Toronto Raptors at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Toronto Raptors at Golden State Warriors odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Toronto Raptors (22-27) visit the Golden State Warriors (24-24) Friday. Tip-off from Chase Center is set for 10 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Raptors vs. Warriors odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Raptors picked up a 113-95 road win vs. the Sacramento Kings Wednesday to record their 2nd straight victory. Toronto forced 19 turnovers and out-rebounded Sacramento 41-34 to secure the win despite shooting 30% from beyond the arc.

The Warriors topped the Memphis Grizzlies 122-120 Wednesday as G Jordan Poole hit a buzzer-beating layup. Golden State has won 3 of its last 5 games but is just 5-6 in January.

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Raptors at Warriors odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Raptors +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Raptors -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Raptors +4.5 (-102) | Warriors -4.5 (-118)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 234.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Raptors at Warriors key injuries

Raptors

  • Otto Porter Jr. (hip) out

Warriors

  • Andrew Wiggins (hip) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Raptors at Warriors picks and predictions

Prediction

Warriors 123, Raptors 119

Moneyline

LEAN WARRIORS (-200).

The Warriors should win this game as they will likely be playing their entire rotation and carrying some momentum from their victory over Memphis Wednesday. Golden State is a very dangerous team at home, and although Toronto is a tough, well-coached squad the Warriors should be able to pull this one out.

Against the spread

BET RAPTORS +4.5 (-102).

The Warriors have been terrible ATS lately which makes this your best bet in this game.

Golden State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 home games and is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games playing on 1 day of rest. Toronto has a better defense and turns the ball over less than Golden State which will also help keep this a tight game even if Toronto’s offense can’t quite keep up.

Over/Under

BET OVER 234.5 (-110).

Recent trends for both teams suggest that the Over should be the much safer bet here. The Over is 5-2 the last 7 times these teams met and is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings in Golden State. The Over is also 3-1-1 following Golden State’s last 5 wins and is 6-1 in the Raptors’ last 7 home games.

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Toronto Raptors at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Toronto Raptors at Golden State Warriors odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Toronto Raptors (13-15) host the Golden State Warriors (24-5) Saturday at Scotiabank Arena for a 7:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Raptors vs. Warriors odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Golden State held off the Boston Celtics 111-107 for its third straight victory Friday and pushed as a 4-point road favorite.

The Warriors are 5-2 straight-up (SU), 2-4-1 ATS and 2-4-1 O/U with the eighth-best non-garbage time efficiency differential (plus-3.8 points per 100 possessions) over the past two weeks, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Toronto lost a 131-129 nailbiter in overtime to the Brooklyn Nets Tuesday but covered as a 4.5-point road underdog. The Raptors are 3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS and 3-2 O/U with the seventh-best non-garbage time efficiency differential (plus-5.0 points per 100 possessions) in the last 14 days, per CTG.

Golden State smoked Toronto 119-104 as an 8.5-point home favorite in their first meeting this season (Nov. 21) with the Over cashing on a 216.5-point total.

Raptors at Warriors odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:25 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Warriors +320 (bet $100 to win $320) | Raptors -420 (bet $420 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Warriors +8.5 (-115) | Raptors -8.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 203.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Raptors at Warriors key injuries

Raptors

  • Precious Achiuwa (health and safety protocols) questionable
  • SF OG Anunoby (hip) questionable

Warriors (not officially submitted)

  • PG Steph Curry (rest) out
  • PF Draymond Green (hip) out
  • SF Andre Iguodala (knee) out
  • SG Jordan Poole (health and safety protocols) out
  • SF Otto Porter (foot) out

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Raptors at Warriors odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Raptors 117, Warriors 104

Money line

PASS because this is a “scheduled loss” for the Warriors (+320) but the Raptors (-420) is too outrageously high for any NBA regular-season favorite.

Especially in this current COVID surge that has the league scrambling to keep games playing as scheduled.

However, Golden State played a physical, competitive primetime game Friday and Toronto is coming in off of three days rest.

The Warriors have all but waved the white flag as they announced Curry and Green, amongst others, wouldn’t be active for their game against the Raptors.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the RAPTORS -8.5 (-107) for a small wager — if at all — because Toronto beat Golden State by 53 points in their second meeting last season and that Warriors squad was more talented than the one that’ll play Saturday.

Golden State was missing Curry for that contest but still had Poole, Wiggins and Green and still got clobbered. Toronto has been playing some good basketball recently and is the far healthier side.

It’s RAPTORS -8.5 (-107) or PASS in this game for me.

Over/Under

TAKE the OVER 203.5 (-110) because even the backups get hit open shots in the NBA and we know Golden State head coach Steve Kerr can scheme up some solid offense even with a bunch of G-League players in the rotation.

However, I do think Golden State’s defense suffers the most with all its missing contributors and we saw Toronto run up the score against the Warriors in a similar spot last season.

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Toronto Raptors at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Toronto Raptors at Golden State Warriors odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Golden State Warriors (14-2) host the Toronto Raptors (8-9) Sunday at Chase Center for an 8:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Raptors vs. Nuggets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Toronto snapped its three-game losing skid Friday by upsetting the Sacramento Kings 108-89 as 3.5-point road underdogs. The Raptors are 7-10 ATS and 9-8 O/U with the 14th-best net rating in the NBA (plus-0.7).

Golden State has won 10 of its past 11 games including three straight with the latest being a 105-102 road win over the Detroit Pistons without Steph Curry or Draymond Green in the starting 5. The Warriors are 11-4-1 ATS and 5-11 O/U with the best net rating in the Association.

Last season was a throwaway year for both organizations but they did split the season series 1-1 with the “home” team winning and covering each contest. There are quotes around the home because Toronto technically played in Tampa Bay, Florida last season to due the COVID pandemic.

Raptors at Warriors odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:50 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Raptors +320 (bet $100 to win $320) | Warriors -420 (bet $420 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Raptors +8.5 (-102) | Warriors -8.5 (-122)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 217.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Raptors at Warriors key injuries

Raptors

  • SF OG Anunoby (hip) questionable

Warriors

  • SF Otto Porter (foot) questionable
  • SF Andre Iguodala (hip) out

Raptors at Warriors odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Warriors 112, Raptors 107

Money line

PASS even though I “like” Toronto plus the points in this spot and typically I’ll “sprinkle” on an underdog’s money line when betting them to cover.

But, the Warriors are back and the Raptors look like a team competing for a play-in spot based on their results thus far.

Against the spread

BET the RAPTORS +8.5 (-102) for 1 unit because the Warriors can get a little careless with the ball at times and Toronto feasts off turnovers.

For instance, the Raptors average the most points off turnovers per game, whereas the Warriors rank 24th in offensive turnover rate and 22nd in points off of turnovers allowed per game.

Furthermore, this is a “Pros vs. Joe’s” game in the betting market and the Warriors ticked down from 9-point favorites because of the pro-Raptors money.

According to Pregame.com, nearly 90% of the cash is on Toronto but roughly 60% of the action is on Golden State. Typically, in sports betting, it’s wise to follow the money when it’s flowing in the opposite direction as the public.

Lastly, backing the Raptors on the road has been profitable thus far.

Toronto is 6-3 ATS on the road with a plus-9.5 spread differential. Also, according to CleaningTheGlass.com, the Raptors have the seventh-best spread differential vs. teams in the top-10 of net efficiency.

Over/Under

PASS since these teams play at opposite paces and one likes to operate more in the mid-range (Toronto) while the other has the second-highest 3-point attempt rate in the NBA (Golden State).

The bottom line is I don’t have a good feel for the Raptors-Warriors total, so I’ll just stay away from this one.

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Toronto Raptors at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s Toronto Raptors at Golden State Warriors NBA betting odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Toronto Raptors (2-6) play their third game of a four-game road trip Sunday and visit the Golden State Warriors (5-4) at Chase Center for an 8:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Raptors-Warriors NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The Warriors are playing their sixth game of a seven-game homestand which began Jan. 1. They’re 3-2 over the stretch thus far, including a 115-105 win over the Los Angeles Clippers to split a two-game set against the Western Conference rivals.

The Raptors snapped a three-game slide with a 144-123 beat down of the Sacramento Kings Friday. They had lost seven of their previous eight games. They’ll get right back to it Monday against the Portland Trail Blazers.

Raptors at Warriors: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:15 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Raptors -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Warriors +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Raptors -3.5 (-105) | Warriors +3.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 232.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Raptors at Warriors: Key Injuries

Raptors

  • PF Marquese Chriss (leg) out
  • C Kevon Looney (hip) questionable
  • SG Klay Thompson (Achilles’) out
  • SG Andrew Wiggins (foot) questionable

Raptors

None affecting betting lines.

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Raptors at Warriors: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Warriors 123, Raptors 117

Money line (ML)

This feels like a trap, but WARRIORS (+125) seems like a gift. The Raptors were mired in an awful stretch of basketball before hanging a franchise-record 144 points on the Kings. That’s more of an indictment on Sacramento, with the Kings also losing 125-99 at home to the Trail Blazers Saturday.

The Warriors have a much better record on the season and are coming off a superior performance in a 10-point win over the Clippers. Rest is equal for both teams.

The Raptors lead the NBA in 3-point attempts per game (42.9) but are just 17th in success rate from behind the arc (36.2%). If those shots don’t fall against the Warriors and PG Stephen Curry, Toronto doesn’t have the interior presence to contend against Warriors PF Draymond Green and rookie C James Wiseman.

Against the spread (ATS)

The money line is a high-confidence play and offers the superior plus-money payout, but the WARRIORS +3.5 (-115) should also be backed with 3 points of insurance in the event of a loss in what could turn into a 3-point shootout.

Both teams are in the bottom half of the league in rebounding, and only one team commits more fouls per game than both the Raptors and Warriors. They’re both in the top third of the Association in free-throw shooting and in the top-12 in turnovers per game.

Over/Under (O/U)

Take the OVER 232.5 (-115) as a partial hedge against our other bets against the Raptors. They’re 5-3 against the O/U on the year, but their reliance on the 3-ball is the greatest factor contributing to that record.

The Warriors rank second-to-last in defending threes with opponents hitting on 40.2% of attempts. If Raptors Gs Kyle Lowry (8.0 3-point attempts per game) and Fred VanVleet (9.1 3PA) are connecting Sunday, then they could win and cover, and will certainly carry this over the projected total.

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