The Tampa Bay Rays (11-8) look to complete a four-game sweep of the Boston Red Sox (6-12) Thursday at Fenway Park at 4:30 p.m. ET. We analyze the Rays-Red Sox MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Wednesday: Tampa Bay hit four home runs and SP Blake Snell tossed five shutout innings in a 9-5 victory, the Rays’ fifth win in a row.
Rays at Red Sox: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Tyler Glasnow vs. LHP Kyle Hart
Glasnow this season: 0-1, 5.56 ERA (7 ER, 11 1/3 IP), 19 K in 3 starts
- Last start: An 8-4 home loss to the New York Yankees, allowing 4 ER on 5 hits and 3 walks with 5 strikeouts in 2 2/3 innings
- 2019 vs. Red Sox: 1-0, 2.40 ERA (4 ER, 15 IP) in 3 starts, including 1-0, 2.70 ERA (2 ER, 6 2/3 IP) in 1 Fenway start
- Career vs. Red Sox: 1-1, 3.32 ERA (8 ER, 21 2/3 IP) in 4 starts
Hart, 27, will be making his Major League debut
- Last season: The Indiana University product went 12-13 with a 3.52 ER (61 ER, 156 IP) with 140 K in 27 combined appearances (24 starts) between Double-A and Triple-A
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Rays at Red Sox: Key injuries
(Get the latest injury news here.)
Rays
- RP Oliver Drake (biceps) out
- RP Andrew Kittredge (elbow) out
Red Sox
- OF Andrew Benintendi (ribs) out
- RP Darwinzon Hernandez (COVID-19) out
- 2B Dustin Pedroia (knee) out
- RP Josh Taylor (COVID-19) out
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Rays at Red Sox: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Rays 9, Red Sox 4
Moneyline (ML)
The RAYS (-154) are the STRONGEST PLAY and will complete the sweep of the Red Sox (+140). Look for Glasnow to rebound from the rough outing in his previous start, while Tampa Bay’s offense welcomes Boston’s Hart to the big leagues with another outing of eight-plus runs. The Rays rolled off wins of 8-7, 8-2 and 9-5 in the first three games of this series.
New to sports betting? A winning $10 bet on the Rays will profit $6.49 – or every $1.54 wager profits $1. (Strongest plays should be 1.5x your usual wager).
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS. Neither club has been impressive vs. the RL so far this season. Tampa Bay (-1.5, -106) is 8-11 vs. the RL, including 6-9 as a favorite. Boston (+1.5, -115) is 7-11 vs. the RL and 4-7 at Fenway.
Over/Under (O/U)
Back the OVER 9 (-110). The first three games of the season witnessed at least 10 runs each. While Boston is 5-11-2 vs. the O/U in 2020, I’m counting on Tampa Bay to score at least eight runs again – especially vs. the rookie Hart.
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| Johnny’s 2020 MLB record | 18-14 |
| 2020 overall record | 58-40-1 |
| Strongest plays | 31-16 |
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