Toronto Raptors at Sacramento Kings odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Toronto Raptors at Sacramento Kings odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Sacramento Kings (6-9) hosts the Toronto Raptors (7-9) Friday at the Golden 1 Center for a 10 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Raptors vs. Kings odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Toronto has lost six of its past seven games including three straight to the Detroit Pistons, Portland Trail Blazers and Utah Jazz last night. The Raptors are 6-10 ATS and 9-7 O/U with the 16th-best net rating (minus-0.5).

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Sactown has lost five of its last six games including its last outing, 107-97, at the Minnesota Timberwolves as 2.5-point road underdogs. The Kings are 7-8 ATS and 5-9-1 O/U with the 12th-ranked net rating (plus-0.6).

These teams split last year’s season series 1-1 overall and ATS with the road team winning and covering each contest. The Over has cashed in four consecutive Raptors-Kings meetings.

Raptors at Kings odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Raptors +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Kings -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Raptors +3.5 (-112) | Kings -3.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 220.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Raptors at Kings key injuries

Raptors

  • Precious Achiuwa (shoulder) questionable
  • SF OG Anunoby (hip) out

Kings

  • None

Raptors at Kings odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Raptors 115, Kings 110

Money line

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Raptors (+125) because I “like” them plus the points and can make a stronger case for Toronto winning this game outright than Sactown.

First of all, there are a few strength-on-weakness edges that favor the Raptors. For instance, Toronto scores the most points off turnovers and second-most second-chance points per game. Whereas Sactown’s is 24th in points off turnovers and dead-last in second-chance points allowed per game.

Furthermore, the Kings don’t do a good job defending what the Raptors do frequently. Toronto attempts the eighth-highest volume of mid-range field goals and Sactown ranks 25th in defensive field goal percentage vs. mid-range shots, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

Against the spread

GIMME the RAPTORS +3.5 (-112) for 1 unit because this is a “Pros vs. Joe’s” game in the betting market and Toronto plays better on the road.

According to Pregame.com, slightly more cash has been wagered on the Raptors covering while there are more bets placed on the Kings laying the points. Typically, in sports betting, it’s wise to follow the money especially when it’s flowing in the opposite direction as the public.

On top of that, Toronto is 5-3 ATS on the road while Sactown is 2-4 ATS at home. In fact, the Raptors are outscoring opponents by an average score of 106.6-103.9 on the road.

Over/Under

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 220.5 (-112) for a tiny wager if at all because I much prefer Toronto’s spread more than the total.

However, there are reasons to be confident both offenses have success vs. the other’s defense. Plus the last four Raptors-Kings games have been fast-paced and high-scoring affairs and those totals were set in the mid-220s.

Additionally, this is a “Pros vs. Joe’s” game, according to Pregame.com, with more money coming on the Over while more bets have been placed on the Under.

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Toronto Raptors at Sacramento Kings odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Friday’s Toronto Raptors at Scaramento Kings NBA betting odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The struggling Toronto Raptors (1-6) limp into a visit against the Sacramento Kings (4-4) Friday. Tip-off will be at 10 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Raptors-Kings NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The Raptors have lost another three games in a row and started a four-game road trip with a 123-115 loss to the Phoenix Suns Wednesday. Toronto led 25-22 after the first quarter but was outscored 74-62 in the second and third frames. The Suns shot 21-for-40 as a team from 3-point range.

The Kings snapped a three-game losing skid with a 128-124 win over the Chicago Bulls Wednesday. Their previous loss came by a 137-106 count against the Golden State Warriors Monday.

Raptors at Kings: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:50 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Raptors -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Kings +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Raptors -4.5 (-120) | Kings +4.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 225.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Raptors at Kings: Key Injuries

Raptors

None affecting the betting lines.

Kings

  • SG De’Aaron Fox (hamstring) questionable
  • PF Jabari Parker (health and safety protocols) out

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Raptors at Kings: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Kings 112, Raptors 109

Money line (ML)

Back the KINGS (+170) as plus-money underdogs. Sure, Wednesday’s win was only against the Chicago Bulls, but they have a pair of impressive victories over the Denver Nuggets and one against the Suns earlier in the season. Toronto’s last win was a 100-83 victory over the New York Knicks Dec. 31, and it doesn’t deserve to lay -200 against anyone right now.

The Kings are dominating everyone in offensive rebounding while the Raps are just 17th on the offensive glass and 23rd on the defensive end. Toronto is in the bottom third of the league in 3-point, 2-point and free-throw shooting, and dead-last in field-goal shooting (42.2%).

Toronto also commits more fouls than all but two teams and is 28th in free throws per field-goal attempts.

Against the spread (ATS)

Based on all of the above and while taking the Kings for the home upset, we’ll also back SACRAMENTO +4.5 (+100) with 4 points of insurance in the event of a loss.

The Raptors are relying far too heavily on the play of Gs Kyle Lowry and Fred VanVleet while Fs Pascal Siakam and OG Anunoby have shown little sign of the budding superstardom from the team’s championship-winning 2018-19 campaign.

Over/Under (O/U)

Go with the UNDER 225.5 (-110). The teams are a combined 9-6 against the Over/Under but they’re each being outscored by more than 4 points per game.

If Toronto was to “get right” in this spot, as BetMGM is heavily projecting, it would be the defense showing the greater improvements. The Under is an adequate hedge against the above two picks of the Kings.

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