2024 RBC Canadian Open prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 2024 RBC Canadian Open with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

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The PGA Tour is back in Canada this week for the 2024 RBC Canadian Open, which has returned to Hamilton Golf and Country Club for the 1st time since 2019. The 1st round begins on Thursday morning from Hamilton, Ontario.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets from BetMGM Sportsbook among the 2024 RBC Canadian Open odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

The highest-ranked player in the field this week based on the latest Golfweek/Sagarin rankings is Rory McIlroy, who comes in at No. 3. He was the 2019 champion here and also won the event in 2022 when it was played at St. George’s. Tommy Fleetwood is also among the favorites and ranked 14th this week, with 24th-ranked Sahith Theegala also teeing it up.

Hamilton is a short course at just 7,084 yards, and it’s a par 70 so there are only 2 par 5s, which limits the scoring opportunities a bit. However, 11 of the 12 par 4s are under 457 yards, so they’re certainly on the shorter side, which levels the playing field for longer hitters and those who don’t hit it as far.

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RBC Canadian Open – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 9:48 a.m. ET.

Cameron Young (+450)

Young has the length off the tee to turn this into an even shorter course, much like McIlroy did in 2019 when he won. Young, of course, is still looking for his 1st PGA Tour victory and while there’s a chance it could happen this week, it’s safer to bet on another close call at +450 for a top-5.

Shane Lowry (+400)

Lowry finished 2nd here in 2019 when McIlroy ran away from the field by 7 shots, and he comes into the week in good form after finishing T-6 at the PGA Championship. He could keep that up at a course he’s familiar with this week.

RBC Canadian Open – Top-10 picks

Sahith Theegala (+188)

Theegala has the creativity and soft touch around the greens to scramble for par when he does miss with an approach, which will come in handy this week. He finished 12th at the PGA Championship in his last start after a disappointing final round of 73.

Corey Conners (+225)

Could Conners follow Nick Taylor’s path and win on home soil in Canada? He has the ball striking to get it done on this accuracy-driven course, but he’ll need the putter to show up because he ranks 163rd in SG: putting.

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RBC Canadian Open – Top-20 picks

Alex Noren (+100)

Noren has finished in the top 25 in 8 straight starts, a remarkable trend that he should be able to maintain this week on a course that fits his game well. He’s short, but accurate, off the tee and a decent putter with an excellent short game around the greens (5th on tour)

Adam Hadwin (+188)

Hadwin has played the RBC Canadian Open 12 times and come in the top 10 in 3 of those starts, so he’s very familiar with this tournament – even if it’s not contested at the same course every year.

Matt Kuchar (+320)

Kuchar is more of a long shot considering he’s missed 9 cuts already this season, but he finished 4th at this venue in 2019 so maybe he can rekindle some of that magic and notch another top 20 this week.

RBC Canadian Open – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Tom Kim (-105) vs. Sam Burns (-120)

Kim’s game has been all sorts of off this season, ranking outside the top 100 in SG: off the tee, approach and putting. However, he’s begun to turn things around with back-to-back top-26 finishes in his last 2 starts at the PGA Championship and Charles Schwab Challenge.

RBC Canadian Open – Top English

Tommy Fleetwood (+120)

Aaron Rai (+250) and Matt Wallace (+450) are the next-closest players to Fleetwood in this category, but Fleetwood still feels like a good value with his ball striking and accuracy off the tee.

RBC Canadian Open – Top Scottish

Robert MacIntyre (-155)

MacIntyre already has 3 top-10s this season and his only competition in this market is Martin Laird at +125. MacIntyre’s ceiling is much higher than Laird’s so we’ll lay the juice at -155.

RBC Canadian Open – First-round leader

Alex Noren (+3300, +320 for top 10)

Noren is becoming almost an auto-bet for 1st-round success in some form, whether it’s the outright leader or to be in the top 10 after Round 1. He’s 2nd in Round 1 scoring average behind only Scottie Scheffler and has shot 70 or better in 4 straight opening rounds.

Shane Lowry (+3300)

Lowry came in 2nd here in 2019 and is 13th in Round 1 scoring average this season. And he’s someone who can get red hot on the course if his putter gets going.

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2023 RBC Canadian Open prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 2023 RBC Canadian Open with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

The PGA Tour will make 1 more stop before the U.S. Open, heading to Oakdale Golf and Country Club for the 2023 RBC Canadian Open this week. The 1st round will begin on Thursday morning from Toronto, Ontario, with the champion being crowned on Sunday.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2023 RBC Canadian Open odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Rory McIlroy won this event the last 2 times it was played in 2022 and 2019; it was canceled in both 2019 and 2020 due to COVID-19. He’s once again the favorite to win this week, coming in with by far the shortest odds of any player at +450. Tyrrell Hatton, Matt Fitzpatrick and Sam Burns are also among the favorites at Oakdale.

This is the first time Oakdale Golf and Country Club has hosted the RBC Canadian Open, joining the event’s rotation this year with the course set to host again in 2026. It’s a par 72 and will play at 7,264 yards, making it a shorter course. However, the elevation changes make it longer than the listed yardage, and the small greens are difficult to hit.

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RBC Canadian Open – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 12:25 p.m. ET.

Matt Fitzpatrick (+300)

Fitzpatrick missed the cut at the PGA Championship and appeared to be on the verge of a 2nd straight MC when he was 5 over thru 14 holes on Thursday at the Memorial Tournament, but he quickly turned things around. He fired a 2nd-round 68 to make the cut before shooting 70 and 72 on the weekend, finishing T-9. It was an impressive bounce-back and could be a good sign heading into this week.

Justin Rose (+350)

Rose took last week off, but he’s been on a heater lately with 2 top-10s, 5 top-25s and 6 top-36 finishes in his last 6 starts. Those 2 top-10s came at the Players Championship and PGA Championship, too. Though it was at a different course, Rose finished T-4 at the RBC Canadian Open last year.

RBC Canadian Open – Top-10 picks

Tommy Fleetwood (+188)

Fleetwood should be able to navigate this course with his elite ball-striking, currently sitting 10th on tour in strokes gained: tee-to-green. He’ll have an edge on the field with fairways being so important to hit and the greens being as small as they are. He has 3 consecutive top-25 finishes coming into this week.

Matt Kuchar (+333)

Kuchar’s rounds of 79 and 84 at the Memorial Tournament really did him in, otherwise playing well on Friday and Saturday. He has 7 top-25 finishes this season and 4 top-10s, also finishing T-4 in this event in 2019. His odds of +333 feel a bit longer than they should be.

Shane Lowry (+180)

Lowry has finished in the top 12 in this event 3 times in a row, including a runner-up in 2019. He’s hitting the ball really well right now, ranking 16th in SG: tee-to-green, but his putter has failed him; he’s 176th in SG: putting so far this year. If this doesn’t turn into a putting contest, he should be in contention.

RBC Canadian Open – Top-20 picks

Ludvig Aberg (+210)

Aberg may be making his pro debut, but this isn’t his 1st PGA Tour event. He’s played in 5 already over the last 2 years, finishing T-24 and T-61 in his 2 starts this season; the T-24 was at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. I expect him to play well, especially after getting a warm-up day in the U.S. Open qualifier, finishing just 3 shots out of a qualifying spot.

David Lipsky (+250)

Lipsky has finished in the top 20 in back-to-back tournaments, going T-16 at the Charles Schwab Challenge and T-12 a the Memorial – despite shooting 5-over on Sunday. I’ll ride the hot hand with +250 odds for a top-20 finish.

RBC Canadian Open – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Matt Fitzpatrick (-125) vs. Sam Burns (+100)

Fitzpatrick has better recent form with 3 top-10s in his last 5 starts, including a win. Burns is heating up with back-to-back top-16s, but I like Fitzpatrick’s game on this course better.

Justin Rose (-110) vs. Corey Conners (-110)

Conners missed the cut last week, his 2nd MC in his last 5 starts. In that same span, Rose hasn’t finished worse than T-36 and has 3 top-16s. Rose is the pick here at even odds with Conners.

Matt Kuchar (+100) vs. Keith Mitchell (-125)

Mitchell has had mixed results lately, finishing no better than T-48 in his last 5 solo starts. Kuchar has been up and down a little bit, too, but at even money, I like him to finish higher than Mitchell.

RBC Canadian Open – Top Irish

Shane Lowry (+210)

This is one way to fade McIlroy, which may not be a bad idea given the news of the PGA Tour-LIV Golf merger that broke on Tuesday. McIlroy has said recently that he wanted to shift his focus more toward on-course performance instead of defending the PGA Tour, but that might be tough this week. Lowry only has to beat McIlroy and David Carey to cash this bet.

RBC Canadian Open – Top Swedish

Ludvig Aberg (+125)

Aberg is the favorite to finish as the top Swedish player, ahead of Vincent Norman (+188), Henrik Norlander (+500) and David Lingmerth (+600). It might seem risky to bet him in his pro debut, but Aberg is the most talented player of the bunch and this is a lower-risk way to back him this week.

RBC Canadian Open – First-round leader

Justin Rose (+3000)

Rose ranks 13th on tour in 1st-round scoring this season and has broken 70 in 4 straight opening rounds and 5 of his last 6.

More expert prop bet predictions

Group D winner: David Lipsky (+450)

Lipsky has the longest odds of anyone in this group, which consists of Joseph Bramlett (+300), Nick Taylor (+350), Eric Cole (+350) and Michael Kim (+350). With back-to-back top-20s, I like his odds this week in Canada.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Golfweek:

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