Toronto Raptors at Minnesota Timberwolves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Toronto Raptors at Minnesota Timberwolves odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Timberwolves (1-1) welcome the Toronto Raptors (1-1) to Target Center Saturday. Tip is set for 8 p.m. ET (TSN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Raptors vs. Timberwolves odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting. Tied 1-1 last year

The Timberwolves went 2-3 straight up and 2-3 against the spread (ATS) in the preseason and opened their regular season action up with a 110-103 road loss to the LA Lakers Tuesday, closing as a 1-point underdog. They then beat the Sacramento Kings on the road 117-115 Thursday, closing as a 1-point favorite. This will be Minnesota’s first home game. It is led by G Anthony Edwards, who is averaging 29.5 points per game.

The Raptors, who played 5 preseason games and were 3-2 straight up and 3-2 ATS, opened their season with a discouraging 136-106 home loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers Wednesday. They did rebound with a 115-107 home win over the Philadelphia 76ers Friday, closing as a 5-point underdog. Toronto is 1-1 ATS and 2-0 O/U through its 2 games. It has been led by F Scottie Barnes, who is averaging 18 points per game.

Raptors at Timberwolves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 1:35 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Raptors +675 (bet $100 to win $675) | Timberwolves -1100 (bet $1,100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Raptors +14.5 (-110) | Timberwolves -14.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 218.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Raptors at Timberwolves key injuries

Raptors

  • G RJ Barrett (shoulder) questionable
  • C Kelly Olynyk (back) questionable
  • G Immanuel Quickley (abdomen) out

Timberwolves

  • None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Raptors at Timberwolves picks and predictions

Prediction

Timberwolves 116, Raptors 106

Moneyline

PASS.

There’s no reason to consider the moneyline here. Minnesota should win at home, but it is far too expensive to play.

Against the spread

BET RAPTORS +14.5 (-110).

The Cavaliers put the Raptors away to open the season because they shot 59% from the field and 47% from deep. When their opponent came back to earth in their 2nd game, Toronto kept things close and came out with a win.

Minnesota has been disappointing, losing in its opener and then winning by 2 in its 2nd game, both spreads being within 1 point. It hasn’t proven it can blow out opponents this season or sustain leads. While Edwards is a star, Barnes is an excellent defender and should be able to limit his opportunities.

That said, expect a closer game than this spread suggests and back RAPTORS +14.5 (-110).

Over/Under

BET OVER 218.5 (-110).

The Raptors are 2-0 O/U on the season, and either they have scored 115 or their opponent has in both games. They have gone Over this total in both games as well.

The Timberwolves are 1-1 O/U on the season. The lone game they didn’t go Over, they shot 32% from deep and 41% from the field. Those numbers, as expected, didn’t stay down, and they played and shot better in their second game, pushing the total Over.

Expect them to light things up at home and back OVER 218.5 (-110).

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Toronto Raptors at Minnesota Timberwolves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Toronto Raptors at Minnesota Timberwolves odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Toronto Raptors (23-52) are on the road Wednesday to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves (52-23). Tip-off is at 8 p.m. ET at Target Center. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Raptors vs. Timberwolves odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Raptors lead 1-0 with 97-94 home win on Oct. 25

Toronto has lost 14 straight games. They played on Tuesday at home, falling 128-111 to the Los Angeles Lakers, failing to cover the 13.5-point spread as underdogs. They have been eliminated from postseason contention.

The Timberwolves are in 2nd place in the West, half a game behind the Denver Nuggets. They have won 5 of their last 6 and 8 of their last 10. Minnesota beat the Houston Rockets 113-106 Tuesday, but failed to cover the 7.5-point spread as favorites.

Raptors at Timberwolves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:02 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Raptors +800 (bet $100 to win $800) | Timberwolves -1400 (bet $1,400 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Raptors +15.5 (-110) | Timberwolves -15.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 214.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Raptors at Timberwolves key injuries

Raptors (estimated, not yet submitted)

  • Ochai Agbaji (hip) questionable
  • Scottie Barnes (finger) out
  • Chris Boucher (knee) out
  • Bruce Brown (knee) questionable
  • D.J. Carton (ankle) out
  • Jakob Poeltl (finger) out
  • Jontay Porter (personal) out

Timberwolves (estimated, not yet submitted)

  • Karl-Anthony Towns (knee) out
  • Jaylen Clark (Achilles) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Raptors at Timberwolves picks and predictions

Prediction

Timberwolves 116, Raptors 105

Moneyline

The T-wolves have won 5 of their last 6 games and 8 of the last 10 while Toronto last won a game on March 3 and last won on the road on Feb. 26.

The Raptors did win in Toronto in their 1st meeting 97-94 on Oct. 25 as 1-point favorites.

Minnesota is 27-10 at home while Toronto is 10-26 on the road.

There is no reason to bet the Raptors (+800) and betting the Wolves at -1400 isn’t worth the action.

PASS.

Against the spread

The Raptors have lost by 15 or more in 3 straight games while the Timberwolves have gone 8 straight games without beating a team by more than 15 points.

They are 5-6 ATS on no rest, compared to the Raptors’ 5-7 ATS mark on no rest. Minnesota is 13-18-2 ATS as home favorites. Toronto is 16-13-1 ATS as road underdogs.

BET RAPTORS +15.5 (-110).

Over/Under

The Raptors have allowed over 120 points in 3 straight games and in 5 of their last 7. Those same 5 of 7 games have had more than 215 total points.

Minnesota allows an average of 106.2 points per game while scoring 112.9 points per game. The Raptors allow 118.5 points per game.

BET OVER 215.5 (-115).

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Toronto Raptors at Minnesota Timberwolves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Toronto Raptors at Minnesota Timberwolves odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Timberwolves (31-27) host the Toronto Raptors (31-25) Wednesday at Target Center for an 8 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Raptors vs. Timberwolves odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Toronto has lost back-to-back games to the Denver Nuggets (110-109 Saturday) and New Orleans Pelicans (120-90 Tuesday) following an eight-game win streak (8-0 against the spread (ATS)).

Minnesota eked past the Charlotte Hornets 126-120 in overtime Tuesday and pushed as a 6-point home favorite. The T-Wolves are 7-3 straight up (SU) and 6-3-1 ATS over their last 10 games.

These teams split their meetings last season 1-1 SU and ATS with the road team winning and covering both.

Raptors at Timberwolves odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:21 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Raptors -117 (bet $117 to win $100) | Timberwolves -103 (bet $103 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Raptors -1.5 (-107) | Timberwolves -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 227.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Raptors at Timberwolves key injuries

Raptors

  • PG Fred VanVleet (knee) questionable

Timberwolves (not officially submitted)

  • SF Anthony Edwards (ankle) questionable

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Raptors at Timberwolves odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Raptors 121, Timberwolves 112

Money line

BET the RAPTORS (-117) for 1.25 units based on several reasons. First of all, Toronto has done a good job defending T-Wolves big Karl-Anthony Towns since hiring head coach Nick Nurse in 2018.

KAT is averaging just 17.6 points on 47.7% shooting and 9.6 rebounds in five games against the Raptors during Nurse’s tenure, which are all below his career marks.

Nurse is known for employing many defensive schemes during a game and Toronto plays tough on-ball defense. KAT isn’t your average big, he likes to put the ball on the floor and a majority of his field goals are jump shots.

Furthermore, T-Wolves SF Anthony Edwards left Tuesday’s game against the Hornets with an injured ankle. His absence gives Toronto a significant edge on the wing if he can’t suit up.

Toronto has three dynamic forwards in its starting lineup and Raptors F Pascal Siakam has been tearing it up in February. Siakam is averaging 26.0 points on 64.3% true shooting (.579/.400/.737) with 10.1 rebounds, 5.0 assists and a plus-15 net rating over those eight games.

Both teams also like to create turnovers and get out in transition but Toronto is more efficient in these areas. The Raptors are sixth in points off of turnovers allowed per game and fifth in fastbreak points per game (PPG) allowed while the T-Wolves are 26th in fastbreak PPG allowed.

Minnesota is just 3-5 SU when playing on no rest days and Toronto is 7-3 SU versus teams playing the second of a back-to-back with a plus-5.7 adjusted net rating and plus-1.9 ATS margin, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

BET the RAPTORS (-117).

Against the spread

PASS.

I’m confident enough in Toronto that I’ll just bet the money line (ML) instead of laying it with the Raptors -1.5 (-107).

However, since this game is priced as a coin-flip, there are some applicable ATS trends to strengthen our case for Toronto.

For instance, the Raptors are 20-9 ATS versus teams with a winning record while the T-Wolves are just 12-14-1 ATS versus winning teams. Toronto is also 4-1 SU and ATS in their last five games versus Minnesota.

Over/Under

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 227.5 (-112) for a small wager, if at all, because this is a sharp total and I much prefer Toronto’s ML.

The T-Wolves are 6-2 O/U on the second of a back-to-back with a plus-8.3 total margin and 9-1 O/U in their last 10 games while allowing 119.7 PPG in those games.

Plus the Raptors are 10-5 O/U when playing with a rest advantage with a plus-9.0 total margin

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Toronto Raptors at Minnesota Timberwolves odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Friday’s Toronto Raptors at Minnesota Timberwolves NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Toronto Raptors (14-15) visit the Minnesota Timberwolves (7-22) Friday at the Target Center for a 9 p.m. tip-off. Below, we analyze the Raptors-Timberwolves NBA odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Toronto whooped up on the Milwaukee Bucks by double-digits in back-to-back games this week following a 116-112 loss at the Timberwolves on Valentine’s Day. After a slow start, the Raptors are playing much better as winners in seven of their last 10 games (7-3 ATS).

Minnesota’s victory over Toronto last weekend was its only win in the last seven games. The Timberwolves have lost two straight at home against the Los Angeles Lakers and Indiana pacers entering Friday. They failed to cover in both by a combined 2.5 points.

Raptors at Timberwolves: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:25 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Raptors -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Timberwolves +120 (bet $100 to win $100120
  • Against the spread/ATS: Raptors -2.5 (-110) | Timberwolves +2.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 225.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Raptors at Timberwolves: Key injuries

Raptors

  • PG Kyle Lowry (ankle) questionable

Timberwolves

  • PF Jarrett Culver (ankle) out
  • PG D’Angelo Russell (knee) out

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Raptors at Timberwolves: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Raptors 121, Timberwolves 114

Money line (ML)

PASS with a lean on Raptors (-145). One could make the argument for taking the Raptors straight-up given their bankroll, but I’d rather lay the points and/or put Toronto’s money line in a parlay.

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Against the spread (ATS)

This is a theory I’ve been workshopping off the record, but, the absence of Kyle Lowry could be addition by subtraction for the Raptors, who are 4-0 with a 15-point average margin of victory in those games.

Lowry missed Toronto’s beatdown of Milwaukee last night, and his replacement SG Norman Powell flourished. In fact, Powell is averaging career-highs in points per game (16.7 ppg) and 3-point shooting (42.3%) and has scored 20 or more in every game Lowry has missed.

Lastly, since the beginning of last season, the Timberwolves are 1-12-1 ATS with a minus-7.8 spread differential in games with a rest advantage. Over that same time span, the Raptors have the third-highest winning percentage with a plus-2.7 spread differential as a road favorite.

I’m on the RAPTORS -2.5 (-110) for a half-unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

The T-Wolves’ offense is trending up: PG Ricky Rubio running the show for SG Malik Beasley who’s averaging a career-high 20.9 PPG, big Karl-Anthony Towns, who’s a lock for 20-10 every night and No. 1 overall pick Anthony Edwards, who has scored 20 or more four times this month.

Also, according to CleaningTheGlass.com, Minnesota attempts the fifth-highest rate of field goals at the rim and the 10th-highest rate of corner threes. These are two weak spots for a Toronto defense that’s ranked 18th in opponent’s shooting percentage at the rim and 24th in corner-three defense.

TAKE OVER 225.5 (-110) for 1.25 units.

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