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The Baltimore Ravens (3-1) face the Pittsburgh Steelers (2-2) Sunday in Week 5 NFL action. Kickoff from Acrisure Stadium is at 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Ravens vs. Steelers odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
After lopsided games in Week 4, both the Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers appear to be going in different directions this season.
The Ravens played the Cleveland Browns without their starting QB Deshaun Watson and dominated 28-3. The Baltimore defense gets a lot of the credit. They gave their offense plenty of good field position thanks to 3 interceptions off Browns QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson. The offense came from QB Lamar Jackson, who rushed for 2 touchdowns, and TE Mark Andrews who caught the other 2 touchdowns.
The Steelers came into their Week 3 game against the Houston Texans hoping to get some consistency on offense. But, so far this year, when the Steelers lose, they do so in epic proportions. Their 2 losses this year have been with scores of 30-7 in Week 1 and 30-6 last game. QB Kenny Pickett threw for 114 yards and 1 INT, despite trailing the entire game. And RB Najee Harris led the team in rushing and receiving but only had 103 yards combined.
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Ravens at Steelers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:05 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Ravens -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Steelers +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
- Against the spread (ATS): Ravens -4.5 (-105) | Steelers +4.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 38 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Ravens at Steelers key injuries
Ravens
- WR Odell Beckham Jr. (ankle) questionable
- RB Justice Hill (foot, hamstring) questionable
- CB Marlon Humphrey (foot) questionable
- OLB Odafe Oweh (ankle) out
- RB Keaton Mitchell (shoulder) questionable
- OT Morgan Moses (shoulder) doubtful
- S Daryl Worley (shoulder) out
Steelers
- OL James Daniels (groin) out
- TE Pat Freiermuth (hamstring) out
- P Pressley Harvin III (hamstring) out
- DL DeMarvin Leal (concussion) out
- OT Dan Moore (knee) out
Ravens at Steelers picks and predictions
Prediction
Ravens 19, Steelers 14
Moneyline
Home underdogs have been atrocious this year, winning in just 7 of their 26 games this season. That doesn’t bode well for the Steelers.
Combine that with the fact that Pittsburgh is last in the NFL in first downs (53 versus Baltimore’s 80) and are one of just 2 teams who haven’t scored a rushing touchdown (Baltimore has 8), and I like the Ravens,
That being said -210 is too pricey to play so you should PASS and look to the spread.
Against the spread
While home dogs have a better record against the spread (10-14-2) than they do straight up (7-19), it is still not ideal.
Yes the line is above 3, which is a key number in case this game is close, but so far this year the Ravens have been able to score when given the chance. Baltimore is number 1 in the NFL in red zone touchdown percentage (80%) while Pittsburgh’s red zone defense is 22nd in the league.
On the flip side, the Steelers have a 40% red zone touchdown percentage (28th in the NFL), and the Ravens have the 3rd best defense in the red zone.
You never know if Pittsburgh can get an edge playing at home against one of their most hated opponents, but statwise I like Baltimore to cover.
BET RAVENS -4.0 (-110).
Over/Under
Both teams trend towards the Under. As a favorite the Ravens are 3-0 towards the Under while the Steelers as underdogs are 2-1.
Also home underdogs have hit the Under this season 15 times in 26 games. The current line at 38 is low, but I think the books are right that it will be a low-scoring game.
LEAN UNDER 38 (-110).
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