Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (40-34) head to the Rogers Centre Thursday to start a 5-game series with the Toronto Blue Jays (42-33) at 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Tampa is 5-5 straight up (SU) in the last 10 games, but lost both games of an interleague back-to-back at home with the Milwaukee Brewers this week.

Toronto is also 5-5 SU in the last 10 and took 2 of 3 game from the Boston Red Sox Monday-Wednesday after dropping 2 consecutive series to the Brewers and Chicago White Sox.

The Rays lead the season series with their AL East rivals 2-1 and have a plus-2 run differential over the Jays in those meetings.

Rays at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Matt Wisler vs. LHP Yusei Kikuchi

Wisler is 2-2 with a 2.83 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 3 starts and 28 relief appearances.

  • Last start: No-decision in Tampa’s 8-7 win at the Seattle Mariners May 6 with 2 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 1 HR, 0 BB and 2 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Blue Jays: 0-0 with 0 ER, 0 H, 0 BB and 1 H in 2 1/3 IP over 2 relief appearances and 7 Toronto hitters faced.

Kikuchi is 2-4 with a 5.08 ERA, 1.59 WHIP, 5.6 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 in 56 2/3 IP over 14 starts.

  • Last start: Lost 5-4 at the Brewers Saturday with 2 IP, 5 R (2 ER), 6 H, 2 HR, 1 BB and 5 K.
  • 2021 vs. the Rays: 2-0 with a 1.38 ERA (13 IP, 2 ER), 10 H, 1 HR, 5 BB and 11 K in 2 starts while pitching for the Mariners.

Rays at Blue Jays odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 1:45 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Rays +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Blue Jays -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-175) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Rays at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 7, Rays 4

Money line

BET the BLUE JAYS (-140) because they’ve been steamed up by heavy sharp action and the Rays (+115) are just 1-6 SU with a minus-65.7% return on investment (ROI) as underdogs vs. left-handed starters.

Toronto’s ML opened at -126 but has been increased due to more than 70% of the cash being on the Blue Jays, per Pregame.com. Also, a slight majority of the bets placed are on the Rays. There’s a “Pros vs. Joe’s” scenario in the betting market but the oddsmakers are reacting to all the pro-Toronto money.

BET 1 unit on the BLUE JAYS (-140).

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Run line/Against the spread

LEAN BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+140) only because they are just 11-23 RL as home favorites. But, the Rays +1.5 (-175) are just 3-4 RL as underdogs vs. left-handed pitchers with a minus-32.3% ROI.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 9.5 (-107) only because we are getting the worst of the number since the Rays-Blue Jays total opened at 8.5 (per Pregame.com) and has been steamed all the way up by presumably sharp action.

However, Tampa is 6-0 O/U in the last 6 games vs. left-handed starters and Toronto is 6-0 O/U in Kikuchi’s last 6 starts and 19-15 O/U as home favorites.

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Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (90-55) and Toronto Blue Jays (81-64) meet Wednesday at 3:07 p.m. ET to close out a three-game series at Rogers Centre. Let’s analyze the lines around the Rays vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Michael Wacha is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays. Through 25 games (20 starts), he is 3-4 with a 5.37 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 and 2.2 BB/9 across 105 2/3 IP.

  • Struggled over his first three starts of August but owns a 3.10 ERA over 20 1/3 IP spanning four games since.
  • Has posted dodgy numbers away from home with a 6.28 ERA this season and 5.78 road figure over the last three years.

LHP Robbie Ray is the projected starting pitcher for the Blue Jays. He is 11-5 with a 2.69 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 11.6 K/9 and 2.3 BB/9 across 170 1/3 IP through 28 starts.

  • Owns a 1.33 ERA and 0.81 WHIP over his last six starts at Rogers Centre.
  • Has held current Tampa Bay batters to a .576 OPS.

Rays at Blue Jays odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rays +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Blue Jays -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rays +1.5 (-140) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Rays 4

Money line (ML)

Tampa Bay is the class of a loaded AL East, but the Rays are just 6-7 with a 4.86 ERA this month. They won Tuesday’s contest 2-0 to snap a four-game win streak for the Jays. Toronto scored 52 runs across three wins over the Baltimore Orioles and one against the Rays.

The Blue Jays are 12-2 in September and have clocked a 1.002 OPS and .607 SLG over the 14 games.

The Rays have won nine of 15 games in the head-to-head season series but with a near-even run differential.

BACK THE BLUE JAYS (-180) in this series finale. Ray is a difference-maker, and Toronto has won five straight series finales.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Tampa Bay is a scratch-and-claw club not prone to sloppy losses and the Rays are 84-61 against the run line.

Bettors looking to avoid the outlay on the money line: be cautious and consider a partial-unit play on TORONTO -1.5 (+115).

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS. An evenly (or near it) priced 8.5 line would garner interest on the Over but the extra juice here makes for a bright red light.

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Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (89-55) meet the Toronto Blue Jays (81-63) Tuesday for the second game of their three-game set at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Rays vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Also see: 2021 World Series odds for all teams

Season series: Rays lead 8-6.

RHP Drew Rasmussen gets the nod for the Rays. Rasmussen is 2-1 with a 3.25 ERA (61 IP, 22 ER), 1.20 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in seven starts and 25 relief appearances with the Rays and Milwaukee Brewers.

  • Last outing: Win, 12-7, with 5 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 0 BB and 2 K Sept. 7 at the Boston Red Sox.
  • Starter splits: 1-0 with a 2.33 ERA (27 IP, 7 ER), 0.85 WHIP and 4.0 K/BB.

RHP Jose Berrios is Toronto’s projected starter. Berrios is 11-7 with a 3.52 ERA (166 1/3 IP, 65 ER), 1.11 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 28 starts for the Blue Jays and Minnesota Twins.

  • Last outing: Win, 6-4, with 6 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB and 8 K Thursday at the New York Yankees.
  • vs. Rays on the current roster (52 PA): 1.99 FIP with a .085 batting average, .148 wOBA, .287 expected slugging percentage, 40.4 K% and 86.6 mph exit velocity.

Rays at Blue Jays odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:53 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rays +122 (bet $100 to win $122) | Blue Jays -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rays +1.5 (-165) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+133)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Prediction

Blue Jays 7, Rays 4

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the BLUE JAYS (-150) for a half unit only because this is on the absolute fringe of my price range considering the Rays are the defending AL champions with the best record in the league.

However, Toronto is white-hot lately, winning 12 of its last 13 games by an average score of 8.8-4.3 and stack up nicely against Tampa in the pitching departments. The Blue Jays are the most productive lineup in MLB lately.

Toronto’s lineup has 172 wRC+ over the last two weeks – 35 higher than the next closest team. Its top-ranked .427 wOBA over that span is 54 percentage points higher than the second-place club.

Also, the Blue Jays’ relief unit is third in xFIP since the All-Star Game while the Rays are just 16th. Toronto’s bullpen being top-10 in the second half of the year combined with Berrios being a “top of the rotation” starter makes the pitching matchup a wash.

Lastly, we have a “pros vs. joes” situation in the betting market as nearly two-thirds of the cash wagered is on Toronto but a slight majority of the bets placed are with Tampa, according to Pregame.com at the time of writing, and sportsbooks have responded by making the favorite more expensive. In sports betting, you’d much rather follow the money rather than the crowd.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+135) for a tiny wager because the chunky payout is high enough to justify laying it with Toronto against a Rays team that’s 27-9 ATS as road underdogs and 45-23 ATS in division games. The Blue Jays are raking right now and I don’t have a lot of confidence in Rasmussen shutting down this Toronto lineup.

That said, this is the “square” side and I’d rather pay more for Toronto’s money line than chase the value of Blue Jays -1.5 (+135).

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 8.5 (-135) for a half unit because the presumed “sharp” money says Rays-Blue Jays will be a high-scoring affair while the public prefers the Under.

Also, Tampa is 21-14-1 O/U as a road underdog, 38-27-3 O/U against AL East teams and Toronto is 4-0-2 O/U in the last six games.

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Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (89-54) lost two of three games at the Detroit Tigers over the weekend and look to get back on track Monday against the red hot Toronto Blue Jays (80-63). First pitch is set for 7:07 p.m. ET at the Rogers Centre. Let’s analyze the lines around the Rays vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Also see: 2021 World Series odds for all teams

Rays RHP Collin McHugh (6-1, 1.46 ERA) is projected to open the game for his sixth start and 32nd appearance. He has a 0.92 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 over 55 1/3 IP.

  • His 26.8% K-BB% is 13th best among all pitchers with 50 or more innings
  • His last 12 appearances have been 2 or fewer innings and he hasn’t gone more than 3 frames in a game all season. This will likely be a short outing with Ryan Yarbrough being the most likely candidate to follow him.

Blue Jays RHP Alek Manoah (5-2, 3.71 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP,  3.3 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 85 IP.

  • The 23-year-old has been very good for the most part since his call-up, but he has been pretty up and down lately. He allowed 6 ER twice in his last five starts, with a 6.23 ERA and 7.3 K/9 in 26 IP during that span.
  • Manoah has faced the Rays twice in July. He surrendered 2 ER in 10 2/3 IP while racking up 19 strikeouts and 34 swinging strikes in those two games.

Rays at Blue Jays odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rays +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Blue Jays -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rays +1.5 (-190) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -135 | U: +110)

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Prediction

Blue Jays 6, Rays 4

Money line (ML)

Toronto has won 11 of their last 12 games to get back in the Wild Card race. With a little help from the Baltimore pitching staff, they scored 44 runs in the three-game set over the weekend and have averaged 8.8 runs per game during the aforementioned 12-game span.

McHugh has a 1.23 ERA over 7 1/3 IP with 1 earned run, 5 hits, 2 walks and 11 strikeouts across four appearances against the Jays this season.

Yarbrough has pitched well against the Jays too, but has had a rough season overall and boasts a 6.35 ERA across his last eight appearances.

Back the BLUE JAYS (-135) in this one.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Manoah hasn’t been at his best lately and the Toronto bats may struggle to get things going in the first couple of innings. However, Yarbrough has been pretty bad for an extended stretch and the Blue Jays offense is firing on all cylinders should finally get to him Monday provided he takes over for McHugh.

Taking a chance on BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+145) at plus money looks like a pretty solid investment.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Rays come into this game averaging a league-best 5.86 runs per game on the road, and they rank third in wRC+ vs right-handed pitching. On the other side, the Blue Jays are third in runs per game at home and have an offense that is as imposing as any in the league.

Neither of the two pitchers expected to handle the most innings in this game have pitched especially well lately, and can’t be counted on to shut down the opposition.

Look for enough runs to push this total OVER 8.5 (-135).

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Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (47-36) and Toronto Blue Jays (43-38) conclude their three-game series Sunday in Toronto’s 2021 home ballpark of Sahlen Field in Buffalo, N.Y. First pitch is scheduled for 1:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Toronto has won the first two games of the series by a combined score of 17-4 and Blue Jays OF George Springer homered for a second straight day.

Season series: Rays lead 5-4.

LHP Ryan Yarbrough is on the mound for the Rays. Yarbrough is 4-3 with a 4.48 ERA (86 1/3 IP, 43 ER), 1.19 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 across 11 starts and five relief appearances.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB and 4 K last Sunday against the Los Angeles Angels.
  • Yarbrough got a no-decision May 24 at the Blue Jays with a stat line of 6 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 0 BB and 4 K in Tampa Bay’s 14-8 victory.
  • vs. Blue Jays on the current roster: 167 at-bats with a .192/.229/.383 slash line, 36/7 K/BB, 8 HR and 16 RBIs.

LHP Robbie Ray makes his 16th start for the Blue Jays. Ray is 6-3 with a 3.43 ERA (86 2/3 IP, 33 ER), 1.12 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 11.7 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 9-3, with 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 10 K Tuesday against the Seattle Mariners.
  • Ray has received two no-decisions in both starts this season against Tampa Bay in 13 IP with 4 ER (3 HR), 0.85 WHIP and 11.1 K/9.
  • vs. Rays on the current roster: 95 at-bats with a .179/.243/.379 slash line, 35/8 K/BB, 4 HR and 6 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Rays at Blue Jays odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rays +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Blue Jays -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rays +1.5 (-140) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Blue Jays 7, Rays 4

Money line (ML)

BET 1 unit on the BLUE JAYS (-165) because Toronto’s lineup is stacked with right-handed sluggers and is much more productive vs. left-handed pitching than Tampa’s lineup.

For instance, the Blue Jays rank in the top 10 in wRC+ and wOBA while the Rays hitters are in the bottom 10 of the majors in both of those categories.

Furthermore, Ray’s advanced numbers vs. Tampa this season are very impressive as well; Ray has a 2.74 xFIP,  30.8% K-BB% and .282 wOBA in his two starts against Tampa this season.

Lastly, we are seeing “sharp” line movement towards Toronto since the Blue Jays opened as -146 favorites but have been steamed up nearly 20 cents on the dollar.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS even though the Rays have lost 10 consecutive road games because Tampa Bay has covered 78.3% of its games as a road underdog this season (18-5 ATS) and Toronto is just 12-14 ATS as a home favorite.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 9.5 (-115) for a half unit because a vast majority of the situational trends suggest a higher-scoring affair including Tampa Bay’s 10-1 O/U record when Yarbrough takes the mound and the Rays’ 27-15-2 O/U record on the road this season.

However, it’s only a “lean” because most of the market is backing the Over and, typically, the contrarian approach to sports betting is more profitable.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (47-35) and Toronto Blue Jays (42-38) play the second game of a three-game set Saturday at Sahlen Field in Buffalo, N.Y. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays at Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Shane McClanahan is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays. He is 3-2 with a 4.09 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 10.8 K/9 and 2.8 BB/9 in 50 2/3 IP over 11 starts.

McClanahan has posted quality starts in each of his past two outings. He allowed one run on four hits with two walks and four strikeouts in five innings in a no-decision in Buffalo against the Jays May 22.

RHP Ross Stripling is the projected starting pitcher for the Blue Jays. He is 3-4 with a 4.27 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 in 65 1/3 IP over 12 starts and 1 relief appearance.

Stripling won last time out allowing two runs with six hits and a walk while striking out three in five innings against the Orioles Sunday. He twirled seven scoreless innings with just two hits and two walks allowed in a no-decision May 24 against the Rays in Buffalo.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Rays at Blue Jays odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:35 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rays -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Blue Jays -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rays -1.5 (+145) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under: 10 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Blue Jays 8, Rays 5

Money line (ML)

The BLUE JAYS (-115) fired out to a 6-0 lead at Sahlen Field after just two innings in Friday’s series opener, and they cruised to an 11-1 win.

The Jays have picked up victories in four of the past six, and they’re 8-3 across the past 11 outings. The Rays have dropped four in a row, coughing up 26 runs across the past two losses.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The BLUE JAYS +1.5 (-175) are a much better play on the money line, but if you’re not feeling them straight up, and would like some insurance, they’re a good play on the run line.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 10 (-110) cashed in the series opener with Toronto hitting the number all on their own. The Over is also 3-1 in their past four games on their adopted home field. The Over is also 4-1 across the past five for the Rays, and they have allowed 39 total runs during the span.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (47-34) and Toronto Blue Jays (41-38) play the first game of a three-game series at Toronto’s temporary home of Sahlen Field in Buffalo, N.Y., Friday. First pitch is set for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Rays RHP Luis Patino (1-1, 3.60 ERA) has allowed 7 runs (6 earned) on 12 hits, 4 walks and 2 home runs with 19 strikeouts over 15 IP spanning three starts and two relief appearances.

  • Patino spent time on the injured list due to a lacerated finger but excelled for Triple-A Durham since being optioned May 30
  • Hasn’t gone deeper than 4 innings in an appearance this season, including 3 1/3 IP with 4 ER in a no-decision start against the Baltimore Orioles May 18

Blue Jays RHP Alek Manoah (1-0, 3.34 ERA) returns from a five-game suspension to pitch with an extra day of rest. The rookie sports a 1.11 WHIP, 10.0 K/9 and 3.3 BB/9 through 29 2/3 IP spanning six MLB starts.

  • His 33.8% hard-hit is comfortably below the league average, but his 36.4% rate of fly balls is well above average
  • Allowed just 1 unearned run over 6 IP at home against the Baltimore Orioles last Friday before serving the suspension

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Rays at Blue Jays odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:28 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rays +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Jays -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rays +1.5 (-185) | Jays -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under: 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Blue Jays 6, Rays 3

Money line (ML)

Take the BLUE JAYS (-125).

They have the better team offense against right-handed pitching with a second-ranked .790 OPS to the Rays’ 13th-ranked .723 rate, Manoah is a better bet to pitch deeper in the game than Patino and the Toronto bullpen has an MLB-best 3.59 xFIP over the last 14 days compared to Tampa Bay’s fifth-ranked 3.75 rate.

The extra day of rest as a result of the suspension should serve Manoah and the Blue Jays well after they lost back-to-back games against the Seattle Mariners.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

For the aforementioned reasons, BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+150) is the more appealing play Friday with a greater payout.

These lines have shifted considerably since opening as a pick ’em. Follow suit and grab the hosts with pitching concerns for Tampa Bay.

Over/Under (O/U)

Back the UNDER 10 (-115) with the total seemingly inflated by both pitchers returning to the lineup.

Patino has been strong at both levels this season and Manoah had one of his best starts against the lowly Orioles before serving the suspension. Both bullpens have also pitched as top-five units by xFIP over the last two weeks.

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Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (29-19) look for the four-game sweep against the  Toronto Blue Jays (23-22) Monday. The game is scheduled to begin at 1:07 p.m. ET at TD Ballpark in Dunedin, Florida. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Ryan Yarbrough is the projected opener for the Rays. He is 2-3 with a 4.24 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 6.8 K/9 and 1.9 BB/9 in 46 2/3 IP over nine appearances (five starts). Yarbrough has actually fared much better coming in as the bulk reliever this season. He has a 6.28 ERA when starting a game, and a 1.00 mark across 18 IP in his four relief outings.

RHP Ross Stripling is the projected starting pitcher for the Blue Jays. He is 0-3 with a 7.20 ERA, 1.76 WHIP, 10.4 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 in 25 IP over six starts. Stripling couldn’t make it out of the fourth inning against Boston in his last start. In three home starts on the year, he boasts an ugly 8.31 ERA with four homers allowed in 12 IP.

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Rays at Blue Jays odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rays -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Blue Jays +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rays -1.5 (+125) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-150)
  • Over/Under: 10.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Rays 7, Blue Jays 5

Money line (ML)

The Rays have won 10 games in a row, are 2nd in the majors in wRC+ vs right-handed pitching and are facing a starter that has been struggling mightily.

Yarbrough hasn’t been great, either, but not nearly as bad as Stripling, and Toronto is 12th in wRC+ vs lefties on the season. Look for the RAYS -120 to extend the streak to 11 games.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Rays are 18-7 on the road this year, and 16 of those wins have been by multiple runs. The offense is really clicking as they have averaged 8.1 runs per game during their winning streak. They could very well have another big day against Stripling, so back the RAYS -1.5 (+125), or consider pushing it to -2.5 (+180).

Over/Under (O/U)

The ballpark in Dunedin, Fla., heavily favors hitters, and this is a matchup of potent offenses against starters that aren’t at the top of their game right now. The total is a high one, but rightfully so. Look for OVER 10.5 (-110) to cash Monday afternoon.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @RuddHQ on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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