with Champions League expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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Borussia Dortmund and Real Madrid square off at Wembley Stadium in London for the UEFA Champions League Final Saturday. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Borussia Dortmund vs. Real Madrid odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.

These teams haven’t met since 2017, and Real Madrid won both matchups in 2017, beating Dortmund 3-2 and 3-1 in the Champions League.

With the season over, Real is the official winner of La Liga, the top league in Spain. They ended with a +61 goal differential, having tallied 87 and allowed 26. In Champions League play, Real Madrid beat Bayern Munich 2-1 at home following a 2-2 road draw to advance. They also beat Man City in the quarterfinals, drawing back-to-back matches and winning on the road in penalty kicks. Madrid won all 6 Champions League group stage games and beat RB Leipzig a combined 2-1 in the Round of 16.

Dortmund finished 5th in the Bundesliga, the top league in Germany, ending with a +25 goal differential, averaging 2.00 goals per game while allowing 1.26 per game. They ended the year strong, going 11-1-4 throughout all competitions. In the Champions League, Dortmund finished the group stage 3-2-1 before beating PSV 3-1 in the Round of 16 and then edging Athletico Madrid 5-4 in the quarterfinals. Dortmund’s most impressive performance was 2 back-to-back 1-0 wins over PSG in the semifinals.

World class soccer coverage all in one place: Get ESPN+

Borussia Dortmund vs. Real Madrid odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 6:16 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Borussia Dortmund +420 (bet $100 to win $420) | Real Madrid -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Draw +310 (bet $100 to win $310)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -130 | U: +108)

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Borussia Dortmund vs. Real Madrid picks and predictions

Prediction

Borussia Dortmund 1, Real Madrid 1 (Real Madrid wins in overtime)

Moneyline (ML)

SPRINKLE DRAW (+310).

Madrid has drawn 4 of their last 5 Champions League matches. Simply put, they play to the level of their competition. In those 5 matches, they drew RB Leipzig at home, City away and at home and Bayern Munich on the road. While City and Munich are far away better teams than Leipzig, that draw is most concerning as Madrid should’ve been able to blow them out at home, but rather played to their level and even had fewer expected goals.

For Dortmund, while they have won 3 straight Champions League matches, 2 of those ended within 0.4 expected goals, and in the 3rd they had 3.2 fewer expected goals. They are going to be the inferior side, and the moneyline suggests that as well. However, they are good enough to keep things close, and for this value, back DRAW (+310).

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (+108).

While older Champions League Final games did have more scoring, over the past half a decade, the scoring has been limited. All 5 of those games went under 2.5 goals and the last 4 have resulted in a 1-0 finish. While on paper both teams have dynamic attacks, at this level of play and the unfamiliarity of the teams, scoring isn’t easy.

Madrid has gone Under this total in 3 of 6 Champions League games since the group stage. Dortmund has gone Under it in 4 of their last 6 Champions League matches despite playing an ultra-talented PSG attack. With that in mind, back UNDER 2.5 (+108).

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Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich odds and lines, with Champions League expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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Real Madrid welcomes Bayern Munich to Santiago Bernabéu Wednesday for the 2nd leg of the UEFA Champions League semifinal. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.

Madrid, which sits atop La Liga, the top league in Spain, drew Bayern Munich 2-2 on the road April 30 to open up the 2-match series. Madrid ended with 0.3 more expected goals and 10 shots, 4 of which were on frame. F Vinicius Junior scored both Madrid goals — each team scored one from the penalty spot. Real Madrid has drawn 4 straight Champions League games, beating Man City 4-3 in penalty kicks in the quarterfinals.

Bayern Munich, which is 2nd in the Bundesliga, ended with 52% possession and 14 shots, 5 of which ended on frame, in the 1st-leg draw vs Real Madrid. Bayern has been led this season by F Harry Kane, who took its penalty kick in the 57th-minute. F Leroy Sane scored the other goals in the opening leg. Bayern beat Arsenal a combined 3-2 in the quarterfinals and took down Lazio 3-1 in the Round of 16.

World class soccer coverage all in one place: Get ESPN+

Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 7:48 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Real Madrid -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Bayern Munich +280 (bet $100 to win $280) | Draw +270
  • Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +140 | U: -172)

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Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid picks and predictions

Prediction

Real Madrid 2, Bayern Munich 1

Moneyline (ML)

BET REAL MADRID (-110).

Real Madrid has been absolutely incredible at home in league play, posting a 15-0-2 record in La Liga. Madrid was 3-0-0 at home in the group stage and drew their Round of 16 and quarterfinal home matches, the latter of which was against the best team in England (Man City).

While Bayern has dominated Germany the last few years, it is just 9-2-5 on the road in the Bundesliga and lost at Lazio 1-0 in a Round of 16 leg. Bayern is an older side with their top 3 players in terms of minutes in the Champions League all 28 or over. Late in the season, those tired legs could play a factor.

Considering the trends for both teams, take REAL MADRID (-110).

Over/Under (O/U)

LEAN UNDER 3.5 (-172).

While the first-leg result was a 4-goal match, there wasn’t as many shots on frame as one would expect. The teams combined for 9 shots on frame. Had there not been 2 penalty kicks, the opportunity would’ve been heavily limited.

As for the Bayern defense, it has allowed 1.0 or fewer expected goals in 3 of its last 4 Champions League games. Madrid, which allows just 0.67 per game in La Liga competition, has allowed more than 1.4 expected goals in just 4 of 11 Champions League games.

With the stakes high for this one, expect the defenses to step up. This is almost unplayable at the valuation, so for a small unit, take UNDER 3.5 (-172).

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Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid odds and lines, with Champions League expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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Bayern Munich welcome Real Madrid to Allianz Arena Tuesday for the 1st leg of the UEFA Champions League semifinal. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.

Both teams knocked out top-tier English sides to reach the final 4.

Bayern drew Arsenal 2-2 on the road in the 1st leg then returned home and won 1-0. They beat Lazio a combined 3-1 in the Round of 16. Bayern were 5-1-0 (1 draw) in the group stage, ending with a +6 goal differential. They had a disappointing Bundesliga campaign and sit in 2nd, 12 points behind Bayer Leverkusen. F Harry Kane leads the team in Champions League scoring, having netted 7 goals in 10 games.

Real Madrid have been dominating La Liga, sitting atop the highest league in Spain with a +49 goal differential in 33 matches, winning 26 of them. They drew Man City 3-3 at home and then 1-1 through 90 minutes in England, winning 4-3 on penalty kicks. They beat RB Leipzig a combined 2-1 in the round of 16 after being just 1 of 2 teams to win all 6 Group Stage games. F Rodrygo leads Madrid and has tallied 5 Champions League goals.

World class soccer coverage all in one place: Get ESPN+

Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:14 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Bayern Munich +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Real Madrid +220 (bet $100 to win $180) | Draw +260
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -154 | U: +126)

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Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid picks and predictions

Prediction

Bayern Munich 2, Real Madrid 2

Moneyline (ML)

SPRINKLE DRAW (+260).

This play has the most value on the moneyline. Real Madrid have consistently been a strong side, throughout both La Liga and Champions League play, but in the latter, they have seldomly blown teams out. They have drawn their last 3 Champions League games and were outshot 45-22 in the 2 games against Man City.

Bayern got an objectively easier matchup with Arsenal and ended with the same amount of shots on target in their home match, drawing the English side on the road. Madrid are good enough to keep up with Bayern despite being on the road, and they have proved that against City in the quarterfinal.

Back a tight opening leg, and take DRAW (+260).

Over/Under (O/U)

BET OVER 2.5 (-154).

Real Madrid and Bayern Munich haven’t played each other in a Champions League match since the 2017-18 season. They have played in 8 games (4 knockout series) since 2010, and in 7 of those 8, the total ended above 2.5. Both teams have playmakers on the offensive end, and in the final 3rd as well, in Kane and M Jude Bellingham.

Couple that with the fact that Bayern’s 1st game against Arsenal ended 2-2 and Madrid’s 1st game against City ended 3-3, and there’s good reason to believe goals could be in bunches Tuesday.

Despite the juice, back OVER 2.5 (-154).

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Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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UEFA Champions League: Real Madrid vs. Man City odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Real Madrid vs. Man City odds and lines, with Champions League expert picks, predcitions and best bets.

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Real Madrid welcome Man City to Santiago Bernabeu Tuesday. Kickoff in the 1st of 2 legs in the quarterfinal of the UEFA Champions League is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Real Madrid vs. Man City odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.

Real Madrid drew RB Leipzig of the Bundesliga in the Round of 16, beating them 1-0 on the road Feb. 13 and then 1-1 at home March 6. Madrid ended the Group Stage atop Group C and were 1 of 2 teams (Man City the other) to win all 6 games. They ended with a +9 goal differential, allowing just 7. Real Madrid sit atop the La Liga table.

Man City, who have played several high-profile games against the likes of Liverpool, Newcastle and Arsenal over the last month, beat Copenhagen 3-1 both on the road and at home in the Round of 16. City ended the group stage with 18 goals for and 7 against. They sit 3rd in the English Premier League, down just 1 point from league-leading Arsenal.

World class soccer coverage all in one place: Get ESPN+

Real Madrid vs. Man City odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 8:45 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Real Madrid +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Man City +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Draw +240
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -130 | U: +108)

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Real Madrid vs. Man City picks and predictions

Prediction

Man City 1, Real Madrid 1

Moneyline (ML)

SPRINKLE DRAW (+240).

Real Madrid have been winning with ease as of late, but they haven’t played the level of competition that City have. Madrid have drawn 2 of their last 5 games throughout all competitions, and they were within 0.2 expected goals of RB Leipzig in both matches.

City have drawn 2 of their last 5 games as well. Madrid are a quality side, and in City’s last 2 games against top-tier opponents, Liverpool and Arsenal, they drew. In the Champions League semifinal, Real and City drew 1-1 in Spain a season ago.

Considering those trends, back DRAW (+240).

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (+108).

For starters, in that game last season in this scenario, both teams combined for 1.2 expected goals. That said, the Madrid defense is a gritty, quick group and allowed 7 goals through 6 Group Stage games. Madrid have allowed just 20 goals in 30 La Liga games as well.

As for City, they have allowed multiple goals in just 1 of their last 7 games. Liverpool and Arsenal, 2 dynamic attacks that have played City in the last month, scored a combined 1 goal on them.

Both teams have strong attacks as well, but in the 1st leg, there is typically more of a feel-out period which should aid the Under as teams know they have a 2nd chance at each other.

Take UNDER 2.5 (+108).

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Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter/X. Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

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Barcelona vs. Real Madrid odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Barcelona vs. Real Madrid odds and lines, with expert La Liga picks, predictions and best bets.

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Barcelona (7 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses) welcomes Real Madrid (8-1-1) to Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys Saturday. Kickoff is set for 10:15 a.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Barcelona vs. Real Madrid odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.

Barcelona sits 3rd in La Liga and is a perfect 5-0-0 at home this season. It has scored 22 goals and allowed 10 through 10 matches. Leading the charge for Barcelona is F Robert Lewandowski, who has 5 goals in 8 matches. Barcelona’s most recent match was a 2-1 Champions League win over Shakhtar. It has had more expected goals in every home match throughout all competitions this season.

Real sits atop La Liga with 25 points through 10 games. Madrid is 4-1-1 on the road this season and has the league’s most dominant defense, having allowed just 7 goals. M Jude Bellingham leads the way offensively, having scored 8 goals in 9 matches. Real also won its midweek Champions League match, taking down Braga 2-1 on the road.

World class soccer coverage all in one place: Get ESPN+

Barcelona vs. Real Madrid odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 3:56 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Barcelona +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Real Madrid +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Draw +260
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -175 | U: +125)

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Barcelona vs. Real Madrid picks and predictions

Prediction

Real Madrid 2, Barcelona 1

Moneyline (ML)

BET REAL MADRID (+160).

For starters, home-field advantage in El Clasico hasn’t mattered. The home side is 3-3 over the last 6 games. There hasn’t been a tie in the league rivalry match since 2019, so that’s unlikely as well.

As for Real, their defense is the real deal. They have allowed fewer than 1 expected goal in 4 games. They have pitched a clean sheet in 3 of 6 road matches as well while scoring multiple goals in 4 of 6 road matches. They have a strong midfield and an even better backline.

Barcelona will likely be without F Pedri, M Frenkie de Jong, Lewandowski and several more players that are out with injuries. Those will be too much to overcome for the home side.

Take REAL MADRID (+160).

Over/Under (O/U)

LEAN OVER 2.5 (-175).

The last 6 matchups between these 2 teams have gone Over this total. Two of the last 3 matchups have gone north of 3.5 goals as well, so despite typically having strong defenses, the offenses are able to normally break through in this high-intensity matchup.

Both teams have scored 20-plus goals through 10 games, so the offenses should be able to get on the board here. But, at the value of -175, I would only put a small unit on the Over.

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter/X. Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

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